Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 10, 2022

FinalSaturday, Dec 10, 2022· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	1	1		BUF	9	12	17	38
PIT	2	0	1	3		PIT	12	10	9	31

: BUF 70PIT 53
: BUF 3.47PIT 3.64
PP goals: BUF 0PIT 1
Hits: BUF 38PIT 43
Blocks: BUF 7PIT 17
PIM: BUF 6PIT 6
: BUF 45%PIT 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at home. Sidney Crosby (PIT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 2:10 together.

Points
Sidney Crosby had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 18:48.Crosby
Points
Jake Guentzel had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:09.Guentzel
PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 2:10 together.Malkin Crosby Petry Rakell Guentzel
New line
New look for BUF: Tuch–Thompson–Mittelstadt skated 11:53 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (68.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tuch Thompson Mittelstadt
Goalie
Casey DeSmith (PIT) faced 38 shots and stopped 37 (.974), +8 against a season average of 30.1; the win.DeSmith
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.47 expected goals (70 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Asplund–Jost skated 9:21 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Asplund Jost
Usage
Evgeni Malkin (PIT) played 14:03, −4:35 down on his 18:38 season average over 81 games.Malkin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · PIT 53 · BUF 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 38% of the game, PIT 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PIT
	66	49
	2.68	2.37
	2.46	2.20
	8	17
	10	5
	11	17
	−0.019	+0.019
	38%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
12:3767% CF
L2Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt
11:5368% CF
L3Olofsson – Asplund – Jost
9:2143% CF
L4Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
8:0259% CF
D1Dahlin – Power
10:1888% CF
D2Clague – Samuelsson
5:4827% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Bryson
3:52100% CF

PP1Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Cozens
3:10100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Dahlin – Krebs – Quinn – Peterka
2:1950% CF
PK1FTuch – Thompson
1:01
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
0:35
PK1DSamuelsson – Power
2:10
PK2DBryson – Dahlin
0:15

Current BUF line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rakell – Guentzel
12:5845% CF
L2Archibald – Blueger – Poehling
9:0950% CF
L3Malkin – Zucker – Rust
7:1169% CF
L4Carter – McGinn – Kapanen
6:0230% CF
D1Letang – Joseph
16:1529% CF
D2Dumoulin – Rutta
14:5557% CF
D3Petry – Pettersson
13:4941% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Petry – Rakell – Guentzel
2:10100% CF
PP2Carter – Letang – Zucker – Rust – Kapanen
0:32
PK1FBlueger – McGinn
2:48
PK2FRust – Poehling
1:37
PK1DPetry – Pettersson
2:17
PK2DDumoulin – Rutta
2:06

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:22
PITRickard RakellPP (Evgeni Malkin, Sidney Crosby)snap0.07 xG
BUF: Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, PowerPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell, Guentzel
BUF 0 – 1 PIT
6:51
PITSidney Crosby (Jake Guentzel, Brian Dumoulin)backhand0.08 xG
BUF: Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, PowerPIT: Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Rutta
BUF 0 – 2 PIT

3rd period

11:00
BUFPeyton Krebs (Casey Fitzgerald, Zemgus Girgensons)tip-in0.08 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Fitzgerald, Krebs, PowerPIT: Carter, Letang, Zucker, Kapanen, Joseph
BUF 1 – 2 PIT
18:22
PITSidney Crosby (Jake Guentzel, Bryan Rust)snap0.04 xG
BUF: Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, PowerPIT: Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson
BUF 1 – 3 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
JJ Peterka R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	0	0	0	18:47	—	—	61	62
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.40	1	1	0	18:02	—	—	65	64
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	0	0	0	17:51	—	—	64	67
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	2	0	0	20:06	—	—	58	50
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.56	3	1	2	20:05	—	—	58	56
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	3	0	0	18:21	—	—	68	64
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	2	13:38	—	—	50	45
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	2	0	0	12:29	—	—	40	39
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	10:52	—	—	42	39
Peyton Krebs C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	1	0	0	12:41	—	—	67	62
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	1	1	0	11:50	—	—	59	48
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	4	0	0	10:06	—	—	59	48
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.45	1	0	2	30:19	—	—	69	69
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	3	1	0	26:28	—	—	63	51
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.45	8	1	0	22:56	—	—	46	51
Kale Clague D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	2	0	12:51	—	—	43	13
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	0	12:09	—	—	57	49
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	3	0	0	9:04	—	—	59	55

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	2.93	58:23

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.37	1	1	2	19:09	—	—	40	51
Sidney Crosby C	L1	2	1	3	+2	4	0.85	1	2	0	18:48	—	—	44	51
Rickard Rakell R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	17:57	—	—	42	51
Teddy Blueger C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	1	0	0	16:12	—	—	48	42
Ryan Poehling C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	4	0	0	14:05	—	—	46	37
Josh Archibald R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	5	1	0	12:08	—	—	48	47
Bryan Rust R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.55	0	5	0	16:32	—	—	44	66
Evgeni Malkin C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.46	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	41	48
Jason Zucker L	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.34	4	0	0	11:59	—	—	62	67
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	2	0	13:26	—	—	30	36
Jeff Carter C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	0	11:23	—	—	35	44
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:56	—	—	36	33
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	3	2	22:14	—	—	30	28
Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	4	0	0	17:35	—	—	28	24
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	1	1	0	19:08	—	—	59	58
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	0	2	18:29	—	—	53	55
Jeff Petry D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	20:17	—	—	39	58
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	2	0	19:55	—	—	46	67

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	W	38	37	1	.974	3.47	59:44

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.