Ottawa Senators vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 30, 2018

FinalTuesday, Jan 30, 2018· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	1	0	1		OTT	10	12	8	30
CAR	0	0	2	2		CAR	8	18	13	39

: OTT 54CAR 79
: OTT 1.52CAR 4.05
PP goals: OTT 0CAR 1
Hits: OTT 26CAR 18
Blocks: OTT 18CAR 10
PIM: OTT 6CAR 0
: OTT 47%CAR 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Ottawa Senators 2–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Ottawa Senators 2–1 at home. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for OTT: Brassard–Paajarvi–Dzingel skated 11:55 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for OTT: Brassard–Paajarvi–Dzingel skated 11:55 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brassard Paajarvi Dzingel
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +9 against a season average of 30.5; the loss.Anderson
Luck
CAR scored 2 goals on 4.05 expected goals (79 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Burrows–DiDomenico–White skated 7:37 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (43.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Burrows DiDomenico White
New line
New look for OTT: Pyatt–Smith–Pageau skated 11:26 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pyatt Smith Pageau
Usage
Erik Karlsson (OTT) played 22:42, −4:06 down on his 26:48 season average over 70 games.Karlsson
Usage
Jaccob Slavin (CAR) played 17:39, −5:00 down on his 22:39 season average over 81 games.Slavin
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 17:05, −3:53 down on his 20:58 season average over 64 games.Pesce

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · CAR 79 · OTT 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 7% of the game, CAR 61%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	CAR
	59	80
	1.80	3.62
	1.76	3.45
	14	19
	8	2
	17	30
	−0.012	+0.012
	7%	61%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Hoffman – Duchene
12:4645% CF
L2Brassard – Paajarvi – Dzingel
11:5538% CF
L3Pyatt – Smith – Pageau
11:2650% CF
L4Burrows – DiDomenico – White
7:3744% CF
D1Borowiecki – Claesson
13:4132% CF
D2Ceci – Chabot
10:2036% CF
D3Phaneuf – Karlsson
10:0044% CF

PP1Phaneuf – Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel – Chabot
0:59100% CF
PP2Brassard – DiDomenico – Smith – Karlsson – Hoffman
0:580% CF
PK1FPyatt – Pageau
1:19
PK2FBurrows – Smith
0:39
PK1DPhaneuf – Ceci
2:18
PK2DKarlsson – Claesson
1:49

Current OTT line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Stempniak – Skinner – Ryan
11:4083% CF
L2Williams – Rask – McGinn
8:3763% CF
L3Staal – Teravainen – Aho
7:0076% CF
L4Kruger – Nordstrom – Lindholm
3:5438% CF
D1van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
16:3456% CF
D2Faulk – Fleury
16:1463% CF
D3Slavin – Pesce
14:1755% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
2:46100% CF
PP2Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
1:5483% CF
PK1FKruger – Nordstrom
0:45
PK2FMcGinn – Lindholm
0:31
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
1:10
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fleury
0:45

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

18:48
OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau (Zack Smith, Erik Karlsson)snap0.11 xG
OTT: Phaneuf, Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, PageauCAR: Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm
OTT 1 – 0 CAR

3rd period

1:49
CARSebastian Aho (Teuvo Teravainen, Jordan Staal)slap0.04 xG
OTT: Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Ceci, ChabotCAR: Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho
OTT 1 – 1 CAR
11:32
CARVictor RaskPP (Justin Williams, Noah Hanifin)snap0.09 xG
OTT: Karlsson, Duchene, Claesson, PageauCAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, Ryan
OTT 1 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	1	0	17:21	—	—	47	41
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.14	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	45	41
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	1	0	0	15:45	—	—	45	41
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	16:20	—	—	31	27
Derick Brassard C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	0	0	14:44	—	—	39	31
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	3	2	0	14:07	—	—	40	39
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	3	1	0	17:25	—	—	52	37
Zack Smith C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	2	16:49	—	—	52	32
Tom Pyatt L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.09	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	52	31
Alexandre Burrows R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	11:27	—	—	28	20
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	10:05	—	—	32	23
Christopher DiDomenico L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	9:23	—	—	47	33
Fredrik Claesson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	5	1	0	17:10	—	—	33	27
Mark Borowiecki D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	4	2	0	16:21	—	—	32	25
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	4	0	22:22	—	—	44	35
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	1	0	20:26	—	—	44	32
Erik Karlsson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.07	1	1	2	22:42	—	—	46	37
Dion Phaneuf D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	2	2	2	20:14	—	—	50	41

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	39	37	2	.949	4.05	59:55

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk		PP	SH
Derek Ryan C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	1	18:04	—	—	59	74
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.72	1	0	15:15	—	—	85	89
Lee Stempniak R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	3	0	15:01	—	—	70	80
Justin Williams R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.26	1	0	17:39	—	—	58	70
Victor Rask C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.42	0	0	17:34	—	—	59	68
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.48	3	1	14:31	—	—	50	49
Sebastian Aho C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.35	1	0	19:03	—	—	50	57
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.44	1	0	17:09	—	—	60	67
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.29	0	0	15:28	—	—	66	74
Elias Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	14:36	—	—	36	33
Marcus Kruger C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	9:48	—	—	48	44
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	2	1	8:33	—	—	47	45
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.07	1	0	20:46	—	—	60	71
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	19:04	—	—	51	60
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	2	0	21:55	—	—	63	68
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	2	1	18:54	—	—	59	64
Jaccob Slavin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.21	0	5	17:39	—	—	57	70
Brett Pesce D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	17:05	—	—	53	67

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Ward(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	1.52	59:59

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.