Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 16, 2021

FinalTuesday, Nov 16, 2021· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	2	0	2		BUF	10	6	3	19
PIT	0	0	1	1		PIT	14	12	20	46

: BUF 31PIT 74
: BUF 1.56PIT 4.54
PP goals: BUF 0PIT 1
Hits: BUF 25PIT 31
Blocks: BUF 18PIT 7
PIM: BUF 13PIT 15
: BUF 45%PIT 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Pittsburgh Penguins 2–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Pittsburgh Penguins 2–1 at PIT. Jake Guentzel (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 0A. PIT's first power-play unit (Carter, Crosby, Letang, Rust and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 4:02 together.

PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Carter, Crosby, Letang, Rust and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 4:02 together.Carter Crosby Letang Rust Guentzel
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 46 shots and stopped 45 (.978), +15 against a season average of 31.0; the win.Tokarski
Luck
PIT scored 1 goal on 4.54 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for PIT: Heinen–Rodrigues–Simon skated 5:52 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Heinen Rodrigues Simon
Usage
Jake Guentzel (PIT) played 16:18, −3:51 down on his 20:09 season average over 75 games.Guentzel
Usage
Dylan Cozens (BUF) played 12:34, −3:23 down on his 15:57 season average over 78 games.Cozens
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 17:53, +3:09 up on his 14:44 season average over 55 games.Girgensons
Usage
Jacob Bryson (BUF) played 22:49, +4:33 up on his 18:16 season average over 72 games.Bryson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · PIT 74 · BUF 31

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 15% of the game, PIT 57%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PIT
	32	60
	1.61	2.97
	1.57	2.76
	6	7
	0	0
	16	12
	−0.037	+0.037
	15%	57%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Asplund – Thompson
8:4950% CF
L2Hinostroza – Caggiula – Cozens
8:2756% CF
L3Okposo – Eakin – Girgensons
6:5131% CF
L4Hayden – Bjork – Ruotsalainen
6:220% CF
D1Miller – Bryson
13:5432% CF
D2Pysyk – Dahlin
11:3353% CF
D3Butcher – Hagg
8:5438% CF

PP1Skinner – Asplund – Thompson – Dahlin – Ruotsalainen
3:2650% CF
PP2Okposo – Miller – Girgensons – Bryson – Cozens
2:05
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
2:36
PK2FHinostroza – Caggiula
0:50
PK1DPysyk – Hagg
2:15
PK2DMiller – Bryson
1:16

Current BUF line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Carter – Zucker – Kapanen
11:2673% CF
L2Blueger – McGinn – Aston-Reese
8:1357% CF
L3Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
8:0753% CF
L4Heinen – Rodrigues – Simon
5:52100% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
15:2276% CF
D2Pettersson – Marino
11:3068% CF
D3Matheson – Ruhwedel
9:0267% CF

PP1Carter – Crosby – Letang – Rust – Guentzel
4:02100% CF
PP2Zucker – Kapanen – Heinen – Marino – Rodrigues
1:47100% CF
PK1FBlueger – McGinn
3:42
PK2FRodrigues – Aston-Reese
1:12
PK1DDumoulin – Marino
4:28
PK2DLetang – Ruhwedel
2:16

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

0:28
BUFColin Miller (Drake Caggiula, Dylan Cozens)slap0.03 xG
BUF: Miller, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Bryson, CozensPIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Heinen, Simon
BUF 1 – 0 PIT
8:54
BUFKyle Okposo (Zemgus Girgensons, Rasmus Dahlin)tip-in0.07 xG
BUF: Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Girgensons, DahlinPIT: Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Guentzel
BUF 2 – 0 PIT

3rd period

5:59
PITJake GuentzelPP (Bryan Rust, Sidney Crosby)deflected0.16 xG
BUF: Okposo, Pysyk, Hagg, CaggiulaPIT: Carter, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel
BUF 2 – 1 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	18:30	—	—	40	27
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	1	1	0	17:56	—	—	35	30
Rasmus Asplund C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	14:57	—	—	42	48
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.19	0	0	0	14:33	—	—	44	37
Drake Caggiula L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	2	0	0	13:45	—	—	46	42
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.22	0	1	0	12:34	—	—	55	48
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	17:53	—	—	35	36
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	0	1	0	17:41	—	—	24	29
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	1	0	2	12:23	—	—	26	28
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	14:47	—	—	21	33
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	2	11:47	—	—	9	5
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	1	0	10:16	—	—	9	19
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	3	2	22:49	—	—	27	30
Colin Miller D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	3	2	0	21:31	—	—	29	31
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	1	1	0	22:56	—	—	48	46
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	1	4	2	18:54	—	—	48	47
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	5	16:51	—	—	33	36
Will Butcher D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	12:56	—	—	33	35

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	W	46	45	1	.978	4.54	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Carter C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.47	1	0	0	20:32	—	—	73	78
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.43	2	1	0	15:31	—	—	68	74
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	2	0	0	15:12	—	—	73	79
Teddy Blueger C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	3	1	0	14:37	—	—	45	36
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	13:54	—	—	44	28
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	0	7	9:52	—	—	60	64
Sidney Crosby C	L3	0	1	1	-2	2	0.36	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	52	37
Bryan Rust R	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.17	1	0	2	16:26	—	—	62	53
Jake Guentzel C	L3	1	0	1	-1	5	0.73	2	0	0	16:18	—	—	61	76
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.54	0	0	0	15:56	—	—	100	100
Danton Heinen L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.59	1	0	2	12:20	—	—	74	65
Dominik Simon C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:32	—	—	75	37
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	2	0	2	26:55	—	—	73	55
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	2	0	22:10	—	—	71	58
John Marino D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	1	0	21:11	—	—	55	68
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	2	0	2	14:56	—	—	65	71
Mike Matheson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	3	1	0	14:36	—	—	54	60
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	4	0	0	12:52	—	—	71	70

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	L	19	17	2	.895	1.56	58:41

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.