Buffalo Sabres vs. Winnipeg JetsMar 3, 2020

FinalTuesday, Mar 3, 2020· Bell MTS Place

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	11	8	7	26
WPG	2	1	0	3		WPG	13	14	8	35

: BUF 58WPG 55
: BUF 2.50WPG 2.58
PP goals: BUF 0WPG 1
Hits: BUF 13WPG 18
Blocks: BUF 7WPG 13
PIM: BUF 4WPG 4
: BUF 44%WPG 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at home. Kyle Connor (WPG) led the scoring with 2G 1A. WPG's first power-play unit (Wheeler, Scheifele, Connor, Laine and Pionk) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:42 together.

Points
Kyle Connor had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 24:15.Connor
Points
Blake Wheeler had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:42.Wheeler
PP1
WPG's first power-play unit (Wheeler, Scheifele, Connor, Laine and Pionk) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:42 together.Wheeler Scheifele Connor Laine Pionk
Goalie
Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +5 against a season average of 29.6; the loss.Hutton
New line
New look for BUF: Simmonds–Olofsson–Eichel skated 7:49 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Simmonds Olofsson Eichel
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Lazar–Reinhart skated 5:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Lazar Reinhart
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 26:19, +7:09 up on his 19:10 season average over 58 games.Dahlin
Usage
Brandon Montour (BUF) played 25:52, +6:29 up on his 19:23 season average over 53 games.Montour

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · WPG 55 · BUF 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 28% of the game, WPG 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	WPG
	56	56
	2.46	2.72
	2.35	2.59
	7	11
	4	2
	19	13
	−0.043	+0.043
	28%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
8:5865% CF
L2Johansson – Vesey – Kahun
8:5050% CF
L3Simmonds – Olofsson – Eichel
7:4953% CF
L4Skinner – Lazar – Reinhart
5:0733% CF
D1Montour – Dahlin
16:5748% CF
D2Ristolainen – Pilut
13:1444% CF
D3McCabe – Jokiharju
10:0863% CF

PP1Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:31100% CF
PP2Okposo – Simmonds – Johansson – Skinner – Montour
1:21
PK1FGirgensons – Lazar
3:18
PK2FOkposo – Larsson
0:37
PK1DMontour – Dahlin
1:54
PK2DRistolainen – Pilut
1:32

Current BUF line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor
15:4754% CF
L2Eakin – Ehlers – Laine
10:5453% CF
L3Copp – Harkins – Roslovic
10:1757% CF
L4Bourque – Shore – Appleton
4:5822% CF
D1Kulikov – Pionk
15:2759% CF
D2DeMelo – Morrissey
14:0445% CF
D3Beaulieu – Poolman
12:1550% CF

PP1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Laine – Pionk
2:4260% CF
PP2Eakin – Copp – Morrissey – Ehlers – Roslovic
1:23100% CF
PK1FCopp – Connor
1:12
PK2FEakin – Appleton
0:59
PK1DDeMelo – Beaulieu
1:25
PK2DKulikov – Poolman
0:45

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:59
WPGKyle Connor (Blake Wheeler)wrist0.16 xG
BUF: Simmonds, Skinner, McCabe, Lazar, JokiharjuWPG: Wheeler, Kulikov, Scheifele, Connor, Pionk
BUF 0 – 1 WPG
16:05
WPGTucker PoolmanSH (Kyle Connor, Andrew Copp)tip-in0.14 xG
BUF: Simmonds, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, DahlinWPG: Beaulieu, Poolman, Copp, Connor
BUF 0 – 2 WPG

2nd period

3:41
WPGKyle ConnorPP (Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler)wrist0.09 xG
BUF: Girgensons, McCabe, Lazar, JokiharjuWPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Connor, Laine, Pionk
BUF 0 – 3 WPG
10:34
BUFRasmus Ristolainen (Kyle Okposo, Johan Larsson)wrist0.05 xG
BUF: Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, PilutWPG: Poolman, Copp, Harkins, Roslovic, Pionk
BUF 1 – 3 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	2	0	0	14:35	—	—	61	64
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	0	1	0	11:51	—	—	63	63
Johan Larsson L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	11:40	—	—	55	58
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	1	0	13:55	—	—	48	37
Dominik Kahun C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	11:54	—	—	50	36
Jimmy Vesey L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:05	—	—	50	38
Jack Eichel C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.13	0	0	0	22:28	—	—	52	56
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.31	0	0	0	19:49	—	—	49	57
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.28	1	2	2	16:01	—	—	57	57
Sam Reinhart C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	0	0	0	18:51	—	—	32	33
Jeff Skinner L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	2	0	0	16:11	—	—	43	30
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	13:43	—	—	43	34
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	1	0	26:19	—	—	44	48
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	1	0	25:52	—	—	46	44
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.18	1	1	2	21:00	—	—	50	49
Lawrence Pilut D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:54	—	—	37	37
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:12	—	—	67	57
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:22	—	—	62	46

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	35	32	3	.914	2.58	57:49

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	2	1	3	+2	4	0.43	0	0	0	24:15	—	—	50	47
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	0	2	0	22:17	—	—	50	44
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.12	2	0	0	21:42	—	—	55	49
Patrik Laine L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	3	0	0	15:31	—	—	59	68
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	60	70
Cody Eakin C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:20	—	—	57	63
Andrew Copp C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.22	1	0	0	16:49	—	—	57	69
Jack Roslovic C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.33	0	0	2	14:26	—	—	50	55
Jansen Harkins C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.25	0	1	0	12:45	—	—	52	56
Mason Appleton C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:23	—	—	29	15
Nicholas Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	8:15	—	—	17	8
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	5:21	—	—	20	8
Neal Pionk D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	3	2	0	25:00	—	—	50	56
Dmitry Kulikov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	19:40	—	—	56	73
Josh Morrissey D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	20:02	—	—	45	47
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	3	0	20:01	—	—	43	37
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	0	1	0	15:48	—	—	60	64
Tucker Poolman D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.16	3	1	0	14:57	—	—	50	45

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.50	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.