Detroit Red Wings vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 6, 2020

Final / SOThursday, Feb 6, 2020· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
DET	2	0	1	0	1	4		DET	7	9	4	1	21
BUF	0	0	3	0	0	3		BUF	8	8	14	2	32

: DET 30BUF 55
: DET 1.55BUF 3.86
PP goals: DET 1BUF 0
Hits: DET 13BUF 22
Blocks: DET 10BUF 4
PIM: DET 10BUF 10
: DET 43%BUF 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (SO)

Detroit Red Wings beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 in a shootout at BUF. Dylan Larkin (DET) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for DET: Filppula–Abdelkader–Bertuzzi skated 5:37 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Dylan Larkin had two goals (2 points) on 8 shots in 26:22.Larkin
Points
Robby Fabbri had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:55.Fabbri
New line
New look for DET: Filppula–Abdelkader–Bertuzzi skated 5:37 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Filppula Abdelkader Bertuzzi
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Lazar–Rodrigues skated 8:17 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Lazar Rodrigues
Usage
Colin Miller (BUF) played 22:24, +5:22 up on his 17:02 season average over 50 games.Miller
Usage
Jimmy Vesey (BUF) played 19:01, +5:18 up on his 13:43 season average over 63 games.Vesey
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 26:22, +5:12 up on his 21:10 season average over 70 games.Larkin
Usage
Evan Rodrigues (BUF) played 16:00, +4:49 up on his 11:11 season average over 44 games.Rodrigues

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 85 of 85 attempts · BUF 55 · DET 30

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 15% of the game, BUF 60%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	BUF
	20	44
	0.63	3.04
	0.62	2.86
	2	22
	1	2
	7	8
	−0.066	+0.066
	15%	60%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Filppula – Abdelkader – Bertuzzi
5:3725% CF
L2Erne – Ehn – Smith
3:230% CF
L3Glendening – Larkin – Fabbri
2:4250% CF
L4Helm – Athanasiou – Hirose
2:21100% CF
D1Biega – Nemeth
15:2118% CF
D2Bowey – Hronek
13:4426% CF
D3Daley – Lindstrom
9:5050% CF

PP1Athanasiou – Bertuzzi – Larkin – Hronek – Hirose
4:03100% CF
PP2Filppula – Daley – Bowey – Bertuzzi – Fabbri
0:43100% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
1:57
PK2FFilppula – Ehn
1:52
PK1DNemeth – Hronek
3:13
PK2DBiega – Bowey
2:31

Current DET line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Vesey – Reinhart – Eichel
12:3583% CF
L2Skinner – Lazar – Rodrigues
8:1757% CF
L3Larsson – Wilson – Girgensons
5:4840% CF
L4Frolik – Johansson – Sheary
4:5925% CF
D1Ristolainen – Montour
12:5944% CF
D2McCabe – Jokiharju
11:5665% CF
D3Miller – Pilut
10:0275% CF

PP1Johansson – Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
3:54100% CF
PP2Miller – Vesey – Sheary – Eichel – Rodrigues
2:12100% CF
PK1FFrolik – Lazar
3:07
PK2FLarsson – Girgensons
1:28
PK1DMcCabe – Jokiharju
2:39
PK2DRistolainen – Montour
2:36

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:23
DETDylan Larkin (Trevor Daley, Robby Fabbri)wrist0.01 xG
DET: Daley, Glendening, Larkin, Fabbri, LindstromBUF: Larsson, Wilson, Girgensons, McCabe, Jokiharju
DET 1 – 0 BUF
19:59
DETDylan Larkin (Robby Fabbri, Filip Hronek)backhand0.05 xG
DET: Nemeth, Larkin, Fabbri, HronekBUF: Johansson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour
DET 2 – 0 BUF

3rd period

5:48
BUFJimmy Vesey (Conor Sheary)backhand0.12 xG
DET: Filppula, Daley, Helm, Fabbri, LindstromBUF: Vesey, Sheary, Montour, Eichel, Jokiharju
DET 2 – 1 BUF
8:29
BUFScott Wilson (Colin Miller)deflected0.07 xG
DET: Daley, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Smith, LindstromBUF: Larsson, Wilson, Miller, Girgensons, Montour
DET 2 – 2 BUF
13:56
DETTyler BertuzziPP (Valtteri Filppula, Madison Bowey)snap0.17 xG
DET: Filppula, Daley, Bowey, Bertuzzi, FabbriBUF: Frolik, Ristolainen, Lazar, Montour
DET 3 – 2 BUF
19:13
BUFEvan Rodrigues (Rasmus Ristolainen)wrist0.14 xG
DET: Daley, Helm, Athanasiou, Larkin, HronekBUF: Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, Rodrigues
DET 3 – 3 BUF

Decided in the shootout: DET 4 – 3 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.30	1	1	0	19:55	—	—	29	6
Valtteri Filppula C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:12	—	—	17	0
Justin Abdelkader L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	2	11:53	—	—	40	18
Adam Erne L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:27	—	—	17	2
Christoffer Ehn C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:05	—	—	25	9
Givani Smith R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	6:24	—	—	0	0
Dylan Larkin C	L3	2	0	2	0	8	0.33	2	0	0	26:22	—	—	45	26
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	21	12
Robby Fabbri C	L3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.04	0	2	0	16:55	—	—	45	24
Andreas Athanasiou C	L4	0	0	0	-1	6	0.53	0	0	0	17:23	—	—	43	29
Taro Hirose L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	36	40
Darren Helm C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	1	0	2	12:49	—	—	42	50
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	2	0	24:12	—	—	16	7
Alex Biega D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	2	20:40	—	—	22	13
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	1	0	0	28:27	—	—	29	16
Madison Bowey D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:21	—	—	29	15
Trevor Daley D	D3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:26	—	—	50	26
Gustav Lindstrom D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:07	—	—	50	26

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	3.86	65:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	+2	4	0.34	1	1	4	25:50	—	—	83	93
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.41	0	0	0	25:25	—	—	81	92
Jimmy Vesey L	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.54	2	0	2	19:01	—	—	86	96
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.55	0	0	0	16:04	—	—	63	74
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.26	1	0	2	16:00	—	—	63	68
Curtis Lazar C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	1	0	13:11	—	—	60	75
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	2	0	0	14:13	—	—	64	91
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	2	0	0	11:54	—	—	63	91
Scott Wilson C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	9:42	—	—	43	76
Marcus Johansson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	50	76
Michael Frolik R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	10:20	—	—	40	68
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.41	0	0	0	8:27	—	—	63	82
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	4	1	0	26:02	—	—	44	56
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.05	4	0	0	23:31	—	—	65	81
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	19:30	—	—	69	85
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	2	15:30	—	—	67	82
Colin Miller D	D3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.19	1	0	0	22:24	—	—	82	93
Lawrence Pilut D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:40	—	—	69	88

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	O	21	18	3	.857	1.55	63:25

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.