Ottawa Senators vs. Colorado AvalancheFeb 11, 2020

FinalTuesday, Feb 11, 2020· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	15	8	11	34
COL	1	0	2	3		COL	9	12	15	36

: OTT 57COL 70
: OTT 2.71COL 5.03
PP goals: OTT 0COL 1
Hits: OTT 29COL 21
Blocks: OTT 12COL 13
PIM: OTT 8COL 4
: OTT 48%COL 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Ottawa Senators 3–0

Colorado Avalanche beat Ottawa Senators 3–0 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for OTT: Boedker–Ennis–White skated 4:08 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:17.MacKinnon
New line
New look for OTT: Boedker–Ennis–White skated 4:08 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Boedker Ennis White
Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 2.71 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
COL scored 3 goals on 5.03 expected goals (70 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Marcus Hogberg (OTT) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +5 against a season average of 30.3; the loss.Hogberg
New line
New look for COL: Calvert–Nichushkin–Bellemare skated 5:24 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Calvert Nichushkin Bellemare
New line
New look for COL: Nieto–Kamenev–Jost skated 5:31 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nieto Kamenev Jost
Usage
Cody Goloubef (OTT) played 8:26, −7:01 down on his 15:27 season average over 25 games.Goloubef

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · COL 70 · OTT 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 26% of the game, COL 50%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	COL
	50	59
	2.06	3.39
	2.02	3.07
	11	10
	1	6
	11	12
	−0.030	+0.030
	26%	50%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Pageau – Brown – Tkachuk
9:4958% CF
L2Boedker – Ennis – White
4:0860% CF
L3Anisimov – Duclair – Paul
3:2720% CF
L4Namestnikov – Tierney – Batherson
2:280% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
17:1339% CF
D2Reilly – Zaitsev
11:0456% CF
D3Hainsey – Goloubef
6:0064% CF

PP1Namestnikov – Brown – Duclair – Paul – Chabot
1:2383% CF
PP2Anisimov – Ennis – Pageau – Reilly – Batherson
0:59
PK1FTierney – Brown
4:21
PK2FPageau – Namestnikov
2:54
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
6:08
PK2DGoloubef – DeMelo
1:42

Current OTT line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Burakovsky – MacKinnon – Rantanen
10:3252% CF
L2Donskoi – Landeskog – Compher
9:2162% CF
L3Nieto – Kamenev – Jost
5:3150% CF
L4Calvert – Nichushkin – Bellemare
5:2445% CF
D1Cole – Zadorov
12:4747% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
11:1661% CF
D3Graves – Makar
7:5353% CF

PP1Donskoi – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
6:05100% CF
PP2Burakovsky – Compher – Nichushkin – Jost – Girard
3:24100% CF
PK1FCalvert – Bellemare
1:58
PK2FNieto – Compher
0:58
PK1DJohnson – Graves
1:39
PK2DCole – Zadorov
0:35

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:19
COLMikko Rantanen (Nathan MacKinnon, Ryan Graves)backhand0.06 xG
OTT: Hainsey, Goloubef, Pageau, Brown, TkachukCOL: Graves, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar
OTT 0 – 1 COL

3rd period

10:26
COLValeri NichushkinPP (Andre Burakovsky, Samuel Girard)tip-in0.11 xG
OTT: DeMelo, Pageau, Reilly, NamestnikovCOL: Burakovsky, Compher, Nichushkin, Jost, Girard
OTT 0 – 2 COL
18:55
COLGabriel LandeskogEN (Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.90 xG
OTT: Pageau, Reilly, Brown, Duclair, Chabot, TkachukCOL: Johnson, Landeskog, Graves, MacKinnon, Rantanen
OTT 0 – 3 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:03	—	—	44	48
Connor Brown R	L1	-2	5	0.76	3	0	2	20:32	—	—	58	68
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	-2	5	0.34	4	1	0	18:46	—	—	54	70
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	2	0.16	1	0	0	10:52	—	—	56	56
Colin White C	L2	0	1	0.11	1	1	2	9:57	—	—	44	40
Mikkel Boedker L	L2	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	9:11	—	—	58	55
Anthony Duclair L	L3	-1	4	0.31	0	0	0	14:13	—	—	30	8
Nick Paul L	L3	0	5	0.41	4	0	2	13:35	—	—	48	37
Artem Anisimov C	L3	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	44	39
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	17:51	—	—	44	12
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	14:39	—	—	20	8
Drake Batherson R	L4	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:34	—	—	35	30
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0.00	5	1	0	26:34	—	—	38	43
Thomas Chabot D	D1	-1	3	0.18	0	1	0	25:03	—	—	41	45
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	3	0.03	3	1	0	21:46	—	—	47	26
Mike Reilly D	D2	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:08	—	—	57	27
Ron Hainsey D	D3	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:27	—	—	60	57
Cody Goloubef D	D3	-1	1	0.02	2	3	2	8:26	—	—	58	23

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marcus Hogberg(start)	L	35	33	2	.943	4.12	57:24

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.31	3	2	0	20:17	—	—	54	49
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.36	1	0	0	20:11	—	—	54	49
Andre Burakovsky L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.25	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	50	45
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	1.73	1	0	2	20:46	—	—	61	83
Joonas Donskoi R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	1	0	18:47	—	—	57	76
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.60	1	1	0	15:00	—	—	54	70
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:25	—	—	62	91
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	12:57	—	—	53	65
Vladislav Kamenev C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	0	8:31	—	—	46	60
Matt Calvert L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	0	0	0	14:43	—	—	48	50
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	41	31
Valeri Nichushkin R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.23	1	0	0	11:40	—	—	63	64
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	2	0	18:20	—	—	50	45
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	2	0	17:20	—	—	48	49
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.29	1	1	0	20:17	—	—	65	74
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	19:51	—	—	51	66
Cale Makar D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.28	2	0	2	18:26	—	—	42	54
Ryan Graves D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.24	1	0	0	16:27	—	—	63	66

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	34	34	0	.1000	2.71	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.