Buffalo Sabres vs. Minnesota WildJan 28, 2023

Final / SOSaturday, Jan 28, 2023· Xcel Energy Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	1	1	0	0	0	2		BUF	9	11	10	1	31
MIN	1	1	0	0	1	3		MIN	13	9	10	3	35

: BUF 54MIN 58
: BUF 1.86MIN 3.47
PP goals: BUF 0MIN 1
Hits: BUF 5MIN 24
Blocks: BUF 11MIN 15
PIM: BUF 8MIN 2
: BUF 47%MIN 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (SO)

Minnesota Wild beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 in a shootout at home. Jared Spurgeon (MIN) led the scoring with 1G 0A. MIN's first power-play unit (Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:08 together.

PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:08 together.Zuccarello Eriksson Ek Kaprizov Addison Boldy
New line
New look for BUF: Tuch–Thompson–Peterka skated 8:22 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tuch Thompson Peterka
New line
New look for MIN: Hartman–Greenway–Eriksson Ek skated 10:18 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (40.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hartman Greenway Eriksson Ek
New line
New look for BUF: Asplund–Jost–Quinn skated 4:00 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Asplund Jost Quinn
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Olofsson–Mittelstadt skated 6:42 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Olofsson Mittelstadt
New line
New look for MIN: Foligno–Gaudreau–Boldy skated 9:57 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Foligno Gaudreau Boldy
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +3 against a season average of 31.9; the overtime loss.Luukkonen
Usage
Sam Steel (MIN) played 21:08, +6:16 up on his 14:52 season average over 64 games.Steel

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · MIN 58 · BUF 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 13% of the game, MIN 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	MIN
	59	50
	2.15	2.40
	2.12	2.37
	10	12
	4	2
	12	16
	−0.014	+0.014
	13%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
10:4171% CF
L2Tuch – Thompson – Peterka
8:2255% CF
L3Skinner – Olofsson – Mittelstadt
6:4250% CF
L4Asplund – Jost – Quinn
4:0050% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
18:2250% CF
D2Clague – Dahlin
15:1063% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
8:0841% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Olofsson – Thompson – Dahlin
1:36
PK1FOkposo – Krebs
2:25
PK2FGirgensons – Jost
1:14
PK1DJokiharju – Power
2:47
PK2DDahlin – Lyubushkin
1:54

Current BUF line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Steel
14:2853% CF
L2Hartman – Greenway – Eriksson Ek
10:1841% CF
L3Foligno – Gaudreau – Boldy
9:5756% CF
L4Reaves – Duhaime – Dewar
7:3033% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
20:2444% CF
D2Spurgeon – Middleton
16:4254% CF
D3Merrill – Addison
9:1720% CF

PP1Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Addison – Boldy
4:08100% CF
PP2Spurgeon – Foligno – Hartman – Gaudreau – Steel
1:44100% CF
PK1FGaudreau – Eriksson Ek
0:55
PK2FFoligno – Hartman
0:24
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
1:14
PK2DDumba – Middleton
0:35

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:22
BUFJack Quinnwrist0.12 xG
BUF: Asplund, Clague, Dahlin, Quinn, PeterkaMIN: Reaves, Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar
BUF 1 – 0 MIN
3:35
MINJoel Eriksson EkPP (Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello)wrist0.15 xG
BUF: Okposo, Jokiharju, Dahlin, KrebsMIN: Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy
BUF 1 – 1 MIN

2nd period

9:50
BUFZemgus Girgensons (Kyle Okposo, Peyton Krebs)wrist0.08 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Bryson, Lyubushkin, KrebsMIN: Merrill, Hartman, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Addison
BUF 2 – 1 MIN
12:39
MINJared Spurgeon (Frederick Gaudreau, Jake Middleton)snap0.17 xG
BUF: Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin, PeterkaMIN: Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Middleton, Greenway, Boldy
BUF 2 – 2 MIN

Decided in the shootout: BUF 2 – 3 MIN.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Peyton Krebs C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:25	—	—	70	88
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.15	0	0	0	15:39	—	—	55	60
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	0	2	0	14:58	—	—	54	43
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.18	0	1	2	22:40	—	—	58	44
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.40	0	1	2	20:58	—	—	58	43
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	57	50
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	54	52
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.27	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	52	54
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	0	0	15:22	—	—	53	49
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	0	0	11:21	—	—	40	14
Jack Quinn R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	0	1	0	11:10	—	—	47	47
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:09	—	—	33	31
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	27:56	—	—	51	40
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	24:52	—	—	56	37
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.17	0	1	2	25:56	—	—	64	59
Kale Clague D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:54	—	—	58	51
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:54	—	—	44	43
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	2	12:14	—	—	50	64

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	O	35	33	2	.943	3.47	65:00

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.59	4	0	0	23:35	—	—	52	61
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.24	0	1	0	21:28	—	—	50	59
Sam Steel C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	21:08	—	—	42	53
Ryan Hartman R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	2	0	18:50	—	—	44	48
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	1	0	1	-1	6	0.79	2	1	0	18:27	—	—	44	48
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	12:53	—	—	41	55
Matt Boldy L	L3	0	0	0	+1	6	0.80	3	1	0	19:36	—	—	59	68
Frederick Gaudreau C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	16:47	—	—	54	64
Marcus Foligno L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	5	0	0	16:00	—	—	56	63
Brandon Duhaime L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	0	0	9:10	—	—	31	18
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	2	8:51	—	—	40	32
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	1	1	0	8:39	—	—	29	30
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	1	0	26:16	—	—	44	51
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	22:37	—	—	47	53
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	1	0	1	0	6	0.35	0	4	0	25:28	—	—	50	57
Jake Middleton D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	18:30	—	—	58	62
Calen Addison D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:33	—	—	20	6
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:45	—	—	27	9

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	1.86	64:27

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.