Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston BruinsDec 16, 2018

FinalSunday, Dec 16, 2018· TD Garden

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	3	4		BUF	10	9	8	27
BOS	0	1	1	2		BOS	14	10	13	37

: BUF 40BOS 67
: BUF 2.50BOS 4.41
PP goals: BUF 0BOS 0
Hits: BUF 23BOS 27
Blocks: BUF 14BOS 8
PIM: BUF 4BOS 2
: BUF 46%BOS 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Boston Bruins 4–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Boston Bruins 4–2 at BOS. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 2A. BOS scored 2 goals on 4.41 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Jack Eichel had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 6 shots in 19:00.Eichel
Points
Sam Reinhart had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:46.Reinhart
Points
Jeff Skinner had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:22.Skinner
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:35.Dahlin
Luck
BOS scored 2 goals on 4.41 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +6 against a season average of 31.0; the win.Ullmark
Usage
Torey Krug (BOS) played 25:58, +4:44 up on his 21:14 season average over 63 games.Krug
Luck
BUF scored 4 goals on 2.50 expected goals (40 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)BOS attacks right (top on phones) →

BOS
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · BOS 67 · BUF 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BOS
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BOS pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 18% of the game, BOS 56%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BOS

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	BOS
	42	60
	1.77	4.06
	1.69	3.96
	7	12
	5	4
	32	25
	−0.005	+0.005
	18%	56%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
13:3156% CF
L2Larsson – Girgensons – Rodrigues
12:3547% CF
L3Pominville – Sobotka – Thompson
9:3733% CF
L4Okposo – Sheary – Mittelstadt
9:2033% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
16:1316% CF
D2Bogosian – Dahlin
10:5560% CF
D3Hunwick – Guhle
7:4623% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
1:35100% CF
PP2Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
0:22
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:31
PK2FEichel – Rodrigues
0:23
PK1DBogosian – Scandella
1:54
PK2DHunwick – Ristolainen
0:15

Current BUF line combinations →

Boston Bruins

L1Krejci – Marchand – Pastrnak
11:2976% CF
L2Donato – Heinen – Forsbacka Karlsson
10:0965% CF
L3Wagner – Kuraly – Acciari
9:1671% CF
L4Backes – Nordstrom – Cave
5:5330% CF
D1Grzelcyk – McAvoy
15:5452% CF
D2Krug – Carlo
15:3253% CF
D3Kampfer – Moore
10:3253% CF

PP1Backes – Marchand – Krug – Pastrnak – Donato
2:46100% CF
PP2Krejci – Grzelcyk – Heinen – Forsbacka Karlsson – McAvoy
0:39
PK1FKuraly – Cave
1:14
PK2FMarchand – Acciari
0:46
PK1DMoore – Carlo
1:33
PK2DGrzelcyk – McAvoy
0:27

Current BOS line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:18
BUFJeff Skinner (Jack Eichel, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.02 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, DahlinBOS: Kampfer, Moore, Donato, Heinen, Forsbacka Karlsson
BUF 1 – 0 BOS
5:18
BOSSteven Kampfer (Joakim Nordstrom, David Backes)wrist0.07 xG
BUF: Pominville, Sobotka, Bogosian, Thompson, DahlinBOS: Backes, Kampfer, Moore, Nordstrom, Cave
BUF 1 – 1 BOS

3rd period

5:43
BUFJack Eichel (Sam Reinhart, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.02 xG
BUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Guhle, DahlinBOS: Krejci, Kuraly, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, McAvoy
BUF 2 – 1 BOS
13:21
BOSTorey Krug (David Krejci, Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson)wrist0.10 xG
BUF: Hunwick, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, EichelBOS: Krejci, Krug, Heinen, Forsbacka Karlsson, McAvoy
BUF 2 – 2 BOS
16:29
BUFJeff Skinner (Jack Eichel, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.12 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, DahlinBOS: Backes, Nordstrom, Grzelcyk, Cave, McAvoy
BUF 3 – 2 BOS
19:35
BUFJack EichelEN (Sam Reinhart, Zemgus Girgensons)snap0.68 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Scandella, Girgensons, Reinhart, EichelBOS: Backes, Krejci, Marchand, Krug, Pastrnak, Donato
BUF 4 – 2 BOS

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	2	2	4	+3	6	1.10	0	1	0	19:00	—	—	52	47
Jeff Skinner L	L1	2	0	2	+2	2	0.25	1	0	0	17:22	—	—	50	32
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	3	3	+3	2	0.27	0	0	0	16:46	—	—	54	33
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:58	—	—	44	27
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	16:49	—	—	44	27
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	1	1	0	16:22	—	—	47	30
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	1	0	0	13:36	—	—	29	9
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:38	—	—	37	21
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:09	—	—	32	16
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	1	0	0	14:15	—	—	32	47
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:11	—	—	30	44
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	12:07	—	—	33	59
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	5	3	0	23:22	—	—	19	22
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	22:07	—	—	19	26
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	4	2	0	24:20	—	—	60	39
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.04	0	0	0	19:35	—	—	65	62
Matt Hunwick D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	1	0	18:24	—	—	33	10
Brendan Guhle D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	0	2	11:59	—	—	44	10

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	4.41	60:00

Boston Bruins

BOS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Pastrnak R	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.66	0	1	0	22:46	—	—	58	71
Brad Marchand L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	22:13	—	—	74	94
David Krejci C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	19:05	—	—	65	79
Ryan Donato C	L2	0	0	0	-2	6	0.95	1	0	0	16:53	—	—	60	80
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	64	85
Danton Heinen L	L2	0	0	0	0	6	0.54	1	0	0	12:26	—	—	63	79
Sean Kuraly C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	4	2	0	12:57	—	—	65	70
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	0	12:51	—	—	69	74
Chris Wagner R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	0	0	12:04	—	—	72	72
David Backes R	L4	0	1	1	-1	3	0.27	3	1	0	15:09	—	—	41	59
Colby Cave C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.80	1	0	0	12:19	—	—	40	52
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	11:31	—	—	28	11
Charlie McAvoy D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	1	0	20:14	—	—	60	62
Matt Grzelcyk D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	1	1	0	17:58	—	—	55	58
Torey Krug D	D2	1	0	1	0	4	0.27	0	1	0	25:58	—	—	61	65
Brandon Carlo D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	1	0	20:17	—	—	57	67
John Moore D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:44	—	—	54	74
Steven Kampfer D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.08	2	0	0	12:52	—	—	67	86

BOS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tuukka Rask(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	1.81	58:21

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.