Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 18, 2022

FinalTuesday, Jan 18, 2022· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	2	3		BUF	9	12	11	32
OTT	0	1	0	1		OTT	15	19	10	44

: BUF 61OTT 74
: BUF 2.78OTT 3.25
PP goals: BUF 0OTT 1
Hits: BUF 10OTT 22
Blocks: BUF 15OTT 17
PIM: BUF 25OTT 9
: BUF 52%OTT 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 3–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 3–1 at OTT. Dylan Cozens (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT's first power-play unit (Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk and Stützle) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 5:10 together.

Points
Alex Tuch had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:39.Tuch
Points
Dylan Cozens had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:22.Cozens
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk and Stützle) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 5:10 together.Chabot Norris Batherson Tkachuk Stützle
Goalie
Michael Houser (BUF) faced 44 shots and stopped 43 (.977); the win.Houser
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs skated 8:19 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Olofsson Krebs
Usage
Drake Batherson (OTT) played 24:40, +5:52 up on his 18:48 season average over 45 games.Batherson
Luck
OTT scored 1 goal on 3.25 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Jankowski–Asplund–Murray skated 7:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (43.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski Asplund Murray

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · OTT 74 · BUF 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 23% of the game, OTT 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	OTT
	64	72
	1.92	2.58
	1.85	2.49
	7	7
	2	4
	8	10
	−0.023	+0.023
	23%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Cozens
9:4468% CF
L2Okposo – Olofsson – Krebs
8:1958% CF
L3Jankowski – Asplund – Murray
7:4144% CF
L4Eakin – Hayden – Bjork
5:5133% CF
D1Pysyk – Samuelsson
15:1640% CF
D2Jokiharju – Dahlin
14:4550% CF
D3Butcher – Hagg
13:4149% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Tuch – Dahlin – Cozens
1:52100% CF
PP2Butcher – Olofsson – Asplund – Murray – Krebs
0:46100% CF
PK1FJankowski – Tuch
1:59
PK2FOkposo – Cozens
0:41
PK1DPysyk – Samuelsson
3:56
PK2DHagg – Jokiharju
2:43

Current BUF line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk
8:2276% CF
L2Watson – Sanford – Gambrell
6:1029% CF
L3Ennis – Tierney – Gaudette
4:3350% CF
L4Paul – Formenton – Stützle
2:5650% CF
D1Holden – Zub
12:3557% CF
D2Chabot – Bernard-Docker
12:1264% CF
D3Brown – Brannstrom
7:1940% CF

PP1Chabot – Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
5:1086% CF
PP2Ennis – Tierney – Sanford – Gaudette – Brannstrom
2:08100% CF
PK1FGambrell – Formenton
1:36
PK2FPaul – Sanford
0:52
PK1DHolden – Zub
2:13
PK2DBrown – Brannstrom
0:33

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.93	2	1	0	20:39	—	—	61	67
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.21	0	0	0	16:22	—	—	69	64
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.16	0	0	0	15:34	—	—	64	51
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.30	0	0	2	14:38	—	—	56	64
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	2	14:29	—	—	36	54
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.30	0	0	0	14:10	—	—	43	67
Mark Jankowski L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.18	0	1	2	15:49	—	—	48	29
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	12:27	—	—	45	14
Brett Murray L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	10:56	—	—	41	18
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	1	0	13:39	—	—	32	25
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	12:35	—	—	33	16
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	17	11:48	—	—	28	16
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	1	3	0	22:01	—	—	39	45
Mark Pysyk D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	2	0	20:47	—	—	42	46
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	2	0	0	19:53	—	—	49	38
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	2	2	2	19:32	—	—	49	40
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	3	0	19:11	—	—	47	41
Will Butcher D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	50	50

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Houser(start)	W	44	43	1	.977	3.25	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Drake Batherson R	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.61	4	0	0	24:40	—	—	63	83
Josh Norris C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	1	0	21:44	—	—	69	76
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.31	1	1	5	18:17	—	—	72	78
Zachary Sanford L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	0	1	0	11:30	—	—	30	20
Dylan Gambrell C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	2	0	10:18	—	—	48	35
Austin Watson L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	4	2	2	8:58	—	—	46	33
Tyler Ennis R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	11:40	—	—	36	23
Adam Gaudette R	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	1	0	0	11:27	—	—	53	61
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	11:02	—	—	33	24
Tim Stützle C	L4	0	1	1	-3	5	0.47	2	1	2	22:41	—	—	53	66
Alex Formenton L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.33	1	1	0	16:49	—	—	59	73
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	0	0	15:06	—	—	47	40
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.09	0	2	0	20:50	—	—	56	57
Nick Holden D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	2	0	16:32	—	—	56	54
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	1	1	-1	6	0.28	1	1	0	30:41	—	—	58	69
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	14:01	—	—	60	58
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	2	2	0	20:33	—	—	49	59
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	9:34	—	—	33	44

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	31	29	2	.935	1.99	59:37

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 18, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 3–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators