Buffalo Sabres vs. New Jersey DevilsMar 25, 2019

FinalMonday, Mar 25, 2019· Prudential Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	10	14	22	46
NJD	1	0	2	3		NJD	11	5	5	21

: BUF 62NJD 34
: BUF 2.74NJD 2.07
PP goals: BUF 0NJD 2
Hits: BUF 12NJD 22
Blocks: BUF 4NJD 10
PIM: BUF 6NJD 6
: BUF 42%NJD 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New Jersey Devils beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

New Jersey Devils beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at home. Pavel Zacha (NJD) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NJD's first power-play unit (Zajac, Palmieri, Coleman, Severson and Hischier) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:24 together.

Points
Pavel Zacha had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:23.Zacha
PP1
NJD's first power-play unit (Zajac, Palmieri, Coleman, Severson and Hischier) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:24 together.Zajac Palmieri Coleman Severson Hischier
Goalie
Cory Schneider (NJD) faced 46 shots and stopped 45 (.978), +18 against a season average of 27.6; the win.Schneider
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Sobotka–Thompson skated 8:23 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Sobotka Thompson
New line
New look for NJD: Gabriel–Rooney–McLeod skated 8:50 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gabriel Rooney McLeod
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 2.74 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Miles Wood (NJD) played 16:55, +3:16 up on his 13:39 season average over 62 games.Wood
Usage
Travis Zajac (NJD) played 15:40, −3:39 down on his 19:19 season average over 79 games.Zajac

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NJD attacks right (top on phones) →

NJD
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · NJD 34 · BUF 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NJD
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NJD pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 36% of the game, NJD 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NJD

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NJD
	59	35
	2.51	1.42
	2.45	1.39
	8	4
	4	4
	18	6
	−0.106	+0.106
	36%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sheary – Eichel – Nylander
11:0585% CF
L2Skinner – Reinhart – Rodrigues
10:5167% CF
L3Pominville – Sobotka – Thompson
8:2355% CF
L4Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
6:5869% CF
D1Montour – Dahlin
18:2758% CF
D2Ristolainen – Pilut
14:5486% CF
D3Scandella – Nelson
10:3857% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel – Nylander – Dahlin
2:37100% CF
PP2Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Montour – Rodrigues
1:1475% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:09
PK2FEichel – Rodrigues
1:22
PK1DRistolainen – Pilut
1:48
PK2DScandella – Nelson
1:07

Current BUF line combinations →

New Jersey Devils

L1Palmieri – Agostino – Hischier
10:4446% CF
L2Stafford – Wood – Zacha
10:0338% CF
L3Zajac – Coleman – Noesen
9:5131% CF
L4Gabriel – Rooney – McLeod
8:5033% CF
D1Greene – Severson
16:2031% CF
D2Carrick – Mueller
13:4432% CF
D3Butcher – Santini
13:1042% CF

PP1Zajac – Palmieri – Coleman – Severson – Hischier
2:24100% CF
PP2Stafford – Agostino – Butcher – Wood – Zacha
1:4250% CF
PK1FColeman – Rooney
1:29
PK2FZacha – Hischier
0:35
PK1DGreene – Severson
2:26
PK2DSantini – Mueller
0:47

Current NJD line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:55
NJDBlake ColemanPP (Nico Hischier, Travis Zajac)snap0.25 xG
BUF: Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, RistolainenNJD: Zajac, Palmieri, Coleman, Severson, Hischier
BUF 0 – 1 NJD
7:23
BUFSam Reinhart (Rasmus Dahlin)snap0.00 xG
BUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Rodrigues, DahlinNJD: Greene, Palmieri, Agostino, Severson, Hischier
BUF 1 – 1 NJD

3rd period

4:30
NJDPavel ZachaPP (Will Butcher, Kenny Agostino)snap0.13 xG
BUF: Scandella, Girgensons, Rodrigues, NelsonNJD: Stafford, Agostino, Butcher, Wood, Zacha
BUF 1 – 2 NJD
18:35
NJDMiles WoodEN (Andy Greene, Pavel Zacha)snap0.38 xG
BUF: Pominville, Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Rodrigues, PilutNJD: Stafford, Greene, Severson, Wood, Zacha
BUF 1 – 3 NJD

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	1	0	0	20:01	—	—	76	71
Alex Nylander L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.49	0	0	0	15:42	—	—	81	81
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	78	73
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	0	6	0.47	0	0	0	20:26	—	—	63	58
Sam Reinhart C	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.11	0	0	0	20:24	—	—	55	48
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	1	1	0	17:31	—	—	52	60
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	0	0	0	11:31	—	—	60	67
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	4	11:15	—	—	53	48
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	11:12	—	—	60	69
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	13:38	—	—	63	67
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	59	61
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	1	0	10:29	—	—	59	71
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.25	1	0	2	23:49	—	—	56	63
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	0	23:19	—	—	56	65
Lawrence Pilut D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.21	1	0	0	20:42	—	—	74	74
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	20:03	—	—	83	64
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:29	—	—	56	67
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:01	—	—	53	49

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	20	18	2	.900	1.69	58:25

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nico Hischier C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.17	0	1	0	17:08	—	—	53	59
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	47	55
Kenny Agostino L	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	4	0	2	15:38	—	—	41	47
Pavel Zacha C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.26	3	1	0	17:23	—	—	31	33
Miles Wood L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.40	1	0	0	16:55	—	—	37	29
Drew Stafford R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	41	36
Blake Coleman L	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.66	2	1	0	16:56	—	—	32	35
Travis Zajac C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:40	—	—	32	32
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	0	12:24	—	—	42	38
Kevin Rooney C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:16	—	—	38	25
Michael McLeod C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	11:30	—	—	30	31
Kurtis Gabriel R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:09	—	—	31	28
Damon Severson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	23:04	—	—	33	36
Andy Greene D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	22:05	—	—	38	42
Connor Carrick D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	2	17:42	—	—	33	27
Mirco Mueller D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	16:26	—	—	32	22
Steven Santini D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	18:48	—	—	44	41
Will Butcher D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:17	—	—	40	43

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cory Schneider(start)	W	46	45	1	.978	2.74	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.