Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 28, 2018

Final / OTWednesday, Feb 28, 2018· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	0	1	1	2		BUF	11	9	10	4	34
TBL	1	0	0	0	1		TBL	6	6	10	0	22

: BUF 62TBL 50
: BUF 2.74TBL 1.97
PP goals: BUF 1TBL 0
Hits: BUF 16TBL 30
Blocks: BUF 16TBL 13
PIM: BUF 2TBL 18
: BUF 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 in overtime at TBL. Jason Pominville (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for TBL: Johnson–Miller–Erne skated 15:54 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jason Pominville had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 18:19.Pominville
New line
New look for TBL: Johnson–Miller–Erne skated 15:54 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johnson Miller Erne
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Wilson–Rodrigues skated 10:48 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Wilson Rodrigues
New line
New look for BUF: Josefson–Nolan–Griffith skated 8:09 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Josefson Nolan Griffith
New line
New look for BUF: Pouliot–Larsson–Baptiste skated 9:32 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (45% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pouliot Larsson Baptiste
New line
New look for TBL: Callahan–Bournival–Paquette skated 5:56 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Callahan Bournival Paquette
New line
New look for TBL: Kunitz–Conacher–Gourde skated 6:17 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kunitz Conacher Gourde
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 20:54, +7:18 up on his 13:36 season average over 70 games.Girgensons

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · TBL 50 · BUF 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 40% of the game, TBL 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TBL
	55	53
	2.12	1.86
	2.00	1.81
	4	11
	5	5
	20	17
	−0.018	+0.018
	40%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1O'Reilly – Girgensons – Reinhart
16:3757% CF
L2Pominville – Wilson – Rodrigues
10:4860% CF
L3Pouliot – Larsson – Baptiste
9:3245% CF
L4Josefson – Nolan – Griffith
8:0946% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
18:5858% CF
D2Nelson – Antipin
14:4261% CF
D3Falk – Beaulieu
11:0124% CF

PP1Pominville – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Rodrigues
4:11100% CF
PP2Pouliot – Scandella – O'Reilly – Griffith – Antipin
0:310% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:24
PK2FPouliot – Josefson
0:36
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:24
PK2DNelson – Antipin
0:36

Current BUF line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Miller – Erne
15:5457% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Point
10:1839% CF
L3Kunitz – Conacher – Gourde
6:1775% CF
L4Callahan – Bournival – Paquette
5:5629% CF
D1Stralman – Hedman
17:1634% CF
D2Coburn – Sustr
12:3946% CF
D3Girardi – Sergachev
12:2975% CF

PP1Kunitz – Stamkos – Johnson – Hedman – Point
1:25100% CF
PP2Callahan – Killorn – Miller – Gourde – Sergachev
0:350% CF
PK1FCallahan – Paquette
2:42
PK2FKillorn – Point
1:42
PK1DStralman – Hedman
3:51
PK2DCoburn – Girardi
1:41

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	24:57	—	—	59	41
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	0	0	0	24:08	—	—	61	52
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	0	0	20:54	—	—	58	59
Jason Pominville R	L2	1	1	2	+1	7	0.69	2	0	0	18:19	—	—	55	63
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.40	0	1	0	15:36	—	—	61	75
Scott Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	0	1	0	14:16	—	—	64	78
Benoit Pouliot L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	12:58	—	—	38	20
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	2	0	12:52	—	—	45	24
Nick Baptiste R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	1	0	0	12:32	—	—	43	24
Seth Griffith C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	1	1	0	10:12	—	—	43	63
Jacob Josefson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	1	0	0	10:04	—	—	32	48
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	3	0	0	8:45	—	—	43	63
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	1	2	0	28:28	—	—	58	54
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	25:37	—	—	61	43
Victor Antipin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	2	0	19:44	—	—	62	63
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:42	—	—	55	48
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	3	0	13:34	—	—	24	52
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	2	12:09	—	—	24	40

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	W	22	21	1	.955	1.97	61:23

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	0	0	18:40	—	—	48	49
J.T. Miller C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	4	2	2	17:40	—	—	64	79
Adam Erne L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	1	0	2	16:35	—	—	57	74
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	2	0	19:31	—	—	43	15
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	3	0	0	18:36	—	—	51	21
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	17:38	—	—	26	9
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.41	1	0	2	12:41	—	—	66	61
Chris Kunitz L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:52	—	—	50	61
Cory Conacher C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.20	1	0	2	9:01	—	—	71	84
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	14:14	—	—	60	81
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	2	0	11:49	—	—	35	45
Michael Bournival L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	9:20	—	—	29	47
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	2	0	29:31	—	—	32	22
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	1	0	25:31	—	—	36	23
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	1	0	0	15:47	—	—	46	58
Andrej Sustr D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:08	—	—	46	58
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	4	0	0	20:17	—	—	62	75
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	1	0	16:07	—	—	80	91

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	O	34	32	2	.941	2.74	61:26

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 28, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning