Buffalo Sabres vs. Arizona CoyotesOct 13, 2018

FinalSaturday, Oct 13, 2018· Gila River Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	2	0	1	3		BUF	7	11	5	23
ARI	0	0	0	0		ARI	14	9	13	36

: BUF 46ARI 66
: BUF 1.95ARI 3.98
PP goals: BUF 1ARI 0
Hits: BUF 26ARI 30
Blocks: BUF 19ARI 12
PIM: BUF 8ARI 8
: BUF 42%ARI 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Arizona Coyotes 3–0

Buffalo Sabres beat Arizona Coyotes 3–0 at ARI. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart and Eichel) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:43 together.

Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 12:52.Skinner
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart and Eichel) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:43 together.Okposo Ristolainen Sheary Reinhart Eichel
Luck
ARI scored 0 goals on 3.98 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for ARI: Stepan–Panik–Keller skated 13:33 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stepan Panik Keller
New line
New look for ARI: Kempe–Hinostroza–Perlini skated 8:02 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kempe Hinostroza Perlini
Usage
Jeff Skinner (BUF) played 12:52, −5:43 down on his 18:35 season average over 81 games.Skinner
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 36 (.1000), +5 against a season average of 31.0; the win.Ullmark
New line
New look for ARI: Fischer–Strome–Crouse skated 7:21 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Fischer Strome Crouse

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)ARI attacks right (top on phones) →

ARI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · ARI 66 · BUF 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

ARI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

ARI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 25% of the game, ARI 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

ARI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	ARI
	46	67
	1.83	3.92
	1.80	3.66
	12	16
	1	1
	10	7
	−0.028	+0.028
	25%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sheary – Reinhart – Eichel
13:0748% CF
L2Okposo – Skinner – Mittelstadt
9:1355% CF
L3Sobotka – Berglund – Thompson
9:0919% CF
L4Pominville – Girgensons – Rodrigues
6:4133% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
17:1930% CF
D2Beaulieu – Nelson
11:3136% CF
D3McCabe – Dahlin
11:1248% CF

PP1Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Reinhart – Eichel
2:43100% CF
PP2Skinner – Rodrigues – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
0:55100% CF
PK1FSobotka – Girgensons
3:24
PK2FBerglund – Rodrigues
2:21
PK1DMcCabe – Nelson
2:53
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
2:52

Current BUF line combinations →

Arizona Coyotes

L1Stepan – Panik – Keller
13:3357% CF
L2Kempe – Hinostroza – Perlini
8:0244% CF
L3Richardson – Grabner – Cousins
7:5967% CF
L4Fischer – Strome – Crouse
7:2173% CF
D1Hjalmarsson – Connauton
14:4453% CF
D2Demers – Ekman-Larsson
12:2870% CF
D3Goligoski – Lyubushkin
9:1441% CF

PP1Stepan – Ekman-Larsson – Panik – Strome – Keller
3:49100% CF
PP2Goligoski – Hinostroza – Perlini – Fischer – Strome
1:34
PK1FRichardson – Grabner
2:21
PK2FKempe – Crouse
1:46
PK1DDemers – Ekman-Larsson
1:37
PK2DGoligoski – Hjalmarsson
1:00

Current ARI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:45
BUFRasmus Dahlin (Jeff Skinner, Evan Rodrigues)wrist0.19 xG
BUF: Pominville, Scandella, Skinner, Rodrigues, DahlinARI: Richardson, Grabner, Demers, Ekman-Larsson, Cousins
BUF 1 – 0 ARI
18:06
BUFConor ShearyPP (Sam Reinhart, Jack Eichel)wrist0.13 xG
BUF: Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, EichelARI: Kempe, Demers, Ekman-Larsson, Crouse
BUF 2 – 0 ARI

3rd period

16:29
BUFJeff Skinner (Rasmus Ristolainen)backhand0.14 xG
BUF: Okposo, Scandella, Skinner, Ristolainen, MittelstadtARI: Goligoski, Grabner, Ekman-Larsson, Hinostroza, Perlini
BUF 3 – 0 ARI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.06	0	1	2	20:13	—	—	46	28
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.09	4	0	0	19:26	—	—	45	23
Conor Sheary L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.42	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	47	42
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	+1	5	0.16	1	0	2	14:44	—	—	50	23
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.25	0	0	2	13:09	—	—	50	27
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.35	0	0	0	12:52	—	—	58	39
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	16:48	—	—	17	23
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:14	—	—	25	37
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	0	11:35	—	—	22	23
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	0	0	12:52	—	—	29	38
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	0	2	0	12:22	—	—	39	60
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	1	0	0	9:53	—	—	33	58
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.05	4	2	2	24:42	—	—	28	16
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	4	0	24:17	—	—	35	33
Nathan Beaulieu D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:01	—	—	43	24
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4	0	15:39	—	—	39	24
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	3	0	17:44	—	—	47	59
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	2	1	0	17:07	—	—	55	58

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	36	36	0	.1000	3.98	59:48

Arizona Coyotes

ARI skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Derek Stepan C	L1	0	4	0.34	0	0	0	21:08	—	—	63	72
Richard Panik R	L1	0	4	0.43	1	1	0	20:58	—	—	60	65
Clayton Keller R	L1	0	6	0.57	0	1	0	20:44	—	—	58	70
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L2	-1	3	0.34	0	0	0	13:04	—	—	48	41
Brendan Perlini L	L2	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:34	—	—	44	30
Mario Kempe R	L2	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	11:36	—	—	44	39
Michael Grabner L	L3	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:17	—	—	62	64
Brad Richardson R	L3	-1	0	0.01	1	0	0	13:11	—	—	60	57
Nick Cousins C	L3	-1	1	0.07	3	0	0	11:51	—	—	56	25
Dylan Strome C	L4	0	3	0.29	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	69	96
Christian Fischer R	L4	0	2	0.25	2	0	2	13:32	—	—	79	96
Lawson Crouse L	L4	0	3	1.34	3	0	0	12:43	—	—	81	97
Niklas Hjalmarsson D	D1	0	0	0.00	2	6	0	19:15	—	—	55	85
Kevin Connauton D	D1	0	5	0.15	5	0	2	19:08	—	—	53	68
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	-2	3	0.12	4	0	2	25:15	—	—	76	55
Jason Demers D	D2	-1	1	0.04	2	2	0	17:50	—	—	65	59
Alex Goligoski D	D3	-1	0	0.01	1	0	0	21:35	—	—	57	70
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	11:22	—	—	45	68

ARI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	L	23	20	3	.870	1.95	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.