Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsApr 2, 2018

FinalMonday, Apr 2, 2018· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	1	2		BUF	9	10	15	34
TOR	1	3	1	5		TOR	12	15	9	36

: BUF 68TOR 56
: BUF 2.98TOR 3.07
PP goals: BUF 2TOR 2
Hits: BUF 23TOR 32
Blocks: BUF 12TOR 15
PIM: BUF 6TOR 10
: BUF 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart and Eichel) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 6:27 together.

Points
Auston Matthews had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 6 shots in 15:50.Matthews
Points
William Nylander had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:26.Nylander
Points
Andreas Johnsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:56.Johnsson
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart and Eichel) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 6:27 together.Okposo O'Reilly Ristolainen Reinhart Eichel
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Marleau, Gardiner, Johnsson, Nylander and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:42 together.Marleau Gardiner Johnsson Nylander Matthews
Usage
Benoit Pouliot (BUF) played 5:41, −8:07 down on his 13:48 season average over 73 games.Pouliot
Goalie
Chad Johnson (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 31 (.861), +9 against a season average of 26.7; the loss.Johnson
New line
New look for TOR: Plekanec–Martin–Johnsson skated 7:41 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Plekanec Martin Johnsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · TOR 56 · BUF 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 39% of the game, TOR 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	62	55
	1.81	2.97
	1.77	2.82
	12	11
	1	5
	11	23
	−0.021	+0.021
	39%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1O'Reilly – Wilson – Reinhart
10:3872% CF
L2Pominville – Girgensons – Eichel
10:0674% CF
L3Okposo – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
8:5536% CF
L4Pouliot – Larsson – Baptiste
5:1250% CF
D1Falk – Nelson
16:0966% CF
D2Scandella – Ristolainen
13:4060% CF
D3Gorges – Tennyson
10:1432% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
6:27100% CF
PP2Pominville – Scandella – Baptiste – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
1:58100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:24
PK2FO'Reilly – Eichel
0:37
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:47
PK2DGorges – Falk
1:23

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:1248% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Marner
10:3939% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
10:1047% CF
L4Plekanec – Martin – Johnsson
7:4147% CF
D1Polak – Gardiner
15:0341% CF
D2Rielly – Carrick
11:5458% CF
D3Hainsey – Zaitsev
11:3355% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
2:4283% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
1:05100% CF
PK1FPlekanec – Hyman
5:40
PK2FBrown – Johnsson
3:18
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
3:51
PK2DPolak – Rielly
0:40

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	1	1	-2	7	0.22	0	0	0	21:25	—	—	64	38
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.24	0	0	0	19:55	—	—	65	40
Scott Wilson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	5	1	0	15:03	—	—	42	21
Jack Eichel C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	1	0	22:49	—	—	74	55
Jason Pominville R	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.47	0	0	0	14:49	—	—	73	50
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	2	0	0	14:44	—	—	45	23
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	2	0	0	18:19	—	—	44	62
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	0	16:22	—	—	55	62
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	12:01	—	—	31	46
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	2	0	0	13:30	—	—	51	36
Nick Baptiste R	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.33	0	0	0	10:43	—	—	50	26
Benoit Pouliot L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	5:41	—	—	50	39
Casey Nelson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	0	21:48	—	—	62	51
Justin Falk D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	1	2	18:04	—	—	57	56
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.11	3	1	0	26:00	—	—	61	35
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	1	1	-3	2	0.10	1	4	2	18:45	—	—	51	28
Matt Tennyson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	39	21
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	4	1	0	12:30	—	—	32	38

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	L	36	31	5	.861	3.07	59:51

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.20	2	0	0	20:02	—	—	37	61
William Nylander R	L1	2	1	3	+2	4	0.53	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	38	56
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	1	3	+2	6	0.61	0	2	0	15:50	—	—	43	65
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	15:31	—	—	59	80
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	0	14:43	—	—	42	75
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	0	2	2	14:12	—	—	36	52
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	14:02	—	—	45	49
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	0	0	13:22	—	—	64	70
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.29	1	0	0	13:02	—	—	62	61
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	1	1	2	+1	3	0.35	0	2	0	14:56	—	—	45	59
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	5	0	0	14:05	—	—	44	64
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	0	0	8:16	—	—	50	75
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	1	1	+3	2	0.06	3	1	0	24:02	—	—	37	46
Roman Polak D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.04	6	1	6	19:13	—	—	41	61
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.07	2	0	0	19:56	—	—	58	44
Connor Carrick D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	2	0	14:05	—	—	55	57
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	21:37	—	—	48	88
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	17:25	—	—	46	74

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	2.98	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsApr 2, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs