Buffalo Sabres vs. Dallas StarsNov 4, 2017

FinalSaturday, Nov 4, 2017· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	8	11	9	28
DAL	4	1	0	5		DAL	9	4	9	22

: BUF 55DAL 52
: BUF 3.34DAL 1.32
PP goals: BUF 0DAL 1
Hits: BUF 23DAL 14
Blocks: BUF 18DAL 14
PIM: BUF 4DAL 10
: BUF 55%DAL 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars rout Buffalo Sabres 5–1

Dallas Stars beat Buffalo Sabres 5–1 at home. John Klingberg (DAL) led the scoring with 0G 3A. DAL scored 5 goals on 1.32 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
John Klingberg had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 19:28.Klingberg
Points
Antoine Roussel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 12:05.Roussel
Points
Radek Faksa had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 8:30.Faksa
Points
Tyler Seguin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:12.Seguin
Points
Gemel Smith had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:29.Smith
Luck
DAL scored 5 goals on 1.32 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Radek Faksa (DAL) played 8:30, −6:51 down on his 15:21 season average over 78 games.Faksa
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.34 expected goals (55 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · DAL 52 · BUF 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 43% of the game, DAL 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	DAL
	48	59
	2.80	1.35
	2.75	1.31
	10	10
	2	5
	13	19
	+0.022	−0.021
	43%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Kane – Eichel
12:2352% CF
L2Pouliot – Okposo – O'Reilly
11:0350% CF
L3Griffith – Girgensons – Reinhart
10:2229% CF
L4Moulson – Nolan – Larsson
7:3620% CF
D1Falk – Scandella
14:3148% CF
D2Fedun – Antipin
13:4356% CF
D3Tennyson – McCabe
13:3727% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Reinhart – Eichel – Antipin
4:01100% CF
PP2Pominville – Pouliot – Scandella – Kane – Tennyson
2:23100% CF
PK1FPouliot – Larsson
0:39
PK1DFalk – Scandella
0:39

Current BUF line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Radulov – Benn – Seguin
13:3250% CF
L2Shore – Janmark – Dickinson
10:0558% CF
L3Spezza – Roussel – Elie
8:5265% CF
L4Pitlick – Faksa – Smith
6:3367% CF
D1Johns – Lindell
17:1062% CF
D2Methot – Klingberg
16:1642% CF
D3Hamhuis – Pateryn
14:3663% CF

PP1Radulov – Benn – Seguin – Klingberg – Shore
0:39100% CF
PK1FShore – Janmark
2:51
PK2FBenn – Seguin
1:38
PK1DHamhuis – Pateryn
3:31
PK2DJohns – Lindell
3:04

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:09
DALRemi Elie (Antoine Roussel)wrist0.01 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Okposo, O'Reilly, Tennyson, McCabeDAL: Spezza, Methot, Roussel, Klingberg, Elie
BUF 0 – 1 DAL
7:07
DALRadek Faksa (Gemel Smith, John Klingberg)tip-in0.01 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Okposo, O'Reilly, Tennyson, McCabeDAL: Johns, Pitlick, Faksa, Lindell, Smith
BUF 0 – 2 DAL
10:27
DALStephen Johns (Gemel Smith, Radek Faksa)wrist0.11 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Okposo, O'Reilly, Fedun, AntipinDAL: Johns, Pitlick, Faksa, Lindell, Smith
BUF 0 – 3 DAL
12:51
DALTyler SeguinPP (John Klingberg, Alexander Radulov)slap0.14 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Falk, Scandella, LarssonDAL: Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Shore
BUF 0 – 4 DAL

2nd period

11:51
BUFRyan O'Reillywrist0.04 xG
BUF: Pouliot, Okposo, Falk, Scandella, O'ReillyDAL: Methot, Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg
BUF 1 – 4 DAL
18:50
DALAntoine Roussel (John Klingberg, Tyler Seguin)tip-in0.05 xG
BUF: Moulson, Nolan, Larsson, Tennyson, McCabeDAL: Methot, Radulov, Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg
BUF 1 – 5 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	7	1.02	0	0	0	20:11	—	—	54	88
Evander Kane L	L1	0	0	0	3	0.76	4	0	0	17:34	—	—	46	84
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	2	0	15:35	—	—	52	89
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	1	1	-2	2	0.14	0	0	0	18:17	—	—	52	68
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	-2	3	0.28	2	1	2	16:53	—	—	48	51
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	-2	1	0.13	1	0	0	16:17	—	—	52	51
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	16:59	—	—	35	61
Seth Griffith C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	14:40	—	—	39	49
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	2	0.26	4	1	0	13:54	—	—	43	51
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	13:20	—	—	35	47
Matt Moulson L	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.11	1	1	0	10:22	—	—	18	34
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	9:20	—	—	31	38
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	+1	3	0.14	0	3	0	23:15	—	—	43	82
Justin Falk D	D1	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	4	0	19:11	—	—	52	83
Victor Antipin D	D2	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	19:28	—	—	54	55
Taylor Fedun D	D2	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	15:14	—	—	57	56
Matt Tennyson D	D3	0	0	-3	3	0.11	0	2	2	20:25	—	—	34	55
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	-3	1	0.02	3	0	0	18:26	—	—	29	33

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson	—	15	13	2	.867	0.98	49:33
Robin Lehner(start)	L	7	4	3	.571	0.34	10:27

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tyler Seguin C	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.37	1	0	2	19:12	—	—	53	26
Jamie Benn L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	18:00	—	—	52	19
Alexander Radulov R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	17:44	—	—	52	25
Mattias Janmark C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	64	66
Devin Shore C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	0	0	16:21	—	—	56	56
Jason Dickinson C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	0	0	12:44	—	—	47	48
Jason Spezza C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	13:12	—	—	52	27
Antoine Roussel L	L3	1	1	2	+2	3	0.10	2	0	4	12:05	—	—	67	27
Remi Elie L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	11:51	—	—	48	29
Gemel Smith C	L4	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	0	2	0	13:29	—	—	50	37
Tyler Pitlick C	L4	0	0	0	+2	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:52	—	—	67	38
Radek Faksa C	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	0.01	1	1	2	8:30	—	—	67	80
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	1	0	21:36	—	—	65	39
Stephen Johns D	D1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.18	2	0	0	21:08	—	—	64	39
John Klingberg D	D2	0	3	3	+1	1	0.05	0	3	0	19:28	—	—	44	22
Marc Methot D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	3	2	18:23	—	—	43	23
Greg Pateryn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	4	0	19:29	—	—	64	70
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	19:22	—	—	62	67

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Kari Lehtonen(start)	W	28	27	1	.964	3.34	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.