Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 2, 2019

FinalSaturday, Mar 2, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	2	0	0	2		BUF	10	7	20	37
TOR	2	2	1	5		TOR	16	7	9	32

: BUF 58TOR 61
: BUF 2.79TOR 3.85
PP goals: BUF 0TOR 0
Hits: BUF 27TOR 27
Blocks: BUF 17TOR 13
PIM: BUF 9TOR 9
: BUF 36%TOR 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +4 against a season average of 32.6; the win.

Points
John Tavares had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:44.Tavares
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 19:37.Marner
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +4 against a season average of 32.6; the win.Andersen
New line
New look for TOR: Petan–Gauthier–Moore skated 6:14 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Petan Gauthier Moore
Usage
Jake McCabe (BUF) played 13:48, −5:14 down on his 19:02 season average over 58 games.McCabe
Luck
Jeff Skinner (BUF) generated 1.05 xG on 8 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Skinner
Shots
Jeff Skinner (BUF) led everyone with 7 shot on goals without scoring.Skinner
Cats
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) threw 6 hits and blocked 1 shot, a night for hits leagues.Ristolainen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · TOR 61 · BUF 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 29% of the game, TOR 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	61	61
	3.10	3.30
	2.93	3.03
	14	10
	10	2
	20	14
	−0.084	+0.084
	29%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
12:4948% CF
L2Pominville – Larsson – Girgensons
9:4459% CF
L3Okposo – Sheary – Rodrigues
9:0250% CF
L4Wilson – Thompson – Mittelstadt
8:4758% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
13:0154% CF
D2Scandella – Montour
10:4030% CF
D3McCabe – Ristolainen
7:5244% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
1:3875% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Montour – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
1:29100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:35
PK2FWilson – Eichel
1:08
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
2:47
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
1:13

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
13:2851% CF
L2Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
11:2635% CF
L3Marleau – Brown – Nylander
9:3960% CF
L4Petan – Gauthier – Moore
6:1440% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
14:5149% CF
D2Muzzin – Zaitsev
13:3738% CF
D3Marincin – Ozhiganov
12:2454% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
2:4580% CF
PP2Marleau – Muzzin – Petan – Nylander – Kapanen
0:55100% CF
PK1FHyman – Kapanen
2:05
PK2FBrown – Moore
0:46
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:23
PK2DMuzzin – Marincin
1:21

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	4	3	0	19:32	—	—	49	79
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.32	0	1	0	18:36	—	—	49	76
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-1	7	1.05	0	2	0	17:49	—	—	50	82
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.21	4	0	0	15:02	—	—	58	50
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	0	1	0	14:05	—	—	60	67
Jason Pominville R	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	11:45	—	—	56	79
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	1	0	2	16:16	—	—	54	23
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	3	0	5	15:39	—	—	41	31
Conor Sheary L	L3	1	0	1	-2	1	0.14	0	1	0	15:39	—	—	37	18
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:52	—	—	59	31
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:46	—	—	39	10
Scott Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	10:38	—	—	62	33
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.14	4	3	0	22:35	—	—	56	65
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.05	3	0	0	22:31	—	—	58	58
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	1	2	2	20:30	—	—	46	44
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.05	0	2	0	15:34	—	—	37	19
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	6	1	0	23:27	—	—	53	57
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	0	13:48	—	—	45	29

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	3.32	58:56

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	1	2	3	+3	3	0.55	0	0	2	19:44	—	—	50	33
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	2	3	+3	4	0.74	0	0	2	19:37	—	—	51	35
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	+3	1	0.04	1	1	0	18:42	—	—	50	34
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.38	1	2	0	18:27	—	—	46	60
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	0	1	5	17:08	—	—	46	67
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	0	0	0	15:50	—	—	35	35
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:07	—	—	55	66
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	1	0	0	15:05	—	—	60	75
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.77	3	0	0	14:18	—	—	62	81
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:35	—	—	46	47
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	0	0	8:31	—	—	39	35
Nic Petan C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	7:45	—	—	40	46
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.08	0	1	0	24:32	—	—	47	45
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	6	2	0	19:31	—	—	56	39
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	2	2	0	20:24	—	—	48	50
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	3	2	0	20:19	—	—	38	65
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	4	0	0	15:55	—	—	56	64
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.11	2	2	0	15:30	—	—	58	63

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	2.79	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 2, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs