Buffalo Sabres vs. Nashville PredatorsDec 3, 2018

FinalMonday, Dec 3, 2018· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	8	7	8	23
NSH	1	1	0	2		NSH	11	8	6	25

: BUF 53NSH 56
: BUF 2.27NSH 2.88
PP goals: BUF 0NSH 1
Hits: BUF 17NSH 24
Blocks: BUF 16NSH 15
PIM: BUF 4NSH 8
: BUF 48%NSH 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Nashville Predators beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at home. Sam Reinhart (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen and Sissons) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:10 together.

PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen and Sissons) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:10 together.Josi Ellis Smith Johansen Sissons
New line
New look for BUF: Berglund–Larsson–Girgensons skated 8:05 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Berglund Larsson Girgensons
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Elie–Rodrigues skated 8:25 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Elie Rodrigues
New line
New look for NSH: Bonino–Grimaldi–Gaudreau skated 5:15 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bonino Grimaldi Gaudreau
Usage
Zach Bogosian (BUF) played 14:56, −6:48 down on his 21:44 season average over 64 games.Bogosian
Usage
Ryan Hartman (NSH) played 18:28, +5:25 up on his 13:03 season average over 82 games.Hartman
Usage
Nick Bonino (NSH) played 12:00, −4:22 down on his 16:22 season average over 80 games.Bonino
Usage
Dan Hamhuis (NSH) played 19:42, +3:43 up on his 15:59 season average over 56 games.Hamhuis

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · NSH 56 · BUF 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 31% of the game, NSH 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NSH
	48	58
	1.81	1.93
	1.75	1.92
	12	6
	2	5
	16	24
	+0.020	−0.020
	31%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
12:4655% CF
L2Okposo – Thompson – Mittelstadt
10:0136% CF
L3Sobotka – Elie – Rodrigues
8:2540% CF
L4Berglund – Larsson – Girgensons
8:0550% CF
D1Ristolainen – Pilut
14:2633% CF
D2Bogosian – Dahlin
10:5431% CF
D3Beaulieu – Nelson
10:3488% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
4:28100% CF
PP2Berglund – Rodrigues – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
2:10100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:10
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
0:44
PK1DBogosian – Ristolainen
1:06
PK2DNelson – Dahlin
0:22

Current BUF line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Hartman – Fiala
11:2830% CF
L2Watson – Salomaki – Sissons
9:4373% CF
L3Smith – Jarnkrok – Tolvanen
7:4754% CF
L4Bonino – Grimaldi – Gaudreau
5:1550% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
17:3558% CF
D2Hamhuis – Ekholm
16:2950% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
11:2852% CF

PP1Josi – Ellis – Smith – Johansen – Sissons
1:10100% CF
PP2Ekholm – Jarnkrok – Hartman – Fiala – Tolvanen
0:5867% CF
PK1FJohansen – Hartman
2:17
PK2FWatson – Sissons
1:49
PK1DJosi – Ellis
3:39
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:58

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:25
NSHRyan EllisPP (Roman Josi, Ryan Johansen)slap0.08 xG
BUF: Sobotka, Rodrigues, Nelson, DahlinNSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, Sissons
BUF 0 – 1 NSH

2nd period

5:20
BUFSam Reinhartbackhand0.23 xG
BUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, PilutNSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Hartman, Fiala
BUF 1 – 1 NSH
16:34
NSHKevin Fiala (Craig Smith, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.02 xG
BUF: Berglund, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson, DahlinNSH: Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Irwin, Fiala
BUF 1 – 2 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	+1	1	0.28	0	0	2	22:13	—	—	44	65
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	+1	6	0.53	0	1	0	21:59	—	—	44	73
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	1	+1	3	0.47	0	0	0	21:31	—	—	52	73
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:53	—	—	41	32
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	14:34	—	—	42	35
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:16	—	—	39	26
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	2	0.32	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	52	39
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	11:51	—	—	44	32
Remi Elie L	L3	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	9:13	—	—	41	30
Patrik Berglund C	L4	0	0	-1	1	0.27	1	0	0	13:47	—	—	58	62
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:31	—	—	39	26
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.06	2	0	0	11:17	—	—	53	44
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	+1	2	0.06	2	5	0	26:53	—	—	33	48
Lawrence Pilut D	D1	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	3	0	19:08	—	—	38	60
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	4	0	22:51	—	—	28	33
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	1	0	14:56	—	—	44	20
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	16:40	—	—	72	45
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:48	—	—	75	78

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	25	23	2	.920	2.45	58:24

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	4	1	0	21:25	—	—	49	32
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	0	0	2	18:28	—	—	47	35
Kevin Fiala L	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	16:27	—	—	41	31
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.71	0	0	0	18:23	—	—	72	63
Austin Watson L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	3	1	2	17:21	—	—	61	66
Miikka Salomaki R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	3	1	2	13:28	—	—	67	78
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	60	62
Craig Smith C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	0	1	0	14:41	—	—	65	56
Eeli Tolvanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.27	1	0	0	10:20	—	—	60	60
Nick Bonino C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:00	—	—	47	62
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	2	0	7:37	—	—	71	100
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:23	—	—	40	95
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.53	0	2	0	25:46	—	—	60	53
Ryan Ellis D	D1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.11	2	2	0	24:32	—	—	58	56
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	3	0	0	23:25	—	—	53	30
Dan Hamhuis D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	19:42	—	—	50	24
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	1	0	13:43	—	—	46	66
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	3	2	0	12:19	—	—	56	71

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	22	21	1	.955	2.27	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.