Buffalo Sabres vs. Washington CapitalsNov 22, 2023

Final / OTWednesday, Nov 22, 2023· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	2	1	0	0	3		BUF	10	11	4	2	27
WSH	1	1	1	1	4		WSH	10	12	5	3	30

: BUF 67WSH 54
: BUF 3.31WSH 2.59
PP goals: BUF 1WSH 0
Hits: BUF 13WSH 22
Blocks: BUF 12WSH 20
PIM: BUF 7WSH 11
: BUF 53%WSH 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (OT)

Washington Capitals beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 in overtime at home. Dylan Strome (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) played 23:21, +5:41 up on his 17:40 season average over 79 games.

Points
Dylan Strome had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:34.Strome
Points
John Carlson had 2 assists (2 points) on 7 shots in 30:05.Carlson
Points
Victor Olofsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 9:49.Olofsson
Usage
Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) played 23:21, +5:41 up on his 17:40 season average over 79 games.Mittelstadt
Usage
JJ Peterka (BUF) played 20:59, +4:39 up on his 16:20 season average over 81 games.Peterka
Usage
Dylan Cozens (BUF) played 21:12, +4:02 up on his 17:10 season average over 78 games.Cozens
Usage
John Carlson (WSH) played 30:05, +4:15 up on his 25:50 season average over 81 games.Carlson
Usage
Dylan Strome (WSH) played 21:34, +3:40 up on his 17:54 season average over 81 games.Strome

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · WSH 54 · BUF 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 33% of the game, WSH 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	WSH
	55	49
	1.90	2.14
	1.78	2.04
	6	7
	4	1
	25	12
	+0.037	−0.037
	33%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Cozens
8:4438% CF
L2Mittelstadt – Peterka – Benson
7:3944% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Greenway
3:4880% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
9:2323% CF
D2Johnson – Clifton
9:2268% CF
D3Jokiharju – Power
5:4450% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Peterka
3:2175% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Dahlin – Cozens – Benson
0:47100% CF
PK1FTuch – Cozens
2:12
PK2FGirgensons – Greenway
0:56
PK1DJohnson – Samuelsson
2:12
PK2DClifton – Power
0:56

Current BUF line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Dowd – Aube-Kubel – Malenstyn
10:4138% CF
L2Ovechkin – Wilson – Strome
6:1553% CF
L3Oshie – Mantha – McMichael
6:1345% CF
L4Milano – Protas – Lapierre
5:4875% CF
D1Carlson – Sandin
18:0649% CF
D2Jensen – Edmundson
14:1826% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Alexeyev
8:1036% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Carlson – Strome – McMichael
2:1567% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Carlson – Wilson – Mantha – Milano
0:51100% CF
PK1FDowd – Malenstyn
1:32
PK2FWilson – Protas
0:43
PK1DEdmundson – van Riemsdyk
0:59
PK2DCarlson – Jensen
0:56

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.68	0	4	0	24:56	—	—	46	56
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.40	0	1	0	21:12	—	—	40	39
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.61	1	0	0	18:31	—	—	42	53
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	23:21	—	—	55	28
JJ Peterka R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	20:59	—	—	52	32
Zach Benson L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.28	1	0	0	17:21	—	—	63	39
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.23	3	0	7	16:38	—	—	60	42
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	0	14:07	—	—	71	73
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	13:06	—	—	74	45
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.43	1	3	0	27:21	—	—	41	37
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.07	0	0	0	19:51	—	—	48	26
Connor Clifton D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:59	—	—	63	47
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.02	2	0	0	12:28	—	—	68	66
Owen Power D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.10	0	2	0	23:53	—	—	52	45
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	12:59	—	—	61	73
Tyson Jost C	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:18	—	—	47	63
Ryan Johnson D	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	10:15	—	—	47	45
Victor Olofsson L	—	0	2	2	+1	1	0.14	0	0	0	9:49	—	—	44	36

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devon Levi(start)	O	30	26	4	.867	2.59	64:34

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nic Dowd C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	3	0	0	15:41	—	—	38	25
Beck Malenstyn L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	1	1	0	13:59	—	—	32	17
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:49	—	—	36	17
Dylan Strome C	L2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.18	0	2	0	21:34	—	—	55	69
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	4	0	0	20:19	—	—	46	56
Tom Wilson R	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.48	3	0	5	17:10	—	—	63	97
T.J. Oshie R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.29	1	0	0	17:51	—	—	52	58
Connor McMichael L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.35	0	1	4	16:35	—	—	41	62
Anthony Mantha R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	2	1	0	16:04	—	—	61	75
Sonny Milano L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	14:06	—	—	64	64
Aliaksei Protas L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	1	0	13:21	—	—	39	31
Hendrix Lapierre C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	9:12	—	—	46	48
John Carlson D	D1	0	2	2	+2	7	0.36	1	3	0	30:05	—	—	49	45
Rasmus Sandin D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	2	4	0	27:02	—	—	57	54
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	3	3	2	19:24	—	—	33	38
Joel Edmundson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	17:23	—	—	25	34
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	62	67
Alexander Alexeyev D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	0	1	0	10:55	—	—	38	63

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	3.31	64:39

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

JJ Peterka (BUF) 1st 10:09 · assists Tyson Jost, Victor Olofsson · Forecheck turnover · 73.7 mph shot.

JJ Peterka · 1st 10:09 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 73.7 mph
Distance: 32 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Zach Benson · 1st 16:04 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 20.4 mph
Distance: 6 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alexander Alexeyev · 1st 17:01 · WSH

Play: point-shot
Passes: 2
Shot: 42.9 mph
Distance: 68 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

T.J. Oshie · 2nd 7:50 · WSH

Play: rebound
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 29.8 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Entry to goal: 5.8 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Cozens · 2nd 16:18 · BUF PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 79.7 mph
Distance: 32 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:45 · WSH

Play: cycle
Passes: 1
Shot: 56.5 mph
Distance: 22 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Strome · OT 4:52 · WSH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 67.6 mph
Distance: 27 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Washington CapitalsNov 22, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Washington Capitals edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Washington Capitals

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Washington Capitals

Goal anatomy

JJ Peterka · 1st 10:09 · BUF

Zach Benson · 1st 16:04 · BUF

Alexander Alexeyev · 1st 17:01 · WSH

T.J. Oshie · 2nd 7:50 · WSH

Dylan Cozens · 2nd 16:18 · BUF PP

Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:45 · WSH

Dylan Strome · OT 4:52 · WSH