Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 24, 2023

FinalTuesday, Oct 24, 2023· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	2	3	1	6		BUF	8	10	6	24
OTT	0	1	3	4		OTT	10	9	19	38

: BUF 43OTT 65
: BUF 2.76OTT 3.35
PP goals: BUF 1OTT 1
Hits: BUF 19OTT 24
Blocks: BUF 16OTT 9
PIM: BUF 31OTT 27
: BUF 43%OTT 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 6–4

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 6–4 at OTT. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:16 together.

Points
Tage Thompson had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 14:55.Thompson
Points
Jeff Skinner had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 17:35.Skinner
Points
Alex Tuch had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:28.Tuch
Points
Mathieu Joseph had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:23.Joseph
Points
Vladimir Tarasenko had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:04.Tarasenko
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:42.Mittelstadt
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:16 together.Skinner Tuch Thompson Dahlin Cozens
Luck
BUF scored 6 goals on 2.76 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · OTT 65 · BUF 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 29% of the game, OTT 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	OTT
	46	61
	2.47	2.83
	2.39	2.70
	10	16
	4	6
	17	18
	−0.075	+0.075
	29%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Mittelstadt
12:4159% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Olofsson
8:2633% CF
L3Greenway – Thompson – Cozens
7:0141% CF
L4Krebs – Peterka – Benson
6:1667% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
15:5221% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
13:5953% CF
D3Johnson – Clifton
12:4240% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
1:16100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Peterka – Power – Benson
0:55
PK1FGreenway – Thompson
2:37
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
1:06
PK1DJohnson – Samuelsson
4:20
PK2DJokiharju – Power
0:45

Current BUF line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
13:5577% CF
L2Tarasenko – Joseph – Greig
10:0646% CF
L3Kubalik – Norris – Batherson
5:1038% CF
L4Chartier – Kastelic – Kelly
4:3638% CF
D1Chabot – Sanderson
16:5178% CF
D2Brannstrom – Bernard-Docker
13:3438% CF
D3Hamonic – Chychrun
12:4548% CF

PP1Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk – Sanderson – Stützle
4:48100% CF
PP2Giroux – Tarasenko – Kubalik – Chabot – Chychrun
1:39100% CF
PK1FChartier – Kelly
0:49
PK2FJoseph – Stützle
0:43
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
1:07
PK2DBrannstrom – Bernard-Docker
0:43

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.05	0	0	0	17:42	—	—	64	64
Jeff Skinner L	L1	2	0	2	+1	6	0.80	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	61	65
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.58	2	1	7	17:28	—	—	56	63
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	16:33	—	—	22	35
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.13	1	1	2	16:21	—	—	23	38
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.24	1	0	0	11:41	—	—	23	44
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	16:30	—	—	36	40
Tage Thompson C	L3	2	1	3	0	3	0.64	0	1	2	14:55	—	—	38	46
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	1	1	16	14:42	—	—	41	61
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	12:07	—	—	30	7
Zach Benson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	9:49	—	—	55	25
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:42	—	—	46	6
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	22:35	—	—	21	26
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	3	2	0	21:17	—	—	25	35
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	61	68
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	0	1	0	17:31	—	—	53	56
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.15	6	0	2	19:01	—	—	48	48
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	4	0	18:45	—	—	43	42

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	38	34	4	.895	3.35	59:42

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.07	1	0	0	24:43	—	—	72	74
Claude Giroux R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	22:32	—	—	73	75
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.70	5	0	19	20:25	—	—	80	78
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.30	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	50	52
Ridly Greig C	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	3	0	0	14:22	—	—	67	63
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.14	3	0	4	14:04	—	—	56	49
Josh Norris C	L3	1	0	1	-5	4	0.44	3	0	0	16:31	—	—	25	18
Drake Batherson R	L3	0	1	1	-4	2	0.18	0	0	0	16:07	—	—	28	21
Dominik Kubalik L	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:33	—	—	42	40
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	1	1	0	12:31	—	—	39	38
Mark Kastelic C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	4	0	0	8:06	—	—	54	93
Rourke Chartier C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	7:44	—	—	55	89
Jake Sanderson D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.30	0	2	0	26:12	—	—	71	69
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.22	0	2	0	23:12	—	—	73	78
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	2	0	2	15:53	—	—	47	51
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	15:12	—	—	38	38
Jakob Chychrun D	D3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	18:05	—	—	44	32
Travis Hamonic D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.11	1	2	2	16:23	—	—	43	31

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	18	13	5	.722	1.65	40:00
Joonas Korpisalo	—	5	5	0	.1000	0.81	19:42

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Jeff Skinner (BUF) 1st 8:06 · assists Alex Tuch, Casey Mittelstadt · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 64.0 mph shot · 1.9 s from entry to goal.

Jeff Skinner · 1st 8:06 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 64.0 mph
Distance: 26 ft
Entry to goal: 1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 11:20 · BUF

Play: deflection
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 25.7 mph
Distance: 28 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:37 · BUF EN

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Shot: 12.9 mph
Distance: 36 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 4:04 · BUF

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 6.3 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 13:14 · OTT

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 33.7 mph
Distance: 26 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Tuch · 2nd 17:08 · BUF PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 63.8 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 2nd 18:48 · BUF

Play: deflection
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 21.5 mph
Distance: 8 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:35 · OTT

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 38.9 mph
Distance: 8 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Josh Norris · 3rd 18:38 · OTT PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 29.9 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:58 · OTT

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Shot: 36.9 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 24, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 6–4

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators

Goal anatomy

Jeff Skinner · 1st 8:06 · BUF

Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 11:20 · BUF

Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:37 · BUF EN

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 4:04 · BUF

Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 13:14 · OTT

Alex Tuch · 2nd 17:08 · BUF PP

Tage Thompson · 2nd 18:48 · BUF

Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:35 · OTT

Josh Norris · 3rd 18:38 · OTT PP

Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:58 · OTT