Buffalo Sabres vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 5, 2018

FinalFriday, Jan 5, 2018· Bell MTS Place

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	1	1	3		BUF	10	9	10	29
WPG	2	1	1	4		WPG	11	8	10	29

: BUF 69WPG 51
: BUF 2.69WPG 2.32
PP goals: BUF 0WPG 2
Hits: BUF 18WPG 23
Blocks: BUF 13WPG 23
PIM: BUF 6WPG 10
: BUF 46%WPG 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 at home. Jacob Trouba (WPG) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Dustin Byfuglien (WPG) played 17:53, −6:33 down on his 24:26 season average over 68 games.

Points
Blake Wheeler had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:35.Wheeler
Points
Jacob Trouba had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:18.Trouba
Points
Evan Rodrigues had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 12:15.Rodrigues
Points
Jason Pominville had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:12.Pominville
Usage
Dustin Byfuglien (WPG) played 17:53, −6:33 down on his 24:26 season average over 68 games.Byfuglien
Usage
Andrew Copp (WPG) played 18:53, +5:13 up on his 13:40 season average over 81 games.Copp
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Wilson–Rodrigues skated 6:22 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Wilson Rodrigues
Luck
WPG scored 4 goals on 2.32 expected goals (51 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · WPG 51 · BUF 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 33% of the game, WPG 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	WPG
	50	44
	1.47	1.64
	1.43	1.60
	7	7
	4	6
	20	18
	−0.057	+0.057
	33%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – O'Reilly – Kane
11:4046% CF
L2Girgensons – Reinhart – Eichel
7:3758% CF
L3Josefson – Nolan – Larsson
6:4940% CF
L4Pominville – Wilson – Rodrigues
6:2275% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
14:3242% CF
D2Gorges – Bogosian
9:5345% CF
D3Beaulieu – McCabe
9:4158% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
6:1894% CF
PP2Pominville – Scandella – Kane – McCabe – Rodrigues
3:2750% CF
PK1FJosefson – Larsson
1:59
PK2FO'Reilly – Girgensons
0:50
PK1DGorges – McCabe
2:17
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
1:17

Current BUF line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Lowry – Armia – Copp
11:3060% CF
L2Little – Perreault – Ehlers
9:4852% CF
L3Wheeler – Connor – Laine
9:1735% CF
L4Hendricks – Matthias – Dano
2:5243% CF
D1Trouba – Morrissey
13:1336% CF
D2Byfuglien – Chiarot
12:1950% CF
D3Myers – Kulikov
11:0559% CF

PP1Little – Perreault – Myers – Armia – Ehlers
3:23100% CF
PP2Byfuglien – Wheeler – Lowry – Connor – Laine
2:17100% CF
PK1FLowry – Copp
3:34
PK2FHendricks – Matthias
3:04
PK1DTrouba – Morrissey
4:54
PK2DMyers – Kulikov
3:27

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.85	0	1	0	23:08	—	—	46	27
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	1	1	0	21:05	—	—	41	26
Evander Kane L	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.14	2	0	0	21:01	—	—	57	36
Jack Eichel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.46	0	0	0	20:58	—	—	53	53
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	1	2	19:25	—	—	59	50
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	0	1	2	11:29	—	—	41	43
Johan Larsson L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.23	3	1	0	12:21	—	—	39	61
Jacob Josefson C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	11:48	—	—	31	69
Jordan Nolan C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:16	—	—	40	87
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	2	2	+1	2	0.08	2	0	0	14:12	—	—	68	49
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	2	2	+1	3	0.03	0	0	0	12:15	—	—	71	51
Scott Wilson C	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.11	3	0	0	8:45	—	—	72	62
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	5	0	2	26:24	—	—	48	51
Marco Scandella D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.10	0	0	0	22:33	—	—	50	48
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	3	0	16:28	—	—	46	49
Josh Gorges D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:50	—	—	48	53
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:34	—	—	65	50
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	2	0	12:30	—	—	56	33

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	2.32	57:56

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Adam Lowry C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.50	1	0	0	19:34	—	—	55	72
Andrew Copp C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	18:53	—	—	61	78
Joel Armia R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	1	0	2	18:14	—	—	62	81
Bryan Little C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.26	1	1	2	17:53	—	—	50	78
Mathieu Perreault C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	1	1	0	16:47	—	—	46	80
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	1	0	0	15:54	—	—	46	73
Blake Wheeler R	L3	1	1	2	-1	2	0.15	0	0	2	18:35	—	—	32	12
Kyle Connor L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	15:52	—	—	33	14
Patrik Laine L	L3	0	1	1	-1	6	0.29	4	0	0	14:54	—	—	41	18
Matt Hendricks C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	4	0	9:19	—	—	50	57
Shawn Matthias L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	2	0	0	6:10	—	—	43	45
Marko Dano C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	4:13	—	—	44	48
Jacob Trouba D	D1	1	1	2	0	4	0.06	0	1	0	21:18	—	—	36	36
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	4	0	20:15	—	—	39	42
Dustin Byfuglien D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	17:53	—	—	46	66
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	2	13:01	—	—	48	65
Tyler Myers D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	1	4	0	23:43	—	—	55	67
Dmitry Kulikov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	3	0	18:01	—	—	52	62

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	29	26	3	.897	2.69	59:31

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 5, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Winnipeg Jets edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Winnipeg Jets

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Winnipeg Jets