Buffalo Sabres vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 11, 2019

FinalFriday, Jan 11, 2019· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	1	1	3		BUF	12	8	13	33
CAR	1	3	0	4		CAR	9	11	10	30

: BUF 61CAR 54
: BUF 3.58CAR 3.48
PP goals: BUF 1CAR 0
Hits: BUF 18CAR 38
Blocks: BUF 11CAR 11
PIM: BUF 6CAR 10
: BUF 48%CAR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 at home. Micheal Ferland (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:14 together.

Points
Micheal Ferland had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:23.Ferland
Points
Sebastian Aho had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:42.Aho
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:40.Dahlin
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:42.Teravainen
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:14 together.Skinner Ristolainen Reinhart Eichel Dahlin
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Sheary–Reinhart skated 7:30 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Sheary Reinhart
New line
New look for CAR: Ferland–Teravainen–Aho skated 12:34 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (69.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ferland Teravainen Aho
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Larsson–Rodrigues skated 6:59 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (42.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Larsson Rodrigues

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · CAR 54 · BUF 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 30% of the game, CAR 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	CAR
	59	61
	3.41	3.75
	3.28	3.67
	11	13
	4	5
	22	23
	−0.053	+0.053
	30%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sobotka – Sheary – Reinhart
7:3064% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Rodrigues
6:5942% CF
L3Skinner – Eichel – Thompson
6:5425% CF
L4Pominville – Girgensons – Mittelstadt
3:3564% CF
D1Ristolainen – Pilut
14:3057% CF
D2Bogosian – Dahlin
11:1744% CF
D3Scandella – McCabe
9:4368% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
4:1488% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Pilut
1:30100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:49
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
1:25
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
2:33
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
0:14

Current BUF line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
12:3470% CF
L2Williams – McKegg – McGinn
11:4650% CF
L3Martinook – Wallmark – Svechnikov
8:0743% CF
L4Rask – Maenalanen – Foegele
6:5833% CF
D1de Haan – Faulk
16:1844% CF
D2Slavin – Pesce
16:1741% CF
D3Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
11:1962% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
2:1150% CF
PP2Rask – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
1:02
PK1FMcGinn – Wallmark
2:29
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:33
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:48
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
1:59

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.41	2	1	0	20:47	—	—	50	44
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:49	—	—	67	41
Vladimir Sobotka C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	15:22	—	—	48	44
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.36	1	1	0	15:37	—	—	56	57
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	1	2	12:41	—	—	46	73
Kyle Okposo R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.08	3	1	2	12:31	—	—	48	73
Jeff Skinner L	L3	1	0	1	-2	4	1.10	1	0	0	21:47	—	—	39	48
Jack Eichel C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.19	2	0	0	18:34	—	—	33	34
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:36	—	—	26	30
Jason Pominville R	L4	1	0	1	0	4	0.58	0	0	0	11:15	—	—	69	54
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:13	—	—	50	37
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.19	1	0	0	10:31	—	—	48	41
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	4	1	2	26:05	—	—	51	34
Lawrence Pilut D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	21:15	—	—	53	48
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	2	2	0	3	0.12	0	3	0	21:40	—	—	46	41
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	0	1	0	19:33	—	—	38	49
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.07	0	1	0	15:49	—	—	50	59
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.03	1	1	0	14:03	—	—	60	67

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	3.31	57:52

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	2	0	2	+4	2	0.20	1	0	0	21:42	—	—	72	74
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.22	3	0	0	18:42	—	—	63	64
Micheal Ferland L	L1	1	2	3	+4	2	0.31	3	0	0	17:23	—	—	69	71
Justin Williams R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.31	2	0	0	17:43	—	—	52	32
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	3	0	0	16:45	—	—	48	26
Greg McKegg C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	1	0	0	14:39	—	—	50	35
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:44	—	—	39	64
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	5	1	2	12:33	—	—	48	71
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	5	1	2	12:29	—	—	46	65
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.35	5	0	0	10:35	—	—	38	49
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:51	—	—	38	38
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	0	2	8:16	—	—	40	53
Calvin de Haan D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	1	4	0	21:52	—	—	46	34
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	2	1	4	20:26	—	—	47	30
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.18	3	1	0	23:27	—	—	41	61
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.12	0	3	0	23:00	—	—	45	66
Dougie Hamilton D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.85	1	0	0	15:53	—	—	63	64
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	13:11	—	—	65	64

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	3.58	59:41

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 11, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Carolina Hurricanes edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Carolina Hurricanes

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Carolina Hurricanes