Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 26, 2018

FinalMonday, Mar 26, 2018· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	2	3		BUF	7	11	9	27
TOR	0	2	0	2		TOR	14	15	12	41

: BUF 41TOR 86
: BUF 2.70TOR 4.99
PP goals: BUF 0TOR 1
Hits: BUF 29TOR 21
Blocks: BUF 19TOR 8
PIM: BUF 2TOR 0
: BUF 46%TOR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 at TOR. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Chad Johnson (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +14 against a season average of 26.7; the win.

Points
Jack Eichel had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:08.Eichel
Points
Patrick Marleau had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:02.Marleau
Points
Zemgus Girgensons had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:38.Girgensons
Goalie
Chad Johnson (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +14 against a season average of 26.7; the win.Johnson
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 4.99 expected goals (86 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: O'Reilly–Nolan–Reinhart skated 4:26 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.O'Reilly Nolan Reinhart
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Larsson–Wilson skated 7:03 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Larsson Wilson
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 18:38, +5:00 up on his 13:38 season average over 70 games.Girgensons

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · TOR 86 · BUF 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 13% of the game, TOR 60%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	49	89
	3.24	4.81
	3.08	4.49
	11	12
	6	8
	24	31
	−0.049	+0.049
	13%	60%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Girgensons – Eichel
14:3138% CF
L2Pouliot – Baptiste – Rodrigues
8:0960% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Wilson
7:0355% CF
L4O'Reilly – Nolan – Reinhart
4:260% CF
D1Scandella – Nelson
19:3328% CF
D2Ristolainen – Guhle
19:1233% CF
D3Falk – Beaulieu
11:1346% CF

PK1FO'Reilly – Larsson
0:40
PK2FPouliot – Wilson
0:26
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
0:40
PK2DFalk – Nelson
0:26

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kadri – Marner
13:5676% CF
L2Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
13:0862% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
11:5567% CF
L4Plekanec – Johnsson – Kapanen
10:0152% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
18:0064% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
15:1458% CF
D3Polak – Dermott
14:2769% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:41100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
0:10100% CF

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	2	0	2	+1	4	0.28	2	2	0	21:08	—	—	39	47
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.23	0	0	0	18:38	—	—	34	29
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.78	1	0	2	18:22	—	—	39	52
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	0	0	0	11:35	—	—	58	76
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:05	—	—	59	84
Nick Baptiste R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	0	0	0	10:07	—	—	63	85
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	3	0	0	17:15	—	—	35	31
Scott Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.19	3	1	0	15:35	—	—	39	38
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:00	—	—	32	20
Ryan O'Reilly C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	14:54	—	—	13	3
Sam Reinhart C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:53	—	—	13	11
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	2	0	0	11:22	—	—	17	44
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	22:45	—	—	27	22
Casey Nelson D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.03	0	2	0	22:12	—	—	35	32
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	4	2	0	26:29	—	—	35	40
Brendan Guhle D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	3	2	0	21:02	—	—	34	40
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	0	14:42	—	—	38	53
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	5	0	12:50	—	—	48	59

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	W	41	39	2	.951	4.99	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.37	1	0	19:17	—	—	70	77
Nazem Kadri C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.88	0	0	17:23	—	—	79	92
Patrick Marleau C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.28	3	0	16:02	—	—	70	77
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.83	0	2	17:45	—	—	62	65
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.35	0	1	16:23	—	—	62	65
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.68	1	0	15:45	—	—	64	66
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	1	0	16:33	—	—	71	49
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	0	0	15:53	—	—	66	42
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	13:06	—	—	67	47
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	0	0	12:15	—	—	55	52
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.22	0	0	11:38	—	—	52	51
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	1	0	11:22	—	—	55	52
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.16	2	2	25:08	—	—	67	73
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	19:17	—	—	65	74
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	0	21:46	—	—	62	66
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	2	17:58	—	—	55	61
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	1	0	17:41	—	—	72	41
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	5	1	17:04	—	—	66	43

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	27	24	3	.889	2.70	57:44

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 26, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs