Buffalo Sabres vs. Colorado AvalancheFeb 26, 2020

FinalWednesday, Feb 26, 2020· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	1	0	2		BUF	11	9	13	33
COL	1	1	1	3		COL	9	11	14	34

: BUF 56COL 80
: BUF 2.84COL 3.87
PP goals: BUF 0COL 2
Hits: BUF 27COL 17
Blocks: BUF 27COL 13
PIM: BUF 6COL 4
: BUF 41%COL 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 at home. J.T. Compher (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Jost and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 3:47 together.

Points
J.T. Compher had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:18.Compher
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Jost and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 3:47 together.Landeskog Compher MacKinnon Jost Makar
New line
New look for BUF: Simmonds–Johansson–Skinner skated 8:43 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Simmonds Johansson Skinner
New line
New look for COL: Namestnikov–Bellemare–Kaut skated 7:04 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Namestnikov Bellemare Kaut
Usage
Tyson Jost (COL) played 17:42, +5:00 up on his 12:42 season average over 66 games.Jost
Usage
J.T. Compher (COL) played 21:18, +4:37 up on his 16:41 season average over 66 games.Compher
Usage
Vladislav Kamenev (COL) played 5:52, −3:12 down on his 9:04 season average over 37 games.Kamenev
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 23:47, +4:34 up on his 19:13 season average over 58 games.Dahlin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 136 of 136 attempts · COL 80 · BUF 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 24% of the game, COL 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	COL
	52	77
	2.05	2.96
	1.98	2.78
	6	13
	7	5
	7	12
	−0.092	+0.092
	24%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
11:4150% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
11:0750% CF
L3Simmonds – Johansson – Skinner
8:4333% CF
L4Frolik – Vesey – Lazar
6:3633% CF
D1Miller – Dahlin
17:3656% CF
D2Ristolainen – Montour
16:5922% CF
D3McCabe – Jokiharju
12:3848% CF

PP1Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
3:19100% CF
PP2Simmonds – Johansson – Skinner – Miller – Montour
0:27
PK1FFrolik – Lazar
2:23
PK2FLarsson – Girgensons
1:02
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
3:17
PK2DMiller – Jokiharju
0:44

Current BUF line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Nichushkin
13:5481% CF
L2Donskoi – Compher – Jost
10:2969% CF
L3Namestnikov – Bellemare – Kaut
7:0440% CF
L4Nieto – Kamenev – O'Connor
3:4444% CF
D1Cole – Zadorov
14:1263% CF
D2Graves – Makar
14:0669% CF
D3Johnson – Girard
12:0848% CF

PP1Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Jost – Makar
3:47100% CF
PP2Johnson – Donskoi – Graves – Nichushkin – Bellemare
0:17100% CF
PK1FNieto – Compher
1:12
PK2FDonskoi – Jost
0:36
PK1DCole – Zadorov
1:27
PK2DJohnson – Graves
1:12

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.29	0	1	0	19:42	—	—	53	60
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.58	0	2	0	19:37	—	—	47	49
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.45	0	0	0	19:01	—	—	48	47
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	3	1	0	16:45	—	—	37	37
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.55	1	0	0	15:40	—	—	50	56
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	54	63
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	14:11	—	—	33	23
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	0	13:07	—	—	30	18
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	12:53	—	—	28	19
Curtis Lazar C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	3	4	0	12:10	—	—	35	22
Michael Frolik R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	1	0	10:48	—	—	33	22
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	2	0	9:39	—	—	29	19
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	2	4	2	23:47	—	—	56	53
Colin Miller D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	3	1	0	19:37	—	—	55	52
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	7	8	0	24:13	—	—	20	1
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	2	1	2	18:47	—	—	27	6
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	1	1	0	17:11	—	—	45	59
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	0	1	2	15:00	—	—	42	55

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	34	31	3	.912	3.87	58:31

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.69	0	0	0	22:26	—	—	70	69
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.31	1	0	0	22:22	—	—	69	59
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	2	0	0	16:59	—	—	77	94
J.T. Compher L	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.26	0	0	0	21:18	—	—	69	52
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.82	1	1	0	17:42	—	—	71	52
Joonas Donskoi R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	1	2	0	14:15	—	—	67	53
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.38	0	0	2	15:34	—	—	43	59
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	3	0	0	12:17	—	—	40	38
Martin Kaut R	L3	1	0	1	-2	2	0.09	1	0	0	11:13	—	—	50	56
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:33	—	—	55	81
Logan O'Connor R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.16	0	1	0	8:33	—	—	41	39
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.05	1	1	0	5:52	—	—	41	41
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	0	18:41	—	—	66	73
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	0	0	18:41	—	—	61	70
Cale Makar D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	0	0	0	22:35	—	—	65	59
Ryan Graves D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	2	2	2	18:58	—	—	64	66
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.17	1	3	0	18:36	—	—	56	46
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.05	0	1	0	18:28	—	—	43	41

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	33	31	2	.939	2.84	59:57

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Colorado AvalancheFeb 26, 2020

Fantasy takeaways

Colorado Avalanche edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Colorado Avalanche

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Colorado Avalanche