Detroit Red Wings vs. Buffalo SabresOct 31, 2022

FinalMonday, Oct 31, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

3

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

8

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	2	1	3		DET	6	9	3	18
BUF	1	3	4	8		BUF	14	15	17	46

: DET 33BUF 73
: DET 1.66BUF 3.84
PP goals: DET 0BUF 2
Hits: DET 20BUF 11
Blocks: DET 12BUF 5
PIM: DET 12BUF 4
: DET 51%BUF 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout Detroit Red Wings 8–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Detroit Red Wings 8–3 at home. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 3G 3A. Alex Nedeljkovic (DET) faced 46 shots and stopped 38 (.826), +15 against a season average of 31.1; the loss.

Points
Tage Thompson had a hat trick and 3 assists (6 points) on 9 shots in 17:06.Thompson
Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 15:55.Skinner
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:57.Dahlin
Points
Kyle Okposo had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:17.Okposo
Goalie
Alex Nedeljkovic (DET) faced 46 shots and stopped 38 (.826), +15 against a season average of 31.1; the loss.Nedeljkovic
Luck
BUF scored 8 goals on 3.84 expected goals (73 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Casey Fitzgerald (BUF) played 19:52, +8:15 up on his 11:37 season average over 26 games.Fitzgerald
New line
New look for BUF: Girgensons–Asplund–Krebs skated 11:03 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Asplund Krebs

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · BUF 73 · DET 33

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 12% of the game, BUF 52%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	BUF
	32	73
	1.74	3.43
	1.71	3.24
	6	11
	4	2
	10	13
	+0.016	−0.016
	12%	52%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Luff – Veleno – Zadina
9:5926% CF
L2Erne – Larkin – Raymond
9:3050% CF
L3Smith – Suter – Soderblom
9:0833% CF
L4Perron – Kubalik – Copp
8:0814% CF
D1Maatta – Hronek
17:5127% CF
D2Chiarot – Seider
15:3834% CF
D3Hagg – Lindstrom
13:5729% CF

PP1Perron – Kubalik – Larkin – Seider – Raymond
0:40
PP2Perron – Kubalik – Copp – Zadina – Seider
0:05100% CF
PK1FCopp – Larkin
2:49
PK2FErne – Suter
1:16
PK1DChiarot – Seider
2:10
PK2DMaatta – Hronek
1:28

Current DET line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Cozens – Peterka
11:4060% CF
L2Girgensons – Asplund – Krebs
11:03100% CF
L3Okposo – Skinner – Thompson
9:5267% CF
L4Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn
9:3253% CF
D1Bryson – Dahlin
15:1260% CF
D2Fitzgerald – Pilut
14:4864% CF
D3Clague – Power
11:0783% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Quinn
3:56
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Cozens
1:3250% CF
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
0:17
PK2FTuch – Olofsson
0:03
PK1DFitzgerald – Bryson
0:17
PK2DPilut – Power
0:11

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:52
BUFTage Thompson (Jeff Skinner, Casey Fitzgerald)slap0.02 xG
DET: Hagg, Smith, Lindstrom, Suter, SoderblomBUF: Skinner, Asplund, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Pilut
DET 0 – 1 BUF

2nd period

1:26
DETOlli Maatta (Andrew Copp, Filip Hronek)slap0.09 xG
DET: Perron, Maatta, Kubalik, Copp, HronekBUF: Okposo, Skinner, Clague, Thompson, Power
DET 1 – 1 BUF
5:22
BUFJack Quinn (Tage Thompson, Kyle Okposo)snap0.13 xG
DET: Perron, Erne, Hagg, Larkin, LindstromBUF: Okposo, Clague, Thompson, Quinn, Power
DET 1 – 2 BUF
14:26
BUFJeff Skinner (Tage Thompson)wrist0.21 xG
DET: Chiarot, Kubalik, Copp, Smith, SeiderBUF: Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Power
DET 1 – 3 BUF
18:30
BUFTage ThompsonPP (Alex Tuch, Kyle Okposo)wrist0.14 xG
DET: Copp, Erne, Hagg, HronekBUF: Okposo, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin
DET 1 – 4 BUF
19:03
DETDavid Perron (Joseph Veleno, Moritz Seider)wrist0.14 xG
DET: Perron, Chiarot, Veleno, Seider, RaymondBUF: Girgensons, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Power
DET 2 – 4 BUF

3rd period

4:19
DETDylan LarkinSHwrist0.08 xG
DET: Chiarot, Copp, Larkin, SeiderBUF: Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Cozens, Power
DET 3 – 4 BUF
12:53
BUFRasmus DahlinPP (Casey Mittelstadt, Tage Thompson)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Chiarot, Maatta, Erne, LarkinBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
DET 3 – 5 BUF
14:47
BUFDylan Cozens (Owen Power, JJ Peterka)wrist0.03 xG
DET: Chiarot, Maatta, Erne, Larkin, RaymondBUF: Olofsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Power
DET 3 – 6 BUF
15:58
BUFTage Thompson (Jeff Skinner, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.16 xG
DET: Perron, Kubalik, Copp, Hagg, LindstromBUF: Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Bryson, Dahlin
DET 3 – 7 BUF
19:21
BUFRasmus Asplund (Peyton Krebs, Zemgus Girgensons)wrist0.15 xG
DET: Maatta, Smith, Hronek, Suter, SoderblomBUF: Girgensons, Asplund, Clague, Fitzgerald, Krebs
DET 3 – 8 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Joseph Veleno C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	15:05	—	—	33	31
Filip Zadina R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	33	23
Matt Luff R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	10:58	—	—	30	18
Dylan Larkin C	L2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.14	1	1	2	18:28	—	—	45	43
Lucas Raymond L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:50	—	—	55	60
Adam Erne L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.34	6	0	0	15:10	—	—	40	43
Pius Suter C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.11	0	1	0	14:26	—	—	30	40
Elmer Soderblom L	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:43	—	—	32	40
Givani Smith R	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.13	1	1	0	10:35	—	—	32	34
Andrew Copp C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	17	24
David Perron L	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.32	0	0	2	13:20	—	—	19	32
Dominik Kubalik L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	0	2	0	13:04	—	—	15	23
Olli Maatta D	D1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.15	0	1	0	24:03	—	—	25	36
Filip Hronek D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	22:00	—	—	30	37
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	0	2	21:54	—	—	32	44
Moritz Seider D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	2	3	0	21:26	—	—	34	45
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.02	2	2	0	15:23	—	—	29	9
Gustav Lindstrom D	D3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.06	2	1	2	14:28	—	—	29	9

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	L	46	38	8	.826	3.84	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	1	1	0	18:41	—	—	67	56
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.44	2	0	0	17:11	—	—	68	55
JJ Peterka R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.02	0	0	0	13:48	—	—	65	52
Rasmus Asplund C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.21	0	1	0	14:45	—	—	90	82
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	13:49	—	—	93	80
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.27	1	0	0	13:42	—	—	100	100
Tage Thompson C	L3	3	3	6	+3	9	0.87	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	71	71
Jeff Skinner L	L3	1	2	3	+2	4	0.42	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	72	69
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	2	2	+1	3	0.19	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	67	69
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	57	62
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	1	1	-2	2	0.34	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	48	55
Jack Quinn R	L4	1	0	1	+2	3	0.40	1	0	0	13:32	—	—	58	68
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.29	2	0	2	25:57	—	—	68	54
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:16	—	—	56	38
Casey Fitzgerald D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.05	1	0	2	19:52	—	—	68	66
Lawrence Pilut D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	3	0	15:56	—	—	57	58
Owen Power D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	18:06	—	—	77	77
Kale Clague D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	1	0	0	13:17	—	—	86	88

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	W	18	15	3	.833	1.66	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.