Detroit Red Wings vs. Buffalo SabresJan 17, 2022

Final / OTMonday, Jan 17, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Detroit Red WingsDET

3

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Buffalo SabresBUF

2

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
DET	0	0	2	1	3		DET	6	9	16	4	35
BUF	1	0	1	0	2		BUF	7	8	13	0	28

: DET 58BUF 41
: DET 3.47BUF 3.00
PP goals: DET 0BUF 0
Hits: DET 9BUF 10
Blocks: DET 6BUF 13
PIM: DET 6BUF 6
: DET 65%BUF 35%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (OT)

Detroit Red Wings beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 in overtime at BUF. Dylan Larkin (DET) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Aaron Dell (BUF) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +6 against a season average of 29.5; the overtime loss.

Points
Dylan Larkin had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:26.Larkin
Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 15:42.Skinner
Goalie
Aaron Dell (BUF) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +6 against a season average of 29.5; the overtime loss.Dell
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Hinostroza–Krebs skated 7:39 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (22.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Hinostroza Krebs
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Asplund–Cozens skated 8:06 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Asplund Cozens
Usage
Sam Gagner (DET) played 9:08, −4:33 down on his 13:41 season average over 80 games.Gagner
Usage
Filip Zadina (DET) played 10:19, −3:55 down on his 14:14 season average over 73 games.Zadina
Usage
Pius Suter (DET) played 21:02, +4:10 up on his 16:52 season average over 81 games.Suter

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · BUF 41 · DET 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 38% of the game, BUF 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	BUF
	60	37
	3.36	2.58
	3.23	2.51
	14	11
	1	4
	13	7
	+0.125	−0.124
	38%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Bertuzzi – Fabbri – Suter
14:1372% CF
L2Namestnikov – Larkin – Raymond
12:4841% CF
L3Erne – Rasmussen – Zadina
7:4573% CF
L4Gagner – Smith – Veleno
5:0350% CF
D1Staal – Hronek
15:1761% CF
D2DeKeyser – Seider
15:0463% CF
D3Leddy – Lindstrom
15:0167% CF

PP1Bertuzzi – Larkin – Fabbri – Seider – Raymond
0:59100% CF
PP2Leddy – Erne – Hronek – Suter – Zadina
0:380% CF
PK1FGagner – Suter
2:22
PK2FNamestnikov – Rasmussen
0:46
PK1DDeKeyser – Seider
2:16
PK2DStaal – Lindstrom
1:16

Current DET line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
10:2665% CF
L2Eakin – Hayden – Bjork
9:2427% CF
L3Olofsson – Asplund – Cozens
8:0638% CF
L4Okposo – Hinostroza – Krebs
7:3922% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
16:4950% CF
D2Pysyk – Samuelsson
14:4744% CF
D3Butcher – Hagg
13:4627% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin
2:2186% CF
PP2Hinostroza – Butcher – Olofsson – Asplund – Krebs
0:58100% CF
PK1FTuch – Thompson
0:45
PK2FOkposo – Eakin
0:40
PK1DPysyk – Samuelsson
0:45
PK2DHagg – Jokiharju
0:40

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:56
BUFHenri Jokiharju (Rasmus Dahlin, Jeff Skinner)wrist0.03 xG
DET: DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Suter, SeiderBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
DET 0 – 1 BUF

3rd period

9:21
BUFJeff Skinner (Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch)wrist0.18 xG
DET: Leddy, Namestnikov, Larkin, Seider, RaymondBUF: Skinner, Pysyk, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson
DET 0 – 2 BUF
10:21
DETVladislav NamestnikovSH (Moritz Seider, Tyler Bertuzzi)wrist0.18 xG
DET: Staal, Namestnikov, Bertuzzi, SeiderBUF: Okposo, Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin
DET 1 – 2 BUF
13:28
DETDylan Larkin (Robby Fabbri)wrist0.18 xG
DET: Staal, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, HronekBUF: Pysyk, Olofsson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens
DET 2 – 2 BUF

OT period

2:07
DETDylan Larkin (Nick Leddy)wrist0.18 xG
DET: Leddy, Larkin, FabbriBUF: Olofsson, Thompson, Jokiharju
DET 3 – 2 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Pius Suter C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.85	2	0	0	21:02	—	—	72	79
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.23	0	0	0	20:21	—	—	78	85
Robby Fabbri C	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.85	0	0	0	18:37	—	—	76	84
Dylan Larkin C	L2	2	0	2	+1	3	0.39	0	0	0	21:26	—	—	48	36
Lucas Raymond L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	1	0	0	19:48	—	—	46	29
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.34	0	1	0	17:04	—	—	42	21
Michael Rasmussen C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	12:26	—	—	71	39
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	2	12:10	—	—	69	31
Filip Zadina R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	10:19	—	—	67	51
Joseph Veleno C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	0	4	10:26	—	—	58	66
Sam Gagner C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	0	0	9:08	—	—	42	17
Givani Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:44	—	—	46	14
Filip Hronek D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:43	—	—	64	75
Marc Staal D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:19	—	—	61	82
Moritz Seider D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	1	0	0	22:01	—	—	57	46
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	2	0	20:10	—	—	63	58
Nick Leddy D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	20:49	—	—	60	41
Gustav Lindstrom D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	0	18:48	—	—	66	60

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	3.00	62:07

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.78	0	0	0	20:00	—	—	54	73
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.45	4	0	0	18:45	—	—	58	56
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	1	2	+1	6	0.86	0	0	0	15:42	—	—	55	59
Cody Eakin C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	13:47	—	—	33	25
Anders Bjork L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:43	—	—	33	31
John Hayden C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	12:28	—	—	25	17
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	17:47	—	—	36	38
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.51	0	0	0	15:25	—	—	43	50
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	2	2	15:21	—	—	28	24
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	2	16:33	—	—	25	22
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	0	0	2	14:41	—	—	22	21
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:36	—	—	33	23
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	1	0	1	0	1	0.03	2	2	0	23:44	—	—	44	49
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	23:18	—	—	52	57
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	19:12	—	—	43	45
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	18:29	—	—	38	36
Will Butcher D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	3	0	17:28	—	—	28	40
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	16:22	—	—	23	32

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Aaron Dell(start)	O	35	32	3	.914	3.47	62:07

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.