Buffalo Sabres vs. Detroit Red WingsNov 24, 2018

Final / SOSaturday, Nov 24, 2018· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	1	0	1	0	1	3		BUF	17	5	10	3	35
DET	0	1	1	0	0	2		DET	13	11	12	1	37

: BUF 65DET 50
: BUF 4.00DET 2.54
PP goals: BUF 2DET 0
Hits: BUF 12DET 25
Blocks: BUF 7DET 12
PIM: BUF 8DET 6
: BUF 42%DET 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Detroit Red Wings 3–2 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Detroit Red Wings 3–2 in a shootout at DET. Anthony Mantha (DET) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart and Eichel) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:18 together.

Points
Anthony Mantha had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:58.Mantha
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart and Eichel) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:18 together.Okposo Skinner Ristolainen Reinhart Eichel
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +6 against a season average of 31.0; the win.Ullmark
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 4.00 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +4 against a season average of 31.1; the overtime loss.Howard
New line
New look for BUF: Larsson–Elie–Rodrigues skated 7:29 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Larsson Elie Rodrigues
Usage
Zach Bogosian (BUF) played 24:56, +3:22 up on his 21:35 season average over 64 games.Bogosian
Usage
Anthony Mantha (DET) played 20:58, +3:11 up on his 17:47 season average over 66 games.Mantha

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · DET 50 · BUF 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 38% of the game, DET 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	DET
	59	48
	2.93	2.57
	2.84	2.45
	10	12
	4	10
	17	14
	−0.082	+0.082
	38%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
12:1159% CF
L2Okposo – Sheary – Mittelstadt
11:1162% CF
L3Pominville – Sobotka – Thompson
9:3053% CF
L4Larsson – Elie – Rodrigues
7:2964% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
17:2662% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
16:0050% CF
D3Scandella – Nelson
12:1068% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
2:18100% CF
PP2Pominville – Sheary – Eichel – Rodrigues – Dahlin
0:31100% CF
PK1FSobotka – Larsson
4:22
PK2FElie – Rodrigues
1:45
PK1DBogosian – Scandella
2:32
PK2DRistolainen – Nelson
2:17

Current BUF line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Abdelkader – Mantha – Larkin
11:5852% CF
L2Nielsen – Nyquist – Athanasiou
9:2938% CF
L3Glendening – Bertuzzi – Rasmussen
8:1933% CF
L4Vanek – de la Rose – Ehn
4:1756% CF
D1Jensen – DeKeyser
15:2039% CF
D2Daley – Green
12:4839% CF
D3Kronwall – Cholowski
10:1448% CF

PP1Nielsen – Vanek – Athanasiou – Cholowski – Rasmussen
3:2567% CF
PP2Green – Nyquist – Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
2:47100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
1:37
PK2FNielsen – Abdelkader
0:42
PK1DJensen – DeKeyser
1:14
PK2DKronwall – Green
0:46

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: BUF 3 – 2 DET.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	-1	7	0.65	1	0	0	21:53	—	—	55	64
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	1.08	0	0	0	17:23	—	—	56	66
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	0	0	2	17:21	—	—	53	63
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	15:40	—	—	53	58
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	15:33	—	—	57	73
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:05	—	—	62	73
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	16:06	—	—	50	28
Tage Thompson C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.37	0	0	0	12:54	—	—	58	49
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	11:24	—	—	59	50
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.26	1	0	0	17:26	—	—	48	36
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	64	64
Remi Elie L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	10:38	—	—	60	48
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.06	3	1	0	24:56	—	—	55	57
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	23:18	—	—	63	75
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.30	3	0	0	27:10	—	—	44	25
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	4	19:13	—	—	47	22
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	16:23	—	—	61	51
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:19	—	—	59	72

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	2.54	65:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	1	0	1	+2	10	0.71	1	0	2	23:19	—	—	59	55
Anthony Mantha R	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.66	1	0	0	20:58	—	—	57	55
Justin Abdelkader L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.12	9	1	0	17:41	—	—	44	37
Frans Nielsen C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	19:35	—	—	42	44
Gustav Nyquist R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:19	—	—	46	54
Andreas Athanasiou C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	38	39
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	0	0	16:35	—	—	29	33
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	15:17	—	—	38	66
Michael Rasmussen C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	0	0	13:40	—	—	43	44
Thomas Vanek L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	11:30	—	—	40	30
Jacob de la Rose L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	10:06	—	—	33	39
Christoffer Ehn C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	5:39	—	—	50	84
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	3	0	24:41	—	—	43	31
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	20:17	—	—	42	33
Mike Green D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	0	1	0	22:33	—	—	48	52
Trevor Daley D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	2	19:44	—	—	40	26
Dennis Cholowski D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.47	1	1	0	19:44	—	—	47	79
Niklas Kronwall D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	0	0	15:30	—	—	48	82

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	O	35	33	2	.943	4.00	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Detroit Red WingsNov 24, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Detroit Red Wings 3–2 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Detroit Red Wings

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Detroit Red Wings