Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsDec 23, 2019

FinalMonday, Dec 23, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	14	11	19	44
OTT	1	0	2	3		OTT	10	11	9	30

: BUF 78OTT 54
: BUF 3.11OTT 2.92
PP goals: BUF 0OTT 0
Hits: BUF 22OTT 30
Blocks: BUF 17OTT 20
PIM: BUF 4OTT 4
: BUF 48%OTT 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at home. Brady Tkachuk (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 44 shots and stopped 43 (.977), +14 against a season average of 29.9; the win.

Points
Brady Tkachuk had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 19:50.Tkachuk
Points
Jean-Gabriel Pageau had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:23.Pageau
Points
Connor Brown had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:56.Brown
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 44 shots and stopped 43 (.977), +14 against a season average of 29.9; the win.Anderson
Usage
Cody Goloubef (OTT) played 25:59, +11:14 up on his 14:45 season average over 25 games.Goloubef
Usage
Mark Borowiecki (OTT) played 25:58, +8:11 up on his 17:47 season average over 52 games.Borowiecki
New line
New look for OTT: Paul–Beaudin–Brown skated 6:36 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (15.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paul Beaudin Brown
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.11 expected goals (78 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · OTT 54 · BUF 78

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 44% of the game, OTT 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	OTT
	78	55
	3.07	1.83
	2.95	1.79
	16	7
	4	8
	20	18
	−0.030	+0.030
	44%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
14:2949% CF
L2Johansson – Skinner – Vesey
11:2757% CF
L3Girgensons – Sheary – Rodrigues
7:2676% CF
D1Scandella – Jokiharju
8:3375% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
5:3460% CF
D3Bogosian – Dahlin
4:3867% CF

PP1Johansson – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:33100% CF
PP2Skinner – Vesey – Ristolainen – Eichel – Rodrigues
1:18
PK1FGirgensons – Lazar
2:10
PK2FJohansson – Asplund
0:54
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
2:34
PK2DBogosian – Scandella
0:44

Current BUF line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Pageau – Brown – Tkachuk
12:2150% CF
L2Paul – Beaudin – Brown
6:3615% CF
L3Anisimov – Namestnikov – White
4:5650% CF
L4Ennis – Tierney – Duclair
4:2450% CF
D1Borowiecki – Chabot
15:2849% CF
D2Goloubef – Brannstrom
10:0252% CF
D3Englund – Lajoie
5:0729% CF

PP1Ennis – Pageau – Duclair – Chabot – Tkachuk
2:20100% CF
PP2Ennis – Namestnikov – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
0:47100% CF
PK1FTierney – Brown
1:29
PK2FPageau – Namestnikov
1:20
PK1DGoloubef – Borowiecki
2:32
PK2DEnglund – Chabot
0:31

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-3	4	0.41	1	1	0	22:33	—	—	50	53
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.28	5	2	0	21:12	—	—	50	50
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	-3	4	0.36	1	1	0	19:18	—	—	49	47
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	21:03	—	—	56	66
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.24	0	1	0	19:35	—	—	63	68
Jimmy Vesey L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.55	0	0	2	15:46	—	—	61	72
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	1	0	0	16:25	—	—	65	79
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	1	1	+1	6	0.28	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	77	81
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	1	0	13:52	—	—	72	80
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	18:19	—	—	58	61
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	3	2	0	16:04	—	—	61	80
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	2	0	23:00	—	—	64	83
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	1	0	14:11	—	—	65	81
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	0	0	0	19:30	—	—	65	78
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	4	2	10:53	—	—	48	37
Brandon Montour D	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	1	0	0	15:06	—	—	47	35
Curtis Lazar C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	1	0	9:08	—	—	40	53
Rasmus Asplund C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	8:01	—	—	40	53

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	2.23	58:10

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor Brown R	L1	0	2	2	+3	3	0.11	0	0	0	20:56	—	—	46	42
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	2	0	2	+2	4	0.45	2	1	0	20:23	—	—	40	40
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	2	3	+3	4	1.24	2	2	0	19:50	—	—	48	49
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	3	0	0	13:39	—	—	22	17
Logan Brown C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	0	0	9:56	—	—	24	27
J.C. Beaudin C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	1	0	8:29	—	—	28	23
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	2	0	14:15	—	—	52	44
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.11	0	0	2	14:14	—	—	48	48
Artem Anisimov C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	0	0	14:04	—	—	46	30
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	1	2	15:49	—	—	46	42
Anthony Duclair L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	15:24	—	—	42	31
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	0	0	12:56	—	—	48	32
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.06	3	3	0	31:45	—	—	45	33
Mark Borowiecki D	D1	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	6	5	0	25:58	—	—	48	49
Cody Goloubef D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	2	2	0	25:59	—	—	40	42
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	0	16:18	—	—	47	43
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	10:29	—	—	16	1
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	5:38	—	—	25	3

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	44	43	1	.977	3.11	59:58

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsDec 23, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators