Buffalo Sabres vs. Edmonton OilersOct 18, 2022

FinalTuesday, Oct 18, 2022· Rogers Place

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	2	1	4		BUF	7	12	5	24
EDM	1	0	1	2		EDM	15	10	23	48

: BUF 45EDM 79
: BUF 3.58EDM 5.97
PP goals: BUF 1EDM 0
Hits: BUF 16EDM 28
Blocks: BUF 13EDM 11
PIM: BUF 10EDM 12
: BUF 44%EDM 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Edmonton Oilers 4–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Edmonton Oilers 4–2 at EDM. Darnell Nurse (EDM) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Eric Comrie (BUF) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +17 against a season average of 31.3; the win.

Goalie
Eric Comrie (BUF) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +17 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Comrie
Luck
EDM scored 2 goals on 5.97 expected goals (79 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for EDM: Kane–McDavid–Yamamoto skated 10:43 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kane McDavid Yamamoto
New line
New look for BUF: Hinostroza–Cozens–Peterka skated 8:15 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (41.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hinostroza Cozens Peterka
New line
New look for EDM: Hyman–Draisaitl–Puljujarvi skated 5:02 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hyman Draisaitl Puljujarvi
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs skated 4:22 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Girgensons Krebs
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt skated 7:55 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (16.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Asplund Mittelstadt
Usage
Connor McDavid (EDM) played 26:52, +4:32 up on his 22:20 season average over 81 games.McDavid

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · EDM 79 · BUF 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 21% of the game, EDM 53%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	EDM
	40	67
	2.36	3.96
	2.32	3.81
	10	18
	5	5
	34	19
	−0.086	+0.086
	21%	53%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
11:3635% CF
L2Hinostroza – Cozens – Peterka
8:1542% CF
L3Olofsson – Asplund – Mittelstadt
7:5517% CF
L4Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
4:2220% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
14:4137% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
12:1728% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
4:1260% CF

PP1Okposo – Olofsson – Krebs – Cozens – Power
3:04100% CF
PP2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
2:38100% CF
PK1FAsplund – Cozens
2:39
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
2:12
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
3:58
PK2DBryson – Dahlin
1:51

Current BUF line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Kane – McDavid – Yamamoto
10:4347% CF
L2Hyman – Draisaitl – Puljujarvi
5:0246% CF
L3Shore – Foegele – McLeod
1:170% CF
D1Ceci – Nurse
14:5869% CF
D2Murray – Bouchard
6:1844% CF
D3Barrie – Kulak
5:3443% CF

PP1Kane – Barrie – Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – McDavid
5:08100% CF
PP2Nurse – Puljujarvi – McLeod – Bouchard – Holloway
0:32100% CF
PK1FNugent-Hopkins – Yamamoto
1:46
PK2FShore – McLeod
0:41
PK1DCeci – Nurse
2:09
PK2DMurray – Kulak
1:00

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	1.54	3	1	0	18:00	—	—	31	43
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.38	1	0	2	17:08	—	—	31	37
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	0	1	2	16:30	—	—	35	47
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	0	1	0	19:09	—	—	57	43
JJ Peterka R	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	12:09	—	—	58	52
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	11:44	—	—	45	36
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	0	0	0	15:22	—	—	32	35
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	18	33
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	41	44
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	1	0	15:25	—	—	37	14
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	12:10	—	—	41	19
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	9:51	—	—	20	6
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	0	2	0	23:41	—	—	37	38
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	20:18	—	—	47	52
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	1	0	1	+2	5	0.48	1	2	0	23:21	—	—	30	33
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	5	2	0	22:45	—	—	31	29
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	16:21	—	—	42	37
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	2	8:36	—	—	60	18

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	W	48	46	2	.958	5.97	60:00

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.46	3	0	0	26:52	—	—	66	58
Evander Kane L	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.96	7	1	0	24:48	—	—	66	61
Kailer Yamamoto R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.26	0	0	0	18:13	—	—	61	60
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.88	0	1	0	23:22	—	—	67	74
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.88	1	0	0	21:25	—	—	60	62
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.32	3	0	0	13:44	—	—	56	51
Ryan McLeod C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	12:29	—	—	75	74
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	4	0	4	10:31	—	—	50	14
Devin Shore C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	6:27	—	—	50	31
Darnell Nurse D	D1	1	0	1	0	7	0.50	1	1	2	21:40	—	—	66	59
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	20:14	—	—	65	63
Evan Bouchard D	D2	0	0	0	0	6	0.27	1	0	0	16:29	—	—	69	71
Ryan Murray D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	12:43	—	—	47	51
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.27	0	2	0	21:09	—	—	64	69
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	14:12	—	—	60	69
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	—	1	0	1	0	7	1.11	0	1	2	19:01	—	—	69	81
Markus Niemelainen D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	3	0	0	6:45	—	—	63	50
Dylan Holloway L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	3:47	—	—	33	95

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Stuart Skinner(start)	L	23	20	3	.870	2.61	58:04

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Edmonton OilersOct 18, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Edmonton Oilers 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Edmonton Oilers

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Edmonton Oilers