Buffalo Sabres vs. Dallas StarsJan 30, 2019

FinalWednesday, Jan 30, 2019· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	10	6	14	30
DAL	1	0	0	1		DAL	9	11	7	27

: BUF 65DAL 48
: BUF 2.53DAL 2.77
PP goals: BUF 0DAL 0
Hits: BUF 28DAL 23
Blocks: BUF 10DAL 19
PIM: BUF 2DAL 2
: BUF 57%DAL 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars edge Buffalo Sabres 1–0

Dallas Stars beat Buffalo Sabres 1–0 at home. Jamie Benn (DAL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. BUF scored 0 goals on 2.53 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.53 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Elie–Thompson skated 9:24 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (61.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Elie Thompson
Luck
DAL scored 1 goal on 2.78 expected goals (48 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jeff Skinner (BUF) played 22:18, +3:50 up on his 18:28 season average over 81 games.Skinner
Usage
Sam Reinhart (BUF) played 22:22, +3:27 up on his 18:55 season average over 81 games.Reinhart
Usage
Radek Faksa (DAL) played 19:38, +3:15 up on his 16:23 season average over 80 games.Faksa
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 21:32, −3:09 down on his 24:41 season average over 77 games.Ristolainen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · DAL 48 · BUF 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 33% of the game, DAL 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	DAL
	67	55
	2.71	2.93
	2.67	2.85
	6	12
	6	6
	26	29
	+0.003	−0.003
	33%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
17:3758% CF
L2Sheary – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
11:4577% CF
L3Sobotka – Elie – Thompson
9:2462% CF
L4Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
8:2342% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
20:0651% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
17:1951% CF
D3Scandella – Beaulieu
14:1368% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
1:07100% CF
PP2Sheary – Rodrigues – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
0:51100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:09
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
0:35
PK1DBogosian – Scandella
1:43
PK2DBeaulieu – Ristolainen
0:17

Current BUF line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Comeau – Benn – Faksa
14:1742% CF
L2Radulov – Seguin – Janmark
12:5052% CF
L3Ritchie – Hintz – Gurianov
7:2823% CF
L4Spezza – Cogliano – Dickinson
7:2250% CF
D1Klingberg – Lindell
19:3940% CF
D2Polak – Heiskanen
19:3046% CF
D3Fedun – Oleksiak
12:3048% CF

PP1Radulov – Benn – Seguin – Klingberg – Hintz
1:1867% CF
PP2Spezza – Faksa – Hintz – Gurianov – Heiskanen
0:370% CF
PK1FCogliano – Janmark
0:36
PK2FFaksa – Hintz
0:29
PK1DFedun – Lindell
0:36
PK2DPolak – Heiskanen
0:29

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:39
DALJamie Benn (Taylor Fedun)wrist0.17 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Elie, Reinhart, Eichel, DahlinDAL: Comeau, Benn, Fedun, Oleksiak, Faksa
BUF 0 – 1 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	-1	1	0.60	0	1	0	22:22	—	—	53	53
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	3	0.03	0	2	0	22:18	—	—	48	46
Jack Eichel C	L1	-1	2	0.20	4	2	0	21:55	—	—	52	49
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	59	53
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	14:37	—	—	64	67
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	2	0.73	1	1	0	14:24	—	—	77	77
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:51	—	—	67	27
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	11:49	—	—	62	27
Remi Elie L	L3	-1	0	0.01	1	0	0	11:11	—	—	63	21
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	3	0.26	5	0	0	12:15	—	—	44	39
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	11:37	—	—	33	34
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	11:05	—	—	39	44
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	22:53	—	—	50	51
Zach Bogosian D	D1	-1	3	0.15	3	1	0	22:36	—	—	54	52
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	3	0.09	2	1	0	21:32	—	—	46	49
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	1	0.04	3	1	2	18:49	—	—	55	59
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	6	0.20	2	0	0	17:43	—	—	61	30
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	14:42	—	—	69	41

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	27	26	1	.963	2.77	58:58

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jamie Benn L	L1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.66	4	0	0	20:29	—	—	40	43
Radek Faksa C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.12	3	1	0	19:38	—	—	46	43
Blake Comeau L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	17:54	—	—	46	42
Tyler Seguin C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	19:24	—	—	46	49
Alexander Radulov R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	0	2	2	18:14	—	—	49	53
Mattias Janmark C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.45	1	1	0	16:51	—	—	52	50
Roope Hintz C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	3	0	0	12:34	—	—	37	50
Brett Ritchie R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	11:06	—	—	33	45
Denis Gurianov R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	1	0	10:56	—	—	28	31
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	11:15	—	—	67	97
Andrew Cogliano C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	0	0	0	10:48	—	—	69	97
Jason Dickinson C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	10:35	—	—	46	69
John Klingberg D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	3	0	23:49	—	—	44	45
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	2	0	21:47	—	—	41	44
Miro Heiskanen D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	24:13	—	—	49	43
Roman Polak D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	21:57	—	—	46	42
Taylor Fedun D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:27	—	—	48	85
Jamie Oleksiak D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	2	2	0	13:03	—	—	48	85

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ben Bishop(start)	W	30	30	0	.1000	2.53	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.