Buffalo Sabres vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 27, 2025

FinalThursday, Feb 27, 2025· Lenovo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	1	2		BUF	4	5	6	15
CAR	3	1	1	5		CAR	17	11	9	37

: BUF 41CAR 79
: BUF 1.39CAR 4.71
PP goals: BUF 1CAR 1
Hits: BUF 20CAR 19
Blocks: BUF 18CAR 8
PIM: BUF 9CAR 9
: BUF 47%CAR 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at home. Mikko Rantanen (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CAR's first power-play unit (Gostisbehere, Rantanen, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:20 together.

Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:37.Rantanen
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Gostisbehere, Rantanen, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:20 together.Gostisbehere Rantanen Aho Svechnikov Jarvis
New line
New look for BUF: McLeod–Quinn–Peterka skated 4:59 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McLeod Quinn Peterka
New line
New look for CAR: Roslovic–Robinson–Kotkaniemi skated 10:21 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Roslovic Robinson Kotkaniemi
Usage
Jack Quinn (BUF) played 20:17, +5:30 up on his 14:47 season average over 73 games.Quinn
New line
New look for CAR: Hall–Jost–Blake skated 7:30 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (73.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hall Jost Blake
Usage
Seth Jarvis (CAR) played 15:36, −3:48 down on his 19:24 season average over 72 games.Jarvis
Usage
Mikko Rantanen (CAR) played 17:37, −3:41 down on his 21:18 season average over 81 games.Rantanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · CAR 79 · BUF 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 15% of the game, CAR 64%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	CAR
	37	84
	1.10	4.06
	1.09	3.80
	6	22
	2	5
	24	25
	−0.030	+0.029
	15%	64%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Greenway – Thompson
5:5671% CF
L2McLeod – Quinn – Peterka
4:5945% CF
L3Krebs – Kulich – Benson
2:0833% CF
L4Lafferty – Malenstyn – Cozens
1:580% CF
D1Dahlin – Byram
15:0237% CF
D2Samuelsson – Power
10:2143% CF
D3Gilbert – Jokiharju
7:330% CF

PP1Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Quinn – Peterka
3:3160% CF
PP2Byram – Cozens – Power – Kulich – Benson
0:53
PK1FTuch – Greenway
0:56
PK2FMalenstyn – Benson
0:47
PK1DSamuelsson – Byram
1:30
PK2DDahlin – Power
0:57

Current BUF line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Rantanen – Aho – Svechnikov
15:0765% CF
L2Roslovic – Robinson – Kotkaniemi
10:2175% CF
L3Staal – Martinook – Jarvis
8:5864% CF
L4Hall – Jost – Blake
7:3074% CF
D1Orlov – Chatfield
16:3471% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
16:1866% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Walker
12:4367% CF

PP1Gostisbehere – Rantanen – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
1:20100% CF
PP2Burns – Hall – Roslovic – Jost – Blake
1:1350% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
2:44
PK2FAho – Jarvis
1:10
PK1DBurns – Slavin
2:27
PK2DChatfield – Walker
0:47

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	0	1	-2	5	0.41	1	0	0	17:35	—	—	44	43
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.34	1	0	0	17:29	—	—	49	54
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	2	0	14:56	—	—	42	32
JJ Peterka R	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.23	0	0	0	21:11	—	—	27	25
Jack Quinn R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	1	0	20:17	—	—	23	16
Ryan McLeod C	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	18:39	—	—	30	19
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	2	1	0	17:47	—	—	23	13
Zach Benson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:20	—	—	31	1
Jiri Kulich C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:23	—	—	29	17
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	5	13:54	—	—	7	0
Beck Malenstyn L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:12	—	—	17	2
Sam Lafferty C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:47	—	—	18	13
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	4	0	25:38	—	—	33	24
Bowen Byram D	D1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.06	1	2	0	22:52	—	—	33	22
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	2	0	21:33	—	—	42	30
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	18:21	—	—	36	30
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	2	0	0	15:21	—	—	17	12
Dennis Gilbert D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	3	0	12:14	—	—	11	3

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer	L	29	27	2	.931	3.03	50:57
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	—	7	5	2	.714	0.84	7:57

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.40	0	0	0	19:57	—	—	64	72
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.17	6	0	0	19:19	—	—	65	72
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.38	1	0	0	17:37	—	—	68	75
Jack Roslovic C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	14:57	—	—	72	81
Eric Robinson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.18	1	0	0	13:30	—	—	75	78
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.40	0	1	5	11:53	—	—	79	83
Jordan Staal C	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.24	4	2	0	16:30	—	—	66	66
Seth Jarvis R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.99	1	1	0	15:36	—	—	65	62
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	1	1	+2	3	0.35	0	0	0	14:56	—	—	66	68
Taylor Hall L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.54	0	0	0	11:35	—	—	76	98
Jackson Blake R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	10:50	—	—	73	97
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	1	2	10:43	—	—	68	96
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	3	1	2	20:22	—	—	67	73
Jalen Chatfield D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	0	0	18:54	—	—	72	75
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	+3	0	0.15	0	0	0	24:23	—	—	65	76
Brent Burns D	D2	0	0	0	+2	4	0.05	0	1	0	21:45	—	—	68	77
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	71	85
Sean Walker D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.21	0	1	0	16:05	—	—	72	88

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	W	15	13	2	.867	1.39	59:52

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Jordan Staal (CAR) 1st 6:09 · assists Jordan Martinook · Deflection · 39.3 mph shot.

Jordan Staal · 1st 6:09 · CAR

Play: deflection
Passes: 1
Shot: 39.3 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Sebastian Aho · 1st 7:57 · CAR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 32.9 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 6.7 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mikko Rantanen · 1st 9:41 · CAR PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 60.6 mph
Distance: 25 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Tuch · 1st 19:04 · BUF PP

Play: rebound
Entry: dump
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 37.7 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Entry to goal: 6.5 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Taylor Hall · 2nd 15:52 · CAR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 44.8 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 5.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

JJ Peterka · 3rd 1:15 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 56.8 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:49 · CAR EN

Play: rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 57.2 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 27, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Carolina Hurricanes

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Carolina Hurricanes

Goal anatomy

Jordan Staal · 1st 6:09 · CAR

Sebastian Aho · 1st 7:57 · CAR

Mikko Rantanen · 1st 9:41 · CAR PP

Alex Tuch · 1st 19:04 · BUF PP

Taylor Hall · 2nd 15:52 · CAR

JJ Peterka · 3rd 1:15 · BUF

Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:49 · CAR EN