Buffalo Sabres vs. Colorado AvalancheDec 5, 2017

FinalTuesday, Dec 5, 2017· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	2	2	4		BUF	9	12	14	35
COL	0	1	1	2		COL	10	16	11	37

: BUF 63COL 75
: BUF 3.53COL 3.08
PP goals: BUF 0COL 2
Hits: BUF 21COL 20
Blocks: BUF 22COL 15
PIM: BUF 14COL 6
: BUF 53%COL 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Colorado Avalanche 4–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Colorado Avalanche 4–2 at COL. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon and Rantanen) scored 2 power-play goals on 16 attempts in 6:57 together.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 21:48.MacKinnon
Points
Benoit Pouliot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:49.Pouliot
Points
Jack Eichel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:12.Eichel
Points
Jake McCabe had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:21.McCabe
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:47.Kerfoot
Points
Ryan O'Reilly had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:24.O'Reilly
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon and Rantanen) scored 2 power-play goals on 16 attempts in 6:57 together.Barrie Kerfoot Compher MacKinnon Rantanen
New line
New look for BUF: Nolan–Larsson–Reinhart skated 5:52 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nolan Larsson Reinhart

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 138 of 138 attempts · COL 75 · BUF 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 35% of the game, COL 45%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	COL
	50	50
	2.39	1.49
	2.14	1.44
	13	7
	0	1
	13	5
	+0.014	−0.014
	35%	45%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Kane – Eichel
9:0358% CF
L2Nolan – Larsson – Reinhart
5:5245% CF
L3Okposo – Wilson – Rodrigues
5:2578% CF
L4Pouliot – O'Reilly – Fasching
5:2355% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
13:3150% CF
D2Bogosian – McCabe
11:1959% CF
D3Falk – Antipin
8:4042% CF

PP1Pominville – Okposo – O'Reilly – Fasching – Ristolainen
3:4683% CF
PP2Okposo – O'Reilly – Kane – Ristolainen – Eichel
0:59100% CF
PK1FPouliot – O'Reilly
3:30
PK2FWilson – Rodrigues
1:52
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
4:40
PK2DFalk – McCabe
2:43

Current BUF line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
7:4785% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
5:1540% CF
L3Yakupov – Kerfoot – Jost
3:4613% CF
L4Wilson – Grimaldi – Andrighetto
2:5275% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
7:3371% CF
D2Barrie – Zadorov
5:5233% CF
D3Siemens – Lindholm
4:5543% CF

PP1Barrie – Kerfoot – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
6:57100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Yakupov – Andrighetto – Girard
2:23100% CF
PK1FNieto – Compher
3:01
PK2FComeau – Soderberg
2:27
PK1DJohnson – Zadorov
3:40
PK2DBarrie – Siemens
0:24

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:32
BUFBenoit PouliotSH (Ryan O'Reilly)wrist0.06 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Scandella, O'Reilly, RistolainenCOL: Johnson, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
BUF 1 – 0 COL
12:22
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Alexander Kerfoot, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.03 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Scandella, O'Reilly, RistolainenCOL: Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
BUF 1 – 1 COL
18:59
BUFJake McCabe (Benoit Pouliot, Johan Larsson)slap0.04 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Larsson, Wilson, McCabe, RistolainenCOL: Barrie, Grimaldi, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
BUF 2 – 1 COL

3rd period

9:58
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Tyson Barrie, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.11 xG
BUF: Scandella, O'Reilly, Larsson, RistolainenCOL: Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
BUF 2 – 2 COL
11:54
BUFEvander Kane (Jack Eichel, Jake McCabe)wrap-around0.00 xG
BUF: Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, EichelCOL: Johnson, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov
BUF 3 – 2 COL
19:27
BUFJack EichelEN (Ryan O'Reilly)wrist0.87 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Scandella, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, EichelCOL: Soderberg, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
BUF 4 – 2 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evander Kane L	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.49	1	1	0	17:22	—	—	53	58
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	1.12	1	0	2	17:12	—	—	48	58
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	0	1	0	15:06	—	—	55	61
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	1	1	0	13:12	—	—	35	52
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	2	9:09	—	—	35	23
Jordan Nolan C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:28	—	—	47	80
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	1	0	2	15:35	—	—	77	85
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	0	14:33	—	—	56	77
Scott Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	2	0	0	14:19	—	—	56	72
Ryan O'Reilly C	L4	0	2	2	+2	4	0.12	0	0	0	19:24	—	—	57	60
Benoit Pouliot L	L4	1	1	2	+3	2	0.17	0	2	0	16:49	—	—	50	63
Hudson Fasching R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	11:01	—	—	53	46
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	+4	4	0.23	2	1	2	30:42	—	—	52	66
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	2	22:25	—	—	46	71
Jake McCabe D	D2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.04	4	5	0	19:21	—	—	53	62
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	3	2	4	18:40	—	—	56	67
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	13:25	—	—	32	34
Victor Antipin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	10:57	—	—	46	55

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	3.08	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	-3	3	0.35	0	0	2	23:01	—	—	64	45
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	0	2	-3	7	0.83	0	0	0	21:48	—	—	74	75
J.T. Compher L	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.23	1	1	0	21:18	—	—	62	54
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	55	45
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	0	11:44	—	—	42	26
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	11:29	—	—	35	14
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	2	2	-3	2	0.14	0	2	0	18:47	—	—	22	12
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	0	0	15:32	—	—	52	40
Nail Yakupov R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	9:59	—	—	20	13
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	15:45	—	—	64	32
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	3	0	0	11:47	—	—	64	78
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	8:59	—	—	37	38
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.32	2	3	0	24:35	—	—	56	49
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	1	0	18:52	—	—	56	49
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	1	1	-2	3	0.19	1	2	0	27:24	—	—	41	22
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	2	2	16:48	—	—	33	23
Anton Lindholm D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	2	0	12:54	—	—	59	52
Duncan Siemens D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:58	—	—	50	48

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	34	31	3	.912	2.66	58:02

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.