Buffalo Sabres vs. Calgary FlamesJan 16, 2019

Final / OTWednesday, Jan 16, 2019· Scotiabank Saddledome

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	1	2	1	4		BUF	11	9	2	1	23
CGY	1	0	2	0	3		CGY	13	8	12	0	33

: BUF 47CGY 61
: BUF 1.68CGY 2.27
PP goals: BUF 0CGY 2
Hits: BUF 16CGY 14
Blocks: BUF 14CGY 12
PIM: BUF 6CGY 6
: BUF 58%CGY 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Calgary Flames 4–3 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Calgary Flames 4–3 in overtime at CGY. Johnny Gaudreau (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 2 power-play goals on 7 attempts in 3:56 together.

Points
Jack Eichel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:57.Eichel
Points
Johnny Gaudreau had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:48.Gaudreau
Points
Elias Lindholm had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:29.Lindholm
PP1
CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 2 power-play goals on 7 attempts in 3:56 together.Giordano Gaudreau Lindholm Monahan Tkachuk
Luck
BUF scored 4 goals on 1.68 expected goals (47 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for CGY: Jankowski–Bennett–Czarnik skated 6:53 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski Bennett Czarnik
Usage
Rasmus Andersson (CGY) played 19:19, +3:19 up on his 16:00 season average over 78 games.Andersson
Usage
Austin Czarnik (CGY) played 7:40, −3:44 down on his 11:24 season average over 53 games.Czarnik

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · CGY 61 · BUF 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 21% of the game, CGY 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	CGY
	46	62
	1.49	1.91
	1.45	1.87
	6	1
	7	11
	25	40
	+0.052	−0.052
	21%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
14:4045% CF
L2Pominville – Sobotka – Rodrigues
11:1542% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
9:0544% CF
L4Sheary – Thompson – Mittelstadt
8:4344% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
16:5130% CF
D2Ristolainen – Pilut
14:3957% CF
D3Scandella – McCabe
14:0238% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
3:54100% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Pilut
1:4967% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:22
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
1:56
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
2:44
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
1:34

Current BUF line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
12:4055% CF
L2Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
12:2456% CF
L3Jankowski – Bennett – Czarnik
6:5373% CF
L4Hathaway – Mangiapane – Ryan
6:1757% CF
D1Giordano – Brodie
17:2059% CF
D2Hanifin – Andersson
15:5052% CF
D3Prout – Kylington
11:4065% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
3:5688% CF
PP2Brodie – Jankowski – Bennett – Andersson – Ryan
0:22
PK1FJankowski – Lindholm
3:07
PK2FHathaway – Ryan
2:11
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
2:58
PK2DProut – Hanifin
2:47

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.54	2	0	0	20:57	—	—	46	54
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.29	0	0	0	19:59	—	—	50	61
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.03	0	1	0	18:46	—	—	42	53
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	0	15:00	—	—	42	41
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	48	55
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	14:07	—	—	33	20
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:36	—	—	35	10
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:05	—	—	39	12
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	0	0	0	11:34	—	—	44	21
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	0	2	14:43	—	—	44	52
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:59	—	—	41	45
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	0	0	0	11:22	—	—	40	45
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.03	1	2	2	21:56	—	—	32	9
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	3	0	20:46	—	—	34	15
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	2	1	0	23:21	—	—	60	74
Lawrence Pilut D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	1	0	18:00	—	—	50	58
Jake McCabe D	D3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.00	1	0	0	18:32	—	—	33	32
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.18	0	1	0	16:46	—	—	46	48

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	2.27	61:02

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	1	1	2	-1	4	0.33	0	0	2	21:48	—	—	58	56
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.23	0	0	0	20:44	—	—	55	54
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	2	2	-1	2	0.06	0	1	0	20:29	—	—	55	44
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	-3	3	0.25	2	1	0	20:21	—	—	57	62
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	0	2	4	16:34	—	—	53	58
Michael Frolik R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	0	0	0	16:24	—	—	53	58
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	0	0	0	14:53	—	—	75	82
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	10:05	—	—	65	72
Austin Czarnik C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	7:40	—	—	77	82
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:58	—	—	58	24
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	3	0	0	9:42	—	—	46	25
Andrew Mangiapane L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	9:38	—	—	50	56
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	1	1	-3	2	0.17	0	1	0	27:09	—	—	61	53
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	0	0	0	21:25	—	—	61	53
Noah Hanifin D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	20:28	—	—	45	45
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	3	2	0	19:19	—	—	60	54
Dalton Prout D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	16:14	—	—	58	68
Oliver Kylington D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	4	0	12:39	—	—	63	88

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	O	23	19	4	.826	1.68	61:10

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Calgary FlamesJan 16, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Calgary Flames 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Calgary Flames

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Calgary Flames