Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston BruinsJan 5, 2019

FinalSaturday, Jan 5, 2019· TD Garden

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	1	1		BUF	10	10	12	32
BOS	1	1	0	2		BOS	13	15	13	41

: BUF 57BOS 65
: BUF 1.43BOS 3.89
PP goals: BUF 0BOS 0
Hits: BUF 32BOS 26
Blocks: BUF 11BOS 11
PIM: BUF 4BOS 2
: BUF 44%BOS 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Boston Bruins edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Boston Bruins beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at home. Chris Wagner (BOS) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +10 against a season average of 31.0; the loss.

Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +10 against a season average of 31.0; the loss.Ullmark
New line
New look for BOS: Backes–Krejci–DeBrusk skated 11:27 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Backes Krejci DeBrusk
New line
New look for BOS: Donato–Heinen–Forsbacka Karlsson skated 10:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (61.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Donato Heinen Forsbacka Karlsson
Luck
BOS scored 2 goals on 3.89 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Torey Krug (BOS) played 16:36, −4:46 down on his 21:22 season average over 63 games.Krug
Usage
Jason Pominville (BUF) played 8:38, −3:53 down on his 12:31 season average over 72 games.Pominville
Usage
Vladimir Sobotka (BUF) played 17:56, +3:48 up on his 14:08 season average over 68 games.Sobotka
Usage
Kevan Miller (BOS) played 21:13, +3:34 up on his 17:39 season average over 38 games.Miller

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)BOS attacks right (top on phones) →

BOS
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · BOS 65 · BUF 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BOS
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BOS pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 18% of the game, BOS 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BOS

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	BOS
	65	67
	1.64	3.99
	1.59	3.82
	5	17
	6	12
	32	29
	−0.039	+0.039
	18%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sobotka – Sheary – Thompson
11:5938% CF
L2Skinner – Reinhart – Rodrigues
11:0552% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Smith
8:4748% CF
L4Pominville – Elie – Mittelstadt
5:3245% CF
D1Bogosian – Pilut
16:2150% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
14:1948% CF
D3Scandella – Dahlin
12:3552% CF

PP1Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt – Pilut
1:06100% CF
PP2Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Rodrigues – Dahlin
0:540% CF
PK1FSobotka – Larsson
2:56
PK2FRodrigues – Smith
0:57
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:35
PK2DBogosian – McCabe
1:13

Current BUF line combinations →

Boston Bruins

L1Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak
12:3750% CF
L2Backes – Krejci – DeBrusk
11:2743% CF
L3Wagner – Kuraly – Acciari
10:4852% CF
L4Donato – Heinen – Forsbacka Karlsson
10:0761% CF
D1Chara – Carlo
16:5850% CF
D2Miller – Grzelcyk
16:4940% CF
D3Moore – Krug
11:2846% CF

PP1Bergeron – Marchand – Krug – Pastrnak – DeBrusk
2:09100% CF
PP2Backes – Krejci – Moore – Grzelcyk – Donato
1:26100% CF
PK1FKuraly – Acciari
0:53
PK2FWagner – Forsbacka Karlsson
0:36
PK1DChara – Carlo
1:07
PK2DMoore – Miller
0:53

Current BOS line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vladimir Sobotka C	L1	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:56	—	—	32	19
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	+1	4	0.22	2	0	0	14:47	—	—	50	26
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	+1	0	0.01	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	40	24
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	-2	3	0.20	2	0	0	19:14	—	—	54	38
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	-2	6	0.24	0	0	0	18:21	—	—	56	40
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	-2	4	0.13	2	0	0	18:11	—	—	52	49
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0.01	4	1	0	17:22	—	—	47	19
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	0	0	13:42	—	—	55	17
C.J. Smith L	L3	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	12:30	—	—	47	19
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	+1	0	0.04	1	0	0	11:49	—	—	59	31
Remi Elie L	L4	0	0	0	1	0.10	7	0	2	10:31	—	—	45	43
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	1	0	8:38	—	—	45	32
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	3	0	22:18	—	—	42	24
Lawrence Pilut D	D1	0	0	-1	3	0.12	1	0	0	20:08	—	—	56	42
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	1	1	0	2	0.13	1	1	0	23:03	—	—	53	37
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	2	2	17:18	—	—	37	23
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	20:02	—	—	52	29
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	3	0	17:16	—	—	50	22

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	41	39	2	.951	3.89	58:48

Boston Bruins

BOS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brad Marchand L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	3	0	0	19:58	—	—	56	81
David Pastrnak R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	3	1	0	17:44	—	—	48	60
Patrice Bergeron C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.47	2	2	0	17:31	—	—	55	82
David Krejci C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.18	0	1	0	14:53	—	—	50	81
David Backes R	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.47	2	0	0	14:26	—	—	43	72
Jake DeBrusk L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	1	0	14:08	—	—	44	75
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	6	2	0	15:20	—	—	43	57
Sean Kuraly C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.53	2	1	0	14:39	—	—	45	62
Chris Wagner R	L3	1	0	1	+1	6	0.67	2	0	0	14:26	—	—	59	79
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	13:08	—	—	60	54
Danton Heinen L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:19	—	—	58	47
Ryan Donato C	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.26	0	0	0	12:04	—	—	61	50
Zdeno Chara D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	0	0	21:32	—	—	56	83
Brandon Carlo D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	0	1	0	21:16	—	—	53	77
Kevan Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	21:13	—	—	41	41
Matt Grzelcyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	2	20:30	—	—	45	46
Torey Krug D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.23	0	1	0	16:36	—	—	54	79
John Moore D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	3	0	0	16:17	—	—	54	83

BOS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tuukka Rask(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	1.43	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston BruinsJan 5, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Boston Bruins edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Boston Bruins

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Boston Bruins