Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa SenatorsNov 15, 2018

FinalThursday, Nov 15, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	1	0	1		DET	9	10	16	35
OTT	1	1	0	2		OTT	10	18	8	36

: DET 74OTT 59
: DET 3.66OTT 2.62
PP goals: DET 0OTT 1
Hits: DET 30OTT 12
Blocks: DET 10OTT 20
PIM: DET 15OTT 9
: DET 47%OTT 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Detroit Red Wings 2–1

Ottawa Senators beat Detroit Red Wings 2–1 at home. Matt Duchene (OTT) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for OTT: Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi skated 9:06 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Matt Duchene had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:12.Duchene
New line
New look for OTT: Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi skated 9:06 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pyatt Smith Paajarvi
Luck
DET scored 1 goal on 3.66 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +5 against a season average of 31.1; the loss.Howard
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 35 shots and stopped 34 (.971), +1 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Anderson
New line
New look for OTT: Boedker–Duchene–Batherson skated 4:34 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Boedker Duchene Batherson
Usage
Mark Stone (OTT) played 23:34, +3:44 up on his 19:50 season average over 76 games.Stone
Usage
Trevor Daley (DET) played 21:33, +3:04 up on his 18:29 season average over 43 games.Daley

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · OTT 59 · DET 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 40% of the game, OTT 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	OTT
	70	48
	3.09	1.57
	3.01	1.52
	13	7
	2	10
	25	18
	−0.045	+0.045
	40%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Nielsen – Nyquist – Athanasiou
11:0555% CF
L2Helm – Mantha – Larkin
10:3657% CF
L3Abdelkader – Glendening – Bertuzzi
7:4571% CF
L4Megan – Frk – Rasmussen
2:2733% CF
D1Daley – Green
14:3461% CF
D2Jensen – DeKeyser
13:1059% CF
D3Kronwall – Cholowski
10:3547% CF

PP1Green – Frk – Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
2:2475% CF
PP2Nielsen – Nyquist – Athanasiou – Cholowski – Rasmussen
1:07100% CF
PK1FAbdelkader – Glendening
2:46
PK2FNielsen – Helm
2:09
PK1DDaley – DeKeyser
2:57
PK2DKronwall – Jensen
1:37

Current DET line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Dzingel – Tierney
9:3433% CF
L2Pyatt – Smith – Paajarvi
9:0627% CF
L3Stone – White – Tkachuk
8:2743% CF
L4Boedker – Duchene – Batherson
4:3445% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
18:0342% CF
D2Ceci – Lajoie
13:1432% CF
D3Borowiecki – Wideman
8:2553% CF

PP1Ryan – Stone – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
3:1192% CF
PP2Boedker – Duchene – Wideman – Dzingel – Batherson
3:0767% CF
PK1FStone – Tierney
1:02
PK2FSmith – Paajarvi
0:50
PK1DCeci – Lajoie
2:09
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
0:40

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:21
OTTCody Ceci (Matt Duchene, Mark Stone)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Daley, Nielsen, Green, Nyquist, AthanasiouOTT: Smith, Duchene, Stone, Ceci, Lajoie
DET 0 – 1 OTT

2nd period

3:55
DETMichael Rasmussen (Mike Green, Trevor Daley)slap0.02 xG
DET: Daley, Green, Frk, Athanasiou, RasmussenOTT: Boedker, Borowiecki, Duchene, Lajoie, Batherson
DET 1 – 1 OTT
7:05
OTTDrake BathersonPP (Matt Duchene)wrist0.05 xG
DET: Kronwall, Daley, Nielsen, HelmOTT: Boedker, Duchene, Wideman, Dzingel, Batherson
DET 1 – 2 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Frans Nielsen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	4	0	18:40	—	—	50	63
Andreas Athanasiou C	L1	0	0	0	0	7	1.28	3	0	0	17:38	—	—	66	80
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	1	0	0	16:47	—	—	68	80
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	1	0	4	22:06	—	—	61	57
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	2	2	2	19:58	—	—	61	56
Darren Helm C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	0	0	15:24	—	—	50	41
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	4	0	0	16:40	—	—	60	66
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:05	—	—	68	71
Justin Abdelkader L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.44	7	1	5	14:03	—	—	62	76
Michael Rasmussen C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.33	3	0	0	10:47	—	—	64	93
Martin Frk R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	6:56	—	—	33	40
Wade Megan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	3:22	—	—	33	26
Mike Green D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	0	1	2	22:01	—	—	60	68
Trevor Daley D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.32	1	0	0	21:33	—	—	62	73
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	0	0	21:23	—	—	63	63
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	1	0	17:57	—	—	58	62
Dennis Cholowski D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	16:43	—	—	60	70
Niklas Kronwall D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	16:38	—	—	44	58

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	36	34	2	.944	2.62	58:01

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.38	0	0	0	17:36	—	—	52	58
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	1	2	0	16:54	—	—	39	44
Chris Tierney C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:04	—	—	28	31
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	1	2	14:26	—	—	31	34
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	11:57	—	—	27	24
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	11:55	—	—	30	32
Mark Stone R	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	1	0	0	23:34	—	—	45	28
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	1	0	18:02	—	—	48	26
Brady Tkachuk L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.78	0	0	5	14:23	—	—	62	43
Matt Duchene C	L4	0	2	2	0	3	0.12	1	0	0	17:12	—	—	52	60
Mikkel Boedker L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:59	—	—	42	31
Drake Batherson R	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.14	0	1	0	10:47	—	—	35	31
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	6	0.14	1	3	0	27:00	—	—	41	37
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	3	0	21:36	—	—	42	37
Cody Ceci D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	2	2	0	19:42	—	—	31	22
Maxime Lajoie D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	19:00	—	—	37	22
Chris Wideman D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	13:29	—	—	53	45
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	2	2	11:24	—	—	46	24

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	35	34	1	.971	3.66	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.