Buffalo Sabres vs. St. Louis BluesDec 10, 2017

Final / OTSunday, Dec 10, 2017· Scottrade Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	0	2	0	2		BUF	7	7	9	1	24
STL	1	1	0	1	3		STL	16	9	16	4	45

: BUF 47STL 71
: BUF 1.46STL 4.20
PP goals: BUF 1STL 0
Hits: BUF 32STL 29
Blocks: BUF 18STL 13
PIM: BUF 18STL 10
: BUF 52%STL 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (OT)

St. Louis Blues beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 in overtime at home. Evan Rodrigues (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Robin Lehner (BUF) faced 45 shots and stopped 42 (.933), +16 against a season average of 29.4; the overtime loss.

Points
Evan Rodrigues had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:29.Rodrigues
Points
Paul Stastny had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 19:35.Stastny
Points
Vladimir Tarasenko had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 8 shots in 22:41.Tarasenko
Points
Joel Edmundson had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:49.Edmundson
Goalie
Robin Lehner (BUF) faced 45 shots and stopped 42 (.933), +16 against a season average of 29.4; the overtime loss.Lehner
Usage
Colton Parayko (STL) played 27:32, +4:59 up on his 22:33 season average over 81 games.Parayko
Usage
Joel Edmundson (STL) played 25:49, +5:09 up on his 20:40 season average over 68 games.Edmundson
New line
New look for BUF: Wilson–Reinhart–Rodrigues skated 4:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Wilson Reinhart Rodrigues

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)STL attacks right (top on phones) →

STL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · STL 71 · BUF 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

STL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

STL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 14% of the game, STL 49%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

STL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	STL
	38	60
	1.02	3.44
	1.01	3.32
	2	8
	6	7
	4	13
	+0.036	−0.036
	14%	49%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Kane – Eichel
8:4853% CF
L2Pouliot – Okposo – O'Reilly
5:5722% CF
L3Wilson – Reinhart – Rodrigues
4:1025% CF
L4Larsson – Girgensons – Fasching
2:1175% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
17:4842% CF
D2Bogosian – McCabe
14:4438% CF
D3Gorges – Falk
8:5243% CF

PP1Kane – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Rodrigues
5:1186% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Scandella – O'Reilly – Fasching
1:29
PK1FPouliot – Larsson
1:16
PK2FWilson – Girgensons
1:16
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
2:35
PK2DGorges – McCabe
2:15

Current BUF line combinations →

St. Louis Blues

L1Stastny – Sobotka – Tarasenko
11:2176% CF
L2Steen – Schenn – Jaskin
11:0857% CF
L3Berglund – Paajarvi – Barbashev
7:4356% CF
L4Upshall – Brodziak – Sundqvist
5:1029% CF
D1Edmundson – Parayko
16:2468% CF
D2Bouwmeester – Bortuzzo
14:0150% CF
D3Gunnarsson – Dunn
11:1553% CF

PP1Steen – Schenn – Tarasenko – Jaskin – Dunn
2:5767% CF
PP2Stastny – Sobotka – Berglund – Tarasenko – Parayko
2:20100% CF
PK1FBrodziak – Sobotka
2:28
PK2FUpshall – Paajarvi
0:53
PK1DEdmundson – Parayko
4:53
PK2DBouwmeester – Bortuzzo
1:19

Current STL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.14	2	2	10	22:51	—	—	52	32
Evander Kane L	L1	0	1	1	-3	1	0.09	3	1	0	21:52	—	—	50	30
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.19	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	50	26
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.09	0	0	0	19:59	—	—	23	7
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:00	—	—	32	11
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	36	37
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	2	0	2	+1	3	0.30	0	0	0	16:29	—	—	38	18
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.27	0	0	0	15:01	—	—	38	31
Scott Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:11	—	—	27	11
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	38	55
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	2	0	0	11:18	—	—	42	40
Hudson Fasching R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	6:47	—	—	38	5
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	8	7	0	29:17	—	—	41	36
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	26:35	—	—	38	20
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	2	19:51	—	—	36	32
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	17:53	—	—	37	34
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:59	—	—	43	17
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	5	2	6	11:40	—	—	38	11

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	O	45	42	3	.933	4.20	64:06

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	1	1	2	+1	8	0.55	1	0	0	22:41	—	—	70	77
Vladimir Sobotka C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	2	19:47	—	—	75	87
Paul Stastny C	L1	1	1	2	+1	7	0.91	2	1	0	19:35	—	—	71	79
Alexander Steen L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.40	1	0	0	19:58	—	—	58	74
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.11	2	1	0	17:50	—	—	54	69
Brayden Schenn C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.22	0	0	4	17:49	—	—	58	73
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	0	0	15:17	—	—	57	47
Ivan Barbashev L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	4	0	0	12:36	—	—	53	62
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	0	0	10:19	—	—	71	81
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.76	1	0	0	11:54	—	—	57	86
Scottie Upshall R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	10:42	—	—	30	79
Oskar Sundqvist C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	8:19	—	—	36	80
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	1	1	+3	4	0.14	4	5	0	27:32	—	—	71	86
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.18	2	2	0	25:49	—	—	64	79
Jay Bouwmeester D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	18:41	—	—	53	66
Robert Bortuzzo D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	4	0	2	17:12	—	—	58	80
Vince Dunn D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	2	0	18:00	—	—	58	63
Carl Gunnarsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:23	—	—	56	67

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	1.46	64:24

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. St. Louis BluesDec 10, 2017

Fantasy takeaways

St. Louis Blues edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

St. Louis Blues

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

St. Louis Blues