Buffalo Sabres vs. Florida PanthersApr 4, 2023

FinalTuesday, Apr 4, 2023· FLA Live Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	14	8	18	40
FLA	1	0	1	2		FLA	14	14	8	36

: BUF 66FLA 61
: BUF 3.76FLA 4.38
PP goals: BUF 1FLA 1
Hits: BUF 20FLA 28
Blocks: BUF 10FLA 16
PIM: BUF 8FLA 10
: BUF 44%FLA 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Florida Panthers beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at home. Brandon Montour (FLA) led the scoring with 0G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 3:09 together.

Points
Brandon Montour had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:13.Montour
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 3:09 together.Skinner Tuch Thompson Dahlin Cozens
PP1
FLA's first power-play unit (Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 5:10 together.Barkov Ekblad Reinhart Montour Tkachuk
Goalie
Alex Lyon (FLA) faced 40 shots and stopped 39 (.975), +7 against a season average of 32.5; the win.Lyon
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.76 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
FLA scored 2 goals on 4.38 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Devon Levi (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +4 against a season average of 31.7; the loss.Levi
New line
New look for BUF: Greenway–Jost–Mittelstadt skated 5:26 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greenway Jost Mittelstadt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · FLA 61 · BUF 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 30% of the game, FLA 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	FLA
	61	58
	3.54	3.56
	3.31	3.41
	23	20
	2	2
	6	16
	−0.066	+0.066
	30%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
10:4543% CF
L2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
8:3855% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
8:0764% CF
L4Greenway – Jost – Mittelstadt
5:2646% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
16:3146% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
15:1840% CF
D3Stillman – Lyubushkin
4:2980% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:09100% CF
PP2Mittelstadt – Krebs – Quinn – Peterka – Power
0:42
PK1FGreenway – Quinn
2:02
PK2FGirgensons – Cozens
1:12
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
3:33
PK2DLyubushkin – Power
2:58

Current BUF line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov
11:0034% CF
L2Tkachuk – Luostarinen – Lundell
10:1652% CF
L3Staal – Reinhart – Lomberg
9:5450% CF
L4Cousins – White – Smith
4:2557% CF
D1Ekblad – Forsling
15:0744% CF
D2Staal – Montour
14:1232% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
10:3655% CF

PP1Barkov – Ekblad – Reinhart – Montour – Tkachuk
5:1075% CF
PP2Duclair – Verhaeghe – Montour – Tkachuk – Luostarinen
1:06100% CF
PK1FLuostarinen – Lundell
1:13
PK2FBarkov – Reinhart
0:47
PK1DStaal – Gudas
2:32
PK2DEkblad – Forsling
1:59

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:58
BUFDylan CozensPP (Rasmus Dahlin, Tage Thompson)wrist0.05 xG
BUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, CozensFLA: Staal, Ekblad, Forsling, Lundell
BUF 1 – 0 FLA
15:47
FLAAaron EkbladPP (Brandon Montour, Aleksander Barkov)wrist0.09 xG
BUF: Tuch, Lyubushkin, Quinn, PowerFLA: Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk
BUF 1 – 1 FLA

3rd period

0:59
FLAMatthew Tkachuk (Brandon Montour, Anton Lundell)tip-in0.02 xG
BUF: Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Samuelsson, DahlinFLA: Staal, Montour, Tkachuk, Luostarinen, Lundell
BUF 1 – 2 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.19	0	0	0	18:57	—	—	44	32
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.30	3	0	0	17:12	—	—	39	28
JJ Peterka R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	14:02	—	—	42	32
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.29	1	0	2	19:51	—	—	57	64
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.46	0	0	0	17:54	—	—	46	38
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.18	0	0	0	17:18	—	—	52	59
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.42	2	0	0	13:24	—	—	67	65
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	12:23	—	—	63	73
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	7	0.78	0	1	0	11:49	—	—	67	83
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.33	0	1	0	14:23	—	—	52	41
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	2	1	0	13:22	—	—	60	57
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	4	7:30	—	—	39	22
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	2	1	0	24:24	—	—	50	44
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	22:31	—	—	56	61
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	5	0.44	0	4	0	25:42	—	—	51	53
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	6	0	2	23:42	—	—	41	37
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	10:54	—	—	71	76
Riley Stillman D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:55	—	—	77	77

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devon Levi(start)	L	36	34	2	.944	4.38	59:08

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.29	0	1	0	22:09	—	—	37	43
Carter Verhaeghe C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.97	0	0	0	15:45	—	—	45	49
Anthony Duclair L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.87	1	0	0	14:48	—	—	42	47
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.65	4	0	0	21:33	—	—	66	70
Eetu Luostarinen C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.28	0	0	2	17:13	—	—	52	55
Anton Lundell C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.29	1	1	2	15:45	—	—	63	69
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	1	0	19:30	—	—	44	39
Eric Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:15	—	—	46	30
Ryan Lomberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	5	0	0	14:08	—	—	46	33
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	7:17	—	—	54	45
Givani Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:40	—	—	50	44
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	0	0	5:59	—	—	50	49
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.41	1	2	2	23:59	—	—	47	41
Gustav Forsling D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	2	0	22:12	—	—	50	39
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	2	2	+1	4	0.09	0	2	0	25:13	—	—	43	46
Marc Staal D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	4	0	18:54	—	—	39	63
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	6	1	0	15:27	—	—	61	66
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	2	2	12:29	—	—	58	56

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Lyon(start)	W	40	39	1	.975	3.76	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.