Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 30, 2019

Final / OTSaturday, Nov 30, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	0	1	0	1		BUF	8	11	9	2	30
TOR	0	1	0	1	2		TOR	11	16	13	3	43

: BUF 61TOR 66
: BUF 2.66TOR 2.61
PP goals: BUF 0TOR 1
Hits: BUF 31TOR 27
Blocks: BUF 11TOR 11
PIM: BUF 2TOR 4
: BUF 46%TOR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 in overtime at home. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +13 against a season average of 29.6; the overtime loss.

Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:45.Tavares
Goalie
Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +13 against a season average of 29.6; the overtime loss.Hutton
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Petan–Kapanen skated 10:27 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (42.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Petan Kapanen
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 2.66 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 19:17, −3:34 down on his 22:51 season average over 68 games.Ristolainen
Usage
Pierre Engvall (TOR) played 7:25, −4:37 down on his 12:02 season average over 47 games.Engvall
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 9:27, −4:24 down on his 13:51 season average over 68 games.Girgensons
Usage
Jimmy Vesey (BUF) played 17:25, +3:40 up on his 13:45 season average over 63 games.Vesey

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · TOR 66 · BUF 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 37% of the game, TOR 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	66	70
	2.52	2.33
	2.44	2.28
	18	4
	4	7
	17	18
	−0.034	+0.034
	37%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
16:0060% CF
L2Johansson – Vesey – Mittelstadt
11:0960% CF
L3Larsson – Skinner – Sheary
11:0647% CF
D1Bogosian – McCabe
8:2054% CF
D2Miller – Ristolainen
8:1629% CF
D3Scandella – Jokiharju
7:4250% CF

PP1Johansson – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
2:28100% CF
PP2Skinner – Miller – Sheary – Eichel – Mittelstadt
1:08
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:24
PK1DBogosian – Scandella
1:24

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Mikheyev
13:4142% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
13:1358% CF
L3Kerfoot – Petan – Kapanen
10:2742% CF
L4Gauthier – Engvall – Timashov
6:0881% CF
D1Rielly – Ceci
17:3244% CF
D2Barrie – Dermott
15:2244% CF
D3Muzzin – Holl
14:2772% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Rielly – Nylander – Matthews
1:13100% CF
PP2Rielly – Kerfoot – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
0:04100% CF
PK1FHyman – Mikheyev
1:14
PK2FKapanen – Engvall
0:39
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
2:14
PK2DHoll – Rielly
1:14

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	2	1	0	23:46	—	—	60	65
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	1	1	0	22:03	—	—	52	56
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	2	1	0	21:49	—	—	54	56
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	2	0	2	17:28	—	—	44	48
Jimmy Vesey L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	0	17:25	—	—	55	61
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	15:06	—	—	60	49
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:53	—	—	36	39
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	3	1	0	16:49	—	—	42	64
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	4	0	0	16:13	—	—	39	48
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	18:06	—	—	55	58
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	2	0	16:16	—	—	46	60
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	4	0	0	19:17	—	—	42	51
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	16:23	—	—	45	39
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	0	15:08	—	—	58	50
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	1	0	14:57	—	—	50	44
Brandon Montour D	—	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	1	1	0	18:17	—	—	46	61
Zemgus Girgensons C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:27	—	—	31	19
Rasmus Asplund C	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	1	1	0	8:32	—	—	36	40

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	O	43	41	2	.953	2.61	61:41

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.21	0	1	2	20:45	—	—	39	41
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	0	1	0	20:09	—	—	40	39
Ilya Mikheyev R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	2	1	0	17:57	—	—	40	36
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.32	0	0	0	20:18	—	—	55	61
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	0	6	0.67	0	0	0	17:40	—	—	56	57
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	4	1	0	17:37	—	—	60	54
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	1	0	15:37	—	—	44	43
Nic Petan C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	1	2	13:48	—	—	40	41
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	2	0	0	13:07	—	—	46	40
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	8:23	—	—	82	70
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	7:25	—	—	81	63
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	7:13	—	—	81	63
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	2	0	0	23:42	—	—	48	42
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.08	3	1	0	22:54	—	—	43	40
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	1	0	19:40	—	—	47	37
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	2	2	0	17:12	—	—	48	40
Jake Muzzin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	1	0	20:30	—	—	67	75
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	0	0	17:36	—	—	73	73

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.66	61:27

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 30, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs