Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 26, 2019

FinalTuesday, Mar 26, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	13	9	13	35
OTT	2	0	2	4		OTT	16	7	8	31

: BUF 65OTT 51
: BUF 2.23OTT 3.77
PP goals: BUF 0OTT 1
Hits: BUF 27OTT 20
Blocks: BUF 10OTT 14
PIM: BUF 8OTT 4
: BUF 48%OTT 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators rout Buffalo Sabres 4–0

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–0 at home. Brian Gibbons (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT's first power-play unit (Ryan, Tierney, White, Chabot and Balcers) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 2:00 together.

Points
Brian Gibbons had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 11:34.Gibbons
Points
Thomas Chabot had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:31.Chabot
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Ryan, Tierney, White, Chabot and Balcers) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 2:00 together.Ryan Tierney White Chabot Balcers
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Rodrigues–Thompson skated 7:00 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (73.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Rodrigues Thompson
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.22 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 35 shots and stopped 35 (.1000), +1 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Anderson
New line
New look for BUF: Girgensons–Nylander–Mittelstadt skated 6:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Nylander Mittelstadt
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Larsson–Sheary skated 6:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Larsson Sheary

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · OTT 51 · BUF 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 41% of the game, OTT 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	OTT
	73	42
	2.37	2.30
	2.27	2.17
	14	7
	7	7
	19	16
	−0.016	+0.017
	41%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
10:2771% CF
L2Pominville – Rodrigues – Thompson
7:0073% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Sheary
6:1064% CF
L4Girgensons – Nylander – Mittelstadt
6:0767% CF
D1Nelson – Dahlin
12:5863% CF
D2Scandella – Borgen
12:0557% CF
D3Montour – Pilut
10:1667% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
2:23100% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Montour – Rodrigues – Nylander
0:49100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
4:29
PK2FEichel – Rodrigues
1:52
PK1DScandella – Nelson
3:22
PK2DMontour – Pilut
0:37

Current BUF line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Pageau – Veronneau – Tkachuk
11:2024% CF
L2Paajarvi – Lindberg – Gibbons
8:5243% CF
L3Boedker – Tierney – Duclair
7:2036% CF
L4Ryan – White – Balcers
5:5950% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
15:4434% CF
D2Harpur – Wolanin
14:1137% CF
D3Borowiecki – Jaros
13:0230% CF

PP1Ryan – Tierney – White – Chabot – Balcers
2:00100% CF
PP2Pageau – Duclair – Chabot – Veronneau – Tkachuk
1:38100% CF
PK1FPaajarvi – Gibbons
1:27
PK2FPageau – Tierney
0:52
PK1DDeMelo – Harpur
2:13
PK2DChabot – Jaros
0:46

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

17:07
OTTAnthony Duclair (Oscar Lindberg, Thomas Chabot)backhand0.11 xG
BUF: Scandella, Skinner, Girgensons, Montour, MittelstadtOTT: Ryan, Lindberg, Duclair, Chabot, Jaros
BUF 0 – 1 OTT
19:49
OTTBrian Gibbons (Christian Jaros)deflected0.05 xG
BUF: Okposo, Sheary, Eichel, Nelson, DahlinOTT: Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Lindberg, Gibbons, Jaros
BUF 0 – 2 OTT

3rd period

5:54
OTTRudolfs BalcersPP (Bobby Ryan, Thomas Chabot)wrist0.14 xG
BUF: Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, NelsonOTT: Ryan, Tierney, White, Chabot, Balcers
BUF 0 – 3 OTT
7:24
OTTMagnus Paajarvi (Christian Wolanin, Brian Gibbons)slap0.15 xG
BUF: Pominville, Montour, Rodrigues, Thompson, PilutOTT: Paajarvi, Lindberg, Gibbons, Harpur, Wolanin
BUF 0 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	-1	3	0.34	1	0	0	19:06	—	—	67	33
Jeff Skinner L	L1	-1	4	0.15	1	0	0	18:36	—	—	69	34
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	4	0.17	3	0	0	17:43	—	—	68	37
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	-1	0	0.01	0	2	0	14:29	—	—	68	68
Tage Thompson C	L2	-1	1	0.09	2	0	0	12:18	—	—	70	69
Jason Pominville R	L2	-1	1	0.26	1	0	0	12:05	—	—	69	63
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	2	0.41	4	1	0	17:09	—	—	65	79
Conor Sheary L	L3	-1	3	0.14	0	0	0	12:17	—	—	48	52
Kyle Okposo R	L3	-1	3	0.07	2	1	0	11:52	—	—	57	81
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	-1	0	0.02	3	1	0	15:00	—	—	64	50
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	52	41
Alex Nylander L	L4	0	2	0.06	0	0	4	12:17	—	—	65	44
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-1	2	0.08	4	0	2	22:46	—	—	66	59
Casey Nelson D	D1	-1	2	0.04	3	2	0	20:35	—	—	64	53
Marco Scandella D	D2	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	20:44	—	—	53	36
Will Borgen D	D2	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	14:54	—	—	57	38
Brandon Montour D	D3	-2	3	0.15	0	1	2	20:26	—	—	65	55
Lawrence Pilut D	D3	-1	2	0.08	0	0	0	17:00	—	—	75	72

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	3.77	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.77	1	1	0	20:54	—	—	31	68
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	1.30	2	0	0	19:59	—	—	31	68
Max Veronneau R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:37	—	—	22	9
Oscar Lindberg L	L2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.03	2	0	0	13:36	—	—	46	45
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.15	1	0	0	11:39	—	—	46	38
Brian Gibbons C	L2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.05	0	0	0	11:34	—	—	43	36
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	28	29
Anthony Duclair L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	13:06	—	—	42	34
Mikkel Boedker L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.33	1	1	0	12:42	—	—	42	32
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.44	0	1	0	15:07	—	—	43	83
Bobby Ryan R	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	1	0	0	13:14	—	—	56	92
Rudolfs Balcers L	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.15	0	1	2	13:09	—	—	24	59
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.14	0	1	0	25:31	—	—	33	35
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	3	0	22:04	—	—	35	37
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	0	0	+1	5	0.07	1	0	0	20:22	—	—	34	51
Christian Wolanin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	18:08	—	—	41	35
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	3	2	0	15:42	—	—	39	58
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	5	3	2	15:31	—	—	35	77

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	35	35	0	.1000	2.23	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.