Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsNov 1, 2018

FinalThursday, Nov 1, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	2	2		BUF	12	13	23	48
OTT	1	2	1	4		OTT	12	12	8	32

: BUF 78OTT 56
: BUF 3.70OTT 4.04
PP goals: BUF 1OTT 2
Hits: BUF 18OTT 20
Blocks: BUF 15OTT 14
PIM: BUF 10OTT 8
: BUF 48%OTT 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2 at home. Dylan DeMelo (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Mittelstadt) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 5:11 together.

Points
Dylan DeMelo had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:40.DeMelo
Points
Jack Eichel had 2 assists (2 points) on 7 shots in 23:21.Eichel
Points
Mark Stone had 2 assists (2 points) in 19:36.Stone
Points
Thomas Chabot had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 23:54.Chabot
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Mittelstadt) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 5:11 together.Skinner Ristolainen Reinhart Eichel Mittelstadt
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +14 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Anderson
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Boedker, Wideman, Dzingel, Tierney and Lajoie) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 5:03 together.Boedker Wideman Dzingel Tierney Lajoie
New line
New look for OTT: Pyatt–Paajarvi–White skated 6:38 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (46.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pyatt Paajarvi White

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 134 of 134 attempts · OTT 56 · BUF 78

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 47% of the game, OTT 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	OTT
	67	41
	2.42	1.21
	2.33	1.20
	8	5
	6	6
	14	13
	+0.002	−0.002
	47%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Skinner – Eichel
13:3371% CF
L2Sheary – Reinhart – Mittelstadt
6:0364% CF
L3Sobotka – Okposo – Elie
4:1380% CF
L4Berglund – Larsson – Girgensons
3:0083% CF
D1Bogosian – Scandella
12:2764% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
12:1361% CF
D3Nelson – Dahlin
9:0452% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Mittelstadt
5:11100% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Eichel
1:49100% CF
PK1FSobotka – Elie
4:31
PK2FLarsson – Girgensons
4:19
PK1DBogosian – Scandella
3:45
PK2DMcCabe – Ristolainen
3:38

Current BUF line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Duchene – Stone – Dzingel
7:4233% CF
L2Pyatt – Paajarvi – White
6:3847% CF
L3Ryan – Tierney – Formenton
5:0227% CF
L4Boedker – McCormick – Paul
2:26100% CF
D1Ceci – Lajoie
12:5639% CF
D2DeMelo – Chabot
10:2345% CF
D3Wideman – Jaros
4:5333% CF

PP1Boedker – Wideman – Dzingel – Tierney – Lajoie
5:03100% CF
PP2Ryan – Duchene – Stone – White – Chabot
3:5091% CF
PK1FPyatt – Paajarvi
3:15
PK2FDuchene – Stone
2:08
PK1DCeci – Lajoie
3:44
PK2DDeMelo – Jaros
2:13

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	2	2	0	7	0.34	0	1	2	23:21	—	—	72	83
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.82	0	1	0	21:55	—	—	67	77
Jason Pominville R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.14	1	0	0	18:03	—	—	77	82
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.57	0	0	0	17:28	—	—	44	42
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	0	15:28	—	—	57	85
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	0	0	0	14:29	—	—	42	43
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	1	0	14:56	—	—	38	25
Remi Elie L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.48	3	0	0	12:47	—	—	73	77
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	0	0	2	12:13	—	—	45	58
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:14	—	—	93	93
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	10:00	—	—	91	94
Patrik Berglund C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	2	6:07	—	—	91	90
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	4	2	0	19:57	—	—	66	58
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.03	1	0	2	18:50	—	—	67	62
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.18	3	2	0	26:28	—	—	62	69
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	4	2	18:01	—	—	62	64
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	1	2	0	17:28	—	—	60	70
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	2	0	12:28	—	—	55	86

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	2.71	58:42

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.14	0	2	0	21:47	—	—	38	33
Mark Stone R	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	1	2	19:36	—	—	31	33
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.90	0	0	0	15:22	—	—	29	21
Colin White C	L2	1	0	1	-1	5	0.60	1	0	0	15:47	—	—	30	9
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	1	0	13:37	—	—	42	19
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	4	0	13:02	—	—	42	21
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	0	2	0	19:43	—	—	35	45
Bobby Ryan R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	1.01	1	0	2	17:00	—	—	20	35
Alex Formenton L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	11:36	—	—	30	30
Mikkel Boedker L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:55	—	—	42	23
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	7:20	—	—	65	52
Max McCormick L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	4	0	0	6:03	—	—	79	83
Maxime Lajoie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	2	0	0	25:18	—	—	36	32
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	1	0	23:57	—	—	28	17
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	2	2	+2	5	0.48	1	3	0	23:54	—	—	40	27
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.08	1	0	2	19:40	—	—	40	35
Chris Wideman D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	3	0	2	13:52	—	—	53	64
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:29	—	—	40	57

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	48	46	2	.958	3.70	59:37

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsNov 1, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators