Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 8, 2018

Final / SOThursday, Mar 8, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	1	1	1	0	1	4		BUF	15	8	8	3	34
OTT	0	3	0	0	0	3		OTT	12	13	13	2	40

: BUF 54OTT 64
: BUF 4.26OTT 3.38
PP goals: BUF 0OTT 0
Hits: BUF 27OTT 29
Blocks: BUF 9OTT 5
PIM: BUF 8OTT 6
: BUF 57%OTT 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Ottawa Senators 4–3 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 4–3 in a shootout at OTT. Ryan Dzingel (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 4:00, −13:12 down on his 17:12 season average over 75 games.

Points
Ryan Dzingel had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:58.Dzingel
Points
Sam Reinhart had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:36.Reinhart
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 4:00, −13:12 down on his 17:12 season average over 75 games.Okposo
New line
New look for OTT: Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi skated 8:30 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pyatt Smith Paajarvi
Goalie
Robin Lehner (BUF) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +11 against a season average of 29.4; the win.Lehner
Usage
Scott Wilson (BUF) played 18:19, +6:12 up on his 12:07 season average over 68 games.Wilson
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 21:29, +7:53 up on his 13:36 season average over 70 games.Girgensons
Usage
Marco Scandella (BUF) played 28:02, +4:46 up on his 23:16 season average over 81 games.Scandella

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · OTT 64 · BUF 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 37% of the game, OTT 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	OTT
	53	53
	4.39	2.28
	4.29	2.17
	17	12
	2	2
	14	8
	+0.039	−0.039
	37%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pouliot – O'Reilly – Reinhart
9:2577% CF
L2Pominville – Larsson – Wilson
7:2439% CF
L3Josefson – Nolan – Girgensons
4:130% CF
L4Okposo – O'Regan – Baptiste
0:00
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
16:4661% CF
D2Gorges – Nelson
10:5250% CF
D3Falk – Guhle
8:3740% CF

PP1Pominville – Scandella – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart
2:1350% CF
PP2Pouliot – Scandella – Wilson – O'Regan – Guhle
0:570% CF
PK1FJosefson – Wilson
1:44
PK2FO'Reilly – Girgensons
1:16
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
3:36
PK2DGorges – Falk
2:04

Current BUF line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Hoffman – Duchene – Dzingel
11:5464% CF
L2Pyatt – Smith – Paajarvi
8:3033% CF
L3Ryan – Stone – Pageau
7:2367% CF
L4Gaborik – Burrows – O'Brien
3:5660% CF
D1Karlsson – Claesson
11:1233% CF
D2Ceci – Harpur
8:5443% CF
D3Borowiecki – Chabot
0:20100% CF

PP1Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Stone – Pageau
4:4792% CF
PP2Gaborik – Burrows – Ryan – Dzingel – Chabot
2:18100% CF
PK1FPaajarvi – Pageau
1:17
PK2FPyatt – Smith
1:11
PK1DBorowiecki – Ceci
1:01
PK2DClaesson – Harpur
0:56

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: BUF 4 – 3 OTT.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.18	0	1	0	24:39	—	—	65	90
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.67	4	1	0	20:36	—	—	65	88
Benoit Pouliot L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.81	1	0	2	16:13	—	—	60	86
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.39	3	1	2	18:36	—	—	42	38
Scott Wilson C	L2	1	0	1	-2	3	0.21	0	0	0	18:19	—	—	43	50
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.12	1	0	0	15:07	—	—	39	20
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.86	4	1	0	21:29	—	—	39	62
Jacob Josefson C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	28	54
Jordan Nolan C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.09	2	2	0	9:41	—	—	45	40
Nick Baptiste R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	2	0	0	11:15	—	—	63	87
Danny O'Regan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:28	—	—	63	86
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:00	—	—	33	68
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.07	2	0	2	31:52	—	—	52	56
Marco Scandella D	D1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.05	1	0	0	28:02	—	—	58	72
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	1	0	0	17:59	—	—	55	75
Josh Gorges D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	4	2	0	16:38	—	—	42	78
Brendan Guhle D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	15:45	—	—	50	58
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	0	2	13:52	—	—	35	58

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	W	40	37	3	.925	3.38	64:28

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.20	0	0	2	22:32	—	—	52	36
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.15	1	0	0	22:31	—	—	55	37
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	2	0	2	+1	3	0.71	0	0	2	19:58	—	—	61	40
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.13	5	0	0	16:44	—	—	40	26
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:37	—	—	25	13
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	13:57	—	—	24	14
Mark Stone R	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.16	0	0	0	20:59	—	—	61	51
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	0	8	1.21	2	0	0	19:40	—	—	63	53
Bobby Ryan R	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.33	3	0	0	14:36	—	—	54	37
Marian Gaborik R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:23	—	—	46	9
Alexandre Burrows R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	1	0	9:42	—	—	44	23
Jim O'Brien C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	0	7:42	—	—	50	12
Erik Karlsson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	0	2	2	29:11	—	—	51	29
Fredrik Claesson D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:59	—	—	35	19
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	5	0	0	25:54	—	—	50	37
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:13	—	—	42	37
Thomas Chabot D	D3	1	0	1	-1	4	0.13	1	1	0	17:55	—	—	61	64
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	6	1	0	13:27	—	—	62	44

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	O	34	31	3	.912	4.26	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 8, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Ottawa Senators 4–3 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators