Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningApr 10, 2022

FinalSunday, Apr 10, 2022· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	9	11	8	28
TBL	2	2	1	5		TBL	9	9	10	28

: BUF 49TBL 50
: BUF 2.79TBL 3.55
PP goals: BUF 0TBL 0
Hits: BUF 30TBL 27
Blocks: BUF 11TBL 8
PIM: BUF 4TBL 4
: BUF 40%TBL 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Buffalo Sabres 5–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 5–0 at home. Ondrej Palat (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF scored 0 goals on 2.79 expected goals (49 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Ondrej Palat had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:34.Palat
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.79 expected goals (49 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Hinostroza–Bjork–Cozens skated 9:58 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (70.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hinostroza Bjork Cozens
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs skated 10:04 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Girgensons Krebs
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 14:37, −3:45 down on his 18:22 season average over 75 games.Cirelli
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 15:50, −3:41 down on his 19:31 season average over 65 games.Point
Usage
Casey Fitzgerald (BUF) played 11:04, −5:58 down on his 17:02 season average over 35 games.Fitzgerald
Usage
Ryan McDonagh (TBL) played 19:09, −3:20 down on his 22:29 season average over 70 games.McDonagh

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · TBL 50 · BUF 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 23% of the game, TBL 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TBL
	54	52
	3.10	3.78
	2.99	3.61
	8	12
	2	2
	16	22
	−0.072	+0.072
	23%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
11:5156% CF
L2Olofsson – Asplund – Mittelstadt
10:2725% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
10:0429% CF
L4Hinostroza – Bjork – Cozens
9:5871% CF
D1Miller – Bryson
11:2548% CF
D2Jokiharju – Dahlin
10:0136% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Samuelsson
6:0743% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
0:56100% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Jokiharju – Krebs – Cozens
0:5250% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Cozens
1:11
PK2FTuch – Thompson
0:27
PK1DJokiharju – Bryson
2:02
PK2DFitzgerald – Dahlin
0:49

Current BUF line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
12:5953% CF
L2Stamkos – Paul – Colton
11:0948% CF
L3Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
11:0244% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
9:1971% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
16:2048% CF
D2Bogosian – Sergachev
14:4668% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
12:3432% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:0280% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Palat – Sergachev – Colton
0:49100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
0:52
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
0:45
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:35
PK2DBogosian – Rutta
1:01

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	3	0.49	0	0	0	17:16	—	—	58	64
Tage Thompson C	L1	-1	4	0.38	3	1	0	17:10	—	—	60	63
Jeff Skinner L	L1	-1	1	0.36	0	0	0	16:24	—	—	58	64
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	-2	0	0.00	4	1	0	15:28	—	—	29	30
Victor Olofsson L	L2	-1	3	0.21	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	27	27
Rasmus Asplund C	L2	-1	3	0.18	0	0	0	12:58	—	—	38	34
Kyle Okposo R	L3	-3	1	0.22	0	1	0	16:04	—	—	39	28
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	-2	0	0.00	0	2	0	15:24	—	—	48	34
Peyton Krebs C	L3	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:51	—	—	33	16
Dylan Cozens C	L4	-1	2	0.26	0	0	0	14:49	—	—	73	58
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	-1	3	0.08	2	0	0	13:14	—	—	79	61
Anders Bjork L	L4	-1	3	0.14	1	0	0	12:25	—	—	68	49
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	2	0.15	2	2	0	20:16	—	—	52	55
Colin Miller D	D1	-1	1	0.02	3	1	0	17:30	—	—	61	56
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	-1	0	0.12	5	1	0	25:31	—	—	60	52
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	22:00	—	—	40	45
Mattias Samuelsson D	D3	-4	1	0.09	5	1	4	21:28	—	—	44	29
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	-3	0	0.04	2	1	0	11:04	—	—	44	27

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	28	23	5	.821	3.55	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	+3	2	0.23	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	50	59
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.45	1	1	0	15:50	—	—	53	76
Ondrej Palat L	L1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.22	2	0	0	15:34	—	—	50	76
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.25	3	0	0	16:20	—	—	40	56
Ross Colton C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.42	2	0	0	15:02	—	—	42	56
Nick Paul L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	1	0	0	13:52	—	—	46	63
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	2	16:32	—	—	42	35
Brandon Hagel L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	4	1	0	15:42	—	—	44	30
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.32	0	0	0	14:37	—	—	44	29
Corey Perry R	L4	1	0	1	+1	4	0.35	1	1	0	14:20	—	—	62	76
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	57	57
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	63	83
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.09	3	0	0	19:26	—	—	55	47
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	1	0	19:09	—	—	45	39
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.25	4	2	2	22:35	—	—	57	65
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.22	5	0	0	18:29	—	—	68	86
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.16	0	2	0	22:32	—	—	32	36
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	29	44

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	W	28	28	0	.1000	2.79	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningApr 10, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Buffalo Sabres 5–0

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning