Buffalo Sabres vs. Chicago BlackhawksJan 17, 2023

Final / OTTuesday, Jan 17, 2023· United Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	2	1	0	0	3		BUF	11	10	10	2	33
CHI	1	0	2	1	4		CHI	4	9	10	3	26

: BUF 63CHI 54
: BUF 3.65CHI 2.49
PP goals: BUF 0CHI 0
Hits: BUF 13CHI 28
Blocks: BUF 15CHI 12
PIM: BUF 10CHI 4
: BUF 42%CHI 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Chicago Blackhawks edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (OT)

Chicago Blackhawks beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 in overtime at home. Seth Jones (CHI) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for CHI: Kane–Johnson–Domi skated 12:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (26.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Seth Jones had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 23:52.Jones
Points
Philipp Kurashev had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 20:25.Kurashev
Points
Tyler Johnson had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:35.Johnson
New line
New look for CHI: Kane–Johnson–Domi skated 12:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (26.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kane Johnson Domi
New line
New look for CHI: Athanasiou–Dickinson–Lafferty skated 12:03 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Athanasiou Dickinson Lafferty
Luck
CHI scored 4 goals on 2.49 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Philipp Kurashev (CHI) played 20:25, +3:02 up on his 17:23 season average over 69 games.Kurashev
Usage
MacKenzie Entwistle (CHI) played 7:16, −4:43 down on his 11:59 season average over 65 games.Entwistle

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)CHI attacks right (top on phones) →

CHI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · CHI 54 · BUF 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CHI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CHI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 43% of the game, CHI 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CHI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	CHI
	67	56
	3.39	2.11
	3.28	2.04
	16	12
	2	4
	23	17
	−0.044	+0.044
	43%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
11:3436% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
11:1084% CF
L3Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
10:3258% CF
L4Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
9:5063% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
18:3262% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
14:5027% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
8:3976% CF

PP1Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
1:5650% CF
PP2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
1:3350% CF
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
0:36
PK2FTuch – Jost
0:34
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
1:01
PK2DDahlin – Lyubushkin
0:34

Current BUF line combinations →

Chicago Blackhawks

L1Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev
12:3253% CF
L2Kane – Johnson – Domi
12:0526% CF
L3Athanasiou – Dickinson – Lafferty
12:0353% CF
L4Blackwell – Entwistle – Johnson
6:2017% CF
D1McCabe – Jones
14:5754% CF
D2Johnson – Murphy
12:3821% CF
D3Jones – Phillips
9:5443% CF

PP1Toews – Kane – Jones – Domi – Raddysh
1:210% CF
PP2Johnson – Athanasiou – Lafferty – Jones – Kurashev
0:36
PK1FBlackwell – Johnson
1:10
PK2FLafferty – Kurashev
0:50
PK1DMurphy – Phillips
1:09
PK2DMcCabe – Jones
0:53

Current CHI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:41
CHIConnor Murphy (Philipp Kurashev, Jonathan Toews)wrist0.09 xG
BUF: Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Bryson, LyubushkinCHI: Toews, Murphy, Jones, Raddysh, Kurashev
BUF 0 – 1 CHI
12:15
BUFVictor Olofsson (Tyson Jost, Casey Mittelstadt)wrist0.20 xG
BUF: Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, PowerCHI: McCabe, Athanasiou, Dickinson, Jones, Lafferty
BUF 1 – 1 CHI
19:53
BUFTage Thompson (Jeff Skinner, Alex Tuch)wrist0.12 xG
BUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, PowerCHI: McCabe, Athanasiou, Dickinson, Jones, Lafferty
BUF 2 – 1 CHI

2nd period

6:21
BUFPeyton KrebsSHbackhand0.15 xG
BUF: Okposo, Jokiharju, Dahlin, KrebsCHI: Toews, Kane, Jones, Domi, Raddysh
BUF 3 – 1 CHI

3rd period

1:34
CHIPhilipp Kurashev (Seth Jones, Taylor Raddysh)tip-in0.09 xG
BUF: Skinner, Olofsson, Jost, Samuelsson, DahlinCHI: McCabe, Jones, Lafferty, Raddysh, Kurashev
BUF 3 – 2 CHI
19:04
CHISeth Jones (Philipp Kurashev, Tyler Johnson)wrist0.03 xG
BUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, DahlinCHI: Toews, Kane, Johnson, Jones, Domi, Kurashev
BUF 3 – 3 CHI

OT period

2:24
CHISeth Jones (Tyler Johnson)backhand0.15 xG
BUF: Jost, Mittelstadt, DahlinCHI: Johnson, Athanasiou, Jones
BUF 3 – 4 CHI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.41	0	0	0	16:38	—	—	36	51
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	15:42	—	—	40	55
Tyson Jost C	L1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.32	2	1	0	14:45	—	—	36	50
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.20	1	2	0	15:36	—	—	59	40
Peyton Krebs C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	2	0	0	15:00	—	—	71	62
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	0	14:26	—	—	71	54
Tage Thompson C	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.87	2	0	0	17:48	—	—	57	63
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.16	0	0	0	17:39	—	—	65	80
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:55	—	—	46	59
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	1	0	15:11	—	—	64	85
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	1	1	0	14:08	—	—	64	83
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	0	0	14:06	—	—	67	87
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.08	1	1	0	25:14	—	—	61	72
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	+3	3	0.06	1	2	0	23:23	—	—	61	72
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.35	0	3	10	22:33	—	—	35	38
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	2	2	0	21:20	—	—	32	45
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	13:06	—	—	72	71
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	67	71

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	O	26	22	4	.846	2.49	62:24

Chicago Blackhawks

CHI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Philipp Kurashev C	L1	1	2	3	+3	2	0.32	0	0	0	20:25	—	—	58	47
Jonathan Toews C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	0	0	0	17:54	—	—	52	48
Taylor Raddysh R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.31	0	1	0	16:35	—	—	54	57
Patrick Kane R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	33	21
Max Domi C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	0	0	19:05	—	—	38	30
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.23	1	0	0	17:35	—	—	42	30
Sam Lafferty C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.33	3	0	0	17:56	—	—	61	50
Jason Dickinson C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:47	—	—	44	32
Andreas Athanasiou C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	0	14:58	—	—	62	45
Colin Blackwell C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:59	—	—	17	4
Reese Johnson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	8:30	—	—	15	4
MacKenzie Entwistle R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:16	—	—	15	4
Seth Jones D	D1	2	1	3	0	4	0.39	3	2	0	23:52	—	—	52	47
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	1	0	20:28	—	—	57	51
Connor Murphy D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	2	4	2	20:29	—	—	34	42
Jack Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	18:40	—	—	23	27
Isaak Phillips D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	1	0	18:33	—	—	52	39
Caleb Jones D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	3	0	0	17:38	—	—	50	24

CHI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	3.65	61:43

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.