Buffalo Sabres vs. Nashville PredatorsJan 18, 2020

FinalSaturday, Jan 18, 2020· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	7	17	7	31
NSH	0	1	1	2		NSH	12	14	11	37

: BUF 54NSH 64
: BUF 2.41NSH 3.50
PP goals: BUF 0NSH 1
Hits: BUF 14NSH 17
Blocks: BUF 12NSH 14
PIM: BUF 6NSH 6
: BUF 41%NSH 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Nashville Predators beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at home. Ryan Johansen (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 0A. NSH's first power-play unit (Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Granlund and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:56 together.

PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Granlund and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:56 together.Turris Ekholm Smith Granlund Forsberg
New line
New look for NSH: Jarnkrok–Watson–Johansen skated 9:45 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Watson Johansen
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +6 against a season average of 31.4; the loss.Ullmark
Usage
Yannick Weber (NSH) played 21:46, +7:57 up on his 13:49 season average over 40 games.Weber
Usage
Jake McCabe (BUF) played 13:22, −5:14 down on his 18:36 season average over 65 games.McCabe
New line
New look for NSH: Turris–Smith–Blackwell skated 6:55 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Turris Smith Blackwell
Usage
Craig Smith (NSH) played 9:08, −4:21 down on his 13:29 season average over 68 games.Smith
Usage
Matt Irwin (NSH) played 10:15, −4:21 down on his 14:36 season average over 35 games.Irwin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · NSH 64 · BUF 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 37% of the game, NSH 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NSH
	48	66
	1.90	3.33
	1.79	3.08
	10	14
	4	4
	14	24
	−0.061	+0.061
	37%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Vesey – Reinhart – Eichel
11:3345% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
9:1730% CF
L3Frolik – Johansson – Lazar
8:4429% CF
D1Jokiharju – Pilut
8:4413% CF
D2Ristolainen – Montour
7:4221% CF
D3Bogosian – McCabe
6:0664% CF

PP1Johansson – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
3:53100% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
1:08100% CF
PK1FFrolik – Lazar
1:37
PK2FLarsson – Girgensons
1:14
PK1DBogosian – Ristolainen
0:56
PK2DMontour – Jokiharju
0:56

Current BUF line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
11:2271% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Watson – Johansen
9:4550% CF
L3Bonino – Grimaldi – Arvidsson
9:4152% CF
L4Turris – Smith – Blackwell
6:5555% CF
D1Weber – Josi
19:0360% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
15:4369% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
8:3456% CF

PP1Turris – Ekholm – Smith – Granlund – Forsberg
1:56100% CF
PP2Weber – Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Arvidsson
1:330% CF
PK1FTurris – Granlund
1:11
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
0:46
PK1DHamhuis – Ekholm
3:24
PK2DJosi – Fabbro
2:36

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	0	1	2	24:22	—	—	39	30
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	0	1	0	21:26	—	—	46	23
Jimmy Vesey L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	4	0	0	14:19	—	—	48	33
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	2	0	16:33	—	—	41	43
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.32	0	0	0	16:04	—	—	41	50
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	0	0	14:44	—	—	41	42
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	0	0	0	19:17	—	—	35	26
Michael Frolik R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	0	13:56	—	—	35	34
Curtis Lazar C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:40	—	—	32	22
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:52	—	—	21	27
Lawrence Pilut D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	13:58	—	—	19	8
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	1	0	20:11	—	—	49	46
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	2	0	18:38	—	—	22	6
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	53	37
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	0	0	13:22	—	—	70	54
Rasmus Dahlin D	—	0	1	1	+1	4	0.21	1	0	4	19:45	—	—	50	47
Conor Sheary L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.29	0	0	0	11:53	—	—	60	49
Evan Rodrigues C	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	0	0	0	11:25	—	—	60	39

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	37	35	2	.946	3.50	59:40

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	0	0	17:17	—	—	69	72
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.68	0	0	0	16:54	—	—	66	72
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	2	0	0	15:13	—	—	73	79
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	3	2	18:10	—	—	57	75
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.34	0	2	0	14:54	—	—	52	71
Austin Watson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	6	1	0	13:14	—	—	58	77
Viktor Arvidsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	16:34	—	—	44	52
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.28	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	59	64
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	0	0	0	14:15	—	—	48	54
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.22	0	0	0	14:13	—	—	46	38
Colin Blackwell C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	2	9:16	—	—	60	51
Craig Smith C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.26	0	0	0	9:08	—	—	69	74
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	0	4	0.51	0	1	0	26:52	—	—	54	67
Yannick Weber D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	2	2	21:46	—	—	60	77
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	1	1	0	24:44	—	—	64	66
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.14	1	1	0	21:17	—	—	61	54
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:32	—	—	42	32
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	10:15	—	—	50	52

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.41	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Nashville PredatorsJan 18, 2020

Fantasy takeaways

Nashville Predators edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Nashville Predators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Nashville Predators