Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 29, 2024

Final / OTThursday, Feb 29, 2024· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	1	0	1	1	3		BUF	5	7	9	2	23
TBL	1	1	0	0	2		TBL	8	8	7	0	23

: BUF 52TBL 45
: BUF 2.02TBL 2.11
PP goals: BUF 2TBL 1
Hits: BUF 31TBL 28
Blocks: BUF 11TBL 20
PIM: BUF 6TBL 6
: BUF 43%TBL 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 in overtime at TBL. Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:15 together.

Points
Rasmus Dahlin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 27:55.Dahlin
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:15 together.Skinner Tuch Thompson Dahlin Cozens
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point and Cirelli) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:45 together.Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point Cirelli
New line
New look for BUF: Tuch–Greenway–Thompson skated 9:36 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tuch Greenway Thompson
New line
New look for BUF: Cozens–Peterka–Benson skated 9:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cozens Peterka Benson
New line
New look for BUF: Girgensons–Robinson–Krebs skated 8:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Robinson Krebs
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Skinner–Mittelstadt skated 7:39 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Skinner Mittelstadt
Usage
Erik Cernak (TBL) played 22:11, +3:02 up on his 19:09 season average over 68 games.Cernak

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 97 of 97 attempts · TBL 45 · BUF 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 28% of the game, TBL 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TBL
	52	47
	1.30	2.34
	1.25	2.26
	2	7
	5	6
	13	10
	−0.040	+0.041
	28%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Greenway – Thompson
9:3636% CF
L2Cozens – Peterka – Benson
9:0550% CF
L3Girgensons – Robinson – Krebs
8:2275% CF
L4Okposo – Skinner – Mittelstadt
7:3950% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
15:4946% CF
D2Bryson – Power
14:2450% CF
D3Clifton – Johnson
10:4258% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:15100% CF
PP2Okposo – Greenway – Mittelstadt – Peterka – Power
0:57100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
2:05
PK2FTuch – Benson
0:46
PK1DClifton – Power
2:23
PK2DJokiharju – Dahlin
1:11

Current BUF line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Glendening – Motte – Sheary
10:5536% CF
L2Kucherov – Point – Hagel
10:1858% CF
L3Cirelli – Eyssimont – Chaffee
8:2238% CF
D1Fleury – Cernak
13:5343% CF
D2de Haan – Perbix
12:1333% CF
D3Hedman – Raddysh
9:4261% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Cirelli
2:4567% CF
PP2Kucherov – Paul – Raddysh – Hagel – Eyssimont
0:59
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:51
PK2FGlendening – Motte
1:06
PK1Dde Haan – Cernak
1:18
PK2DFleury – Raddysh
0:35

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.42	2	1	2	18:15	—	—	44	38
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	1	2	0	17:34	—	—	36	26
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.35	0	2	0	17:23	—	—	38	29
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	3	0	0	16:57	—	—	50	27
Zach Benson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	2	12:46	—	—	59	35
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:57	—	—	53	38
Eric Robinson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	3	0	0	15:28	—	—	70	45
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	3	0	0	14:25	—	—	70	52
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:45	—	—	79	53
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	20:21	—	—	58	44
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	4	0	0	13:28	—	—	59	54
Jeff Skinner L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	13:13	—	—	35	16
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	1	1	2	0	2	0.24	2	2	0	27:55	—	—	56	38
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	0	0	18:59	—	—	39	24
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	1	0	0	24:18	—	—	49	40
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:18	—	—	53	39
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	5	3	0	16:28	—	—	64	30
Ryan Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:40	—	—	62	37

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	23	21	2	.913	2.11	61:42

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Luke Glendening C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	3	0	0	14:55	—	—	33	25
Tyler Motte C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:24	—	—	41	37
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	13:29	—	—	35	30
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.37	1	1	2	23:21	—	—	48	62
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	0	0	0	21:01	—	—	61	76
Brayden Point C	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.29	0	0	2	18:36	—	—	61	73
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:10	—	—	60	82
Mitchell Chaffee R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	3	3	0	12:38	—	—	41	70
Michael Eyssimont C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	2	2	0	11:16	—	—	33	58
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	3	3	0	22:11	—	—	53	71
Haydn Fleury D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	1	2	0	17:11	—	—	39	63
Calvin de Haan D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	16:29	—	—	33	59
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:34	—	—	33	58
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.30	4	3	2	24:11	—	—	60	68
Darren Raddysh D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:52	—	—	59	75
Steven Stamkos C	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.49	1	1	0	18:50	—	—	48	76
Nick Paul L	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	5	0	0	15:52	—	—	40	71
Maxwell Crozier D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:27	—	—	40	51

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	O	23	20	3	.870	2.02	61:09

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Brayden Point (TBL PP) 1st 8:12 · assists Nikita Kucherov, Victor Hedman · Odd-man rush · carried in · 5-on-3 at the blue line · 25.0 mph shot · 3.5 s from entry to goal.

Brayden Point · 1st 8:12 · TBL PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 5-on-3
Passes: 2
Shot: 25.0 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 3.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 17:18 · TBL

Play: deflection
Entry: dump
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 13.7 mph
Distance: 1 ft
Entry to goal: 4.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 3rd 11:33 · BUF PP

Play: rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 65.7 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 3.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Rasmus Dahlin · OT 1:42 · BUF PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 31.1 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 29, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goal anatomy

Brayden Point · 1st 8:12 · TBL PP

Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 17:18 · TBL

Tage Thompson · 3rd 11:33 · BUF PP

Rasmus Dahlin · OT 1:42 · BUF PP