Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 4, 2023

FinalSaturday, Nov 4, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	2	3	6		BUF	12	14	15	41
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	12	10	6	28

: BUF 64TOR 61
: BUF 5.03TOR 3.01
PP goals: BUF 1TOR 1
Hits: BUF 22TOR 34
Blocks: BUF 18TOR 14
PIM: BUF 8TOR 4
: BUF 31%TOR 69%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–4

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–4 at TOR. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 3A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 14 attempts in 4:16 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 1 shot in 18:11.Marner
Points
Auston Matthews had a hat trick (3 points) on 5 shots in 18:53.Matthews
Points
Alex Tuch had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:38.Tuch
Points
JJ Peterka had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:24.Peterka
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 14 attempts in 4:16 together.Tavares Klingberg Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Tuch–Thompson skated 12:54 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Tuch Thompson
Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 40 shots and stopped 35 (.875), +9 against a season average of 30.9; the loss.Woll
New line
New look for BUF: Greenway–Mittelstadt–Peterka skated 7:18 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (70.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greenway Mittelstadt Peterka

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · TOR 61 · BUF 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 39% of the game, TOR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	59	47
	3.15	1.60
	3.02	1.57
	16	8
	6	6
	18	10
	−0.131	+0.131
	39%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
12:5457% CF
L2Greenway – Mittelstadt – Peterka
7:1871% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Jost
6:3150% CF
D1Clifton – Power
9:5680% CF
D2Jokiharju – Dahlin
7:5069% CF
D3Johnson – Bryson
4:2850% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
3:0191% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Krebs – Peterka – Power
0:59100% CF
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
1:26
PK2FTuch – Greenway
1:25
PK1DJohnson – Power
3:40
PK2DClifton – Jokiharju
2:04

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
11:1748% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Marner – Matthews
9:1632% CF
L3Domi – Kampf – Knies
5:1413% CF
L4Reaves – Gregor – Holmberg
3:0350% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
12:4159% CF
D2Giordano – Klingberg
10:2650% CF
D3Lagesson – Lajoie
4:0033% CF

PP1Tavares – Klingberg – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:1693% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Rielly – Bertuzzi – Domi – Knies
1:39100% CF
PK1FKampf – Knies
0:45
PK2FMarner – Matthews
0:26
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
1:49
PK2DRielly – Lagesson
0:33

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	0	1	-1	7	0.78	0	0	4	21:57	—	—	49	55
Alex Tuch R	L1	2	0	2	-1	5	1.28	0	2	0	21:38	—	—	55	64
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.39	0	0	0	18:46	—	—	50	57
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	1	1	+3	3	0.95	1	0	0	18:47	—	—	70	86
JJ Peterka R	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.39	0	0	0	18:24	—	—	59	77
Jordan Greenway L	L2	1	0	1	+3	5	0.34	6	2	2	17:55	—	—	64	89
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:14	—	—	47	29
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	3	1	0	13:05	—	—	61	47
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	1	1	0	12:50	—	—	50	61
Owen Power D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	24:07	—	—	58	81
Connor Clifton D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.05	2	1	0	19:06	—	—	70	80
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	1	0	0	24:46	—	—	59	69
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.11	3	0	0	17:14	—	—	60	70
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	4	1	0	16:23	—	—	43	32
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	6:27	—	—	55	81
Victor Olofsson L	—	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	0	2	8:42	—	—	55	62
Ryan Johnson D	—	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	4	0	8:20	—	—	27	32
Peyton Krebs C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	7:50	—	—	33	26

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devon Levi(start)	W	28	24	4	.857	3.01	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.58	1	0	0	19:51	—	—	46	31
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	-2	5	0.32	0	0	0	19:23	—	—	57	35
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	3	1	0	16:33	—	—	46	34
Auston Matthews C	L2	3	0	3	0	5	0.69	4	0	0	18:53	—	—	46	29
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	3	4	0	1	0.12	5	0	2	18:11	—	—	32	18
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.21	2	1	0	16:13	—	—	35	18
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	3	0	2	15:02	—	—	48	58
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	1	0	13:58	—	—	27	28
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.11	0	0	0	12:59	—	—	37	30
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	4	0	0	11:17	—	—	61	70
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	0	0	9:12	—	—	36	34
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	3	0	0	8:59	—	—	50	47
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	2	2	0	26:42	—	—	50	57
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	0	23:04	—	—	46	34
John Klingberg D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.05	0	1	0	25:04	—	—	42	17
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	0	6	0	22:19	—	—	43	34
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:29	—	—	35	12
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	4:54	—	—	46	46

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	L	40	35	5	.875	4.11	59:23

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Tage Thompson (BUF SH) 2nd 6:28 · unassisted · Odd-man rush · loose puck · 1-on-0 at the blue line · 11.0 mph shot · 4.5 s from entry to goal.

Tage Thompson · 2nd 6:28 · BUF SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 11.0 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Entry to goal: 4.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 1st 12:05 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 2
Shot: 41.7 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Entry to goal: 2.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

JJ Peterka · 1st 16:13 · BUF PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 2
Shot: 70.5 mph
Distance: 40 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:22 · TOR PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 3
Shot: 47.3 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 11:56 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 71.9 mph
Distance: 30 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 0:17 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 37.6 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jordan Greenway · 3rd 3:11 · BUF

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 32.8 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 7:26 · TOR

Play: deflection
Passes: 2
Shot: 41.6 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Tuch · 3rd 12:48 · BUF

Play: deflection
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 33.2 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:54 · BUF EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 62.3 mph
Distance: 26 ft
Entry to goal: 1.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 4, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–4

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

Tage Thompson · 2nd 6:28 · BUF SH

Mitch Marner · 1st 12:05 · TOR

JJ Peterka · 1st 16:13 · BUF PP

Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:22 · TOR PP

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 11:56 · BUF

Auston Matthews · 3rd 0:17 · TOR

Jordan Greenway · 3rd 3:11 · BUF

Auston Matthews · 3rd 7:26 · TOR

Alex Tuch · 3rd 12:48 · BUF

Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:54 · BUF EN