Ottawa Senators vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 18, 2019

FinalFriday, Jan 18, 2019· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	3	0	4		OTT	8	11	7	26
CAR	0	1	0	1		CAR	10	12	12	34

: OTT 46CAR 68
: OTT 2.46CAR 2.04
PP goals: OTT 0CAR 0
Hits: OTT 16CAR 25
Blocks: OTT 27CAR 10
PIM: OTT 9CAR 7
: OTT 64%CAR 36%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1

Ottawa Senators beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1 at CAR. Cody Ceci (OTT) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for CAR: Williams–McKegg–Niederreiter skated 12:56 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (76.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Cody Ceci had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:41.Ceci
New line
New look for CAR: Williams–McKegg–Niederreiter skated 12:56 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (76.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Williams McKegg Niederreiter
Usage
Mark Borowiecki (OTT) played 7:02, −8:42 down on his 15:44 season average over 52 games.Borowiecki
Usage
Christian Wolanin (OTT) played 12:07, −5:23 down on his 17:30 season average over 29 games.Wolanin
New line
New look for CAR: McGinn–Maenalanen–Foegele skated 6:42 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McGinn Maenalanen Foegele
Luck
OTT scored 4 goals on 2.46 expected goals (46 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Greg McKegg (CAR) played 15:35, +5:03 up on his 10:32 season average over 40 games.McKegg
Usage
Dylan DeMelo (OTT) played 22:34, +3:20 up on his 19:14 season average over 76 games.DeMelo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · CAR 68 · OTT 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 25% of the game, CAR 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	CAR
	53	73
	2.85	1.80
	2.82	1.76
	13	7
	10	0
	23	23
	+0.087	−0.087
	25%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Stone – Tierney – Tkachuk
11:2344% CF
L2Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel
10:5645% CF
L3Smith – Paajarvi – Pageau
9:4435% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
18:3256% CF
D2Ceci – Wolanin
10:0940% CF
D3Jaros – Lajoie
7:1927% CF

PP1Ryan – Duchene – Stone – Chabot – Tkachuk
1:54100% CF
PK1FSmith – Pageau
0:52
PK2FStone – Tierney
0:36
PK1DDeMelo – Jaros
0:57
PK2DCeci – Lajoie
0:49

Current OTT line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – McKegg – Niederreiter
12:5676% CF
L2Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
10:1859% CF
L3McGinn – Maenalanen – Foegele
6:4238% CF
L4Martinook – Wallmark – Svechnikov
6:2044% CF
D1de Haan – Faulk
12:3650% CF
D2Slavin – Pesce
12:2076% CF
D3Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
12:0739% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
2:2183% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
1:28100% CF
PK1FMartinook – McGinn
0:41
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
0:31
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
1:12
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
0:41

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:47
OTTMagnus Paajarvi (Cody Ceci, Zack Smith)wrist0.18 xG
OTT: Smith, Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, WolaninCAR: Hamilton, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark, Svechnikov
OTT 1 – 0 CAR

2nd period

7:26
OTTBobby Ryan (Ryan Dzingel, Matt Duchene)wrist0.22 xG
OTT: Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, DeMelo, ChabotCAR: McKegg, Niederreiter, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce
OTT 2 – 0 CAR
7:39
OTTMark Stone (Chris Tierney)snap0.03 xG
OTT: Borowiecki, Stone, Tierney, Jaros, TkachukCAR: de Haan, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Aho
OTT 3 – 0 CAR
11:24
CARWarren Foegelesnap0.14 xG
OTT: Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, JarosCAR: Hamilton, McGinn, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, Foegele
OTT 3 – 1 CAR
16:25
OTTChristian Wolanin (Brady Tkachuk, Cody Ceci)snap0.16 xG
OTT: Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin, TkachukCAR: de Haan, Faulk, McGinn, Maenalanen, Foegele
OTT 4 – 1 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.46	1	2	0	20:13	—	—	47	80
Chris Tierney C	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	30	69
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.14	1	0	0	14:52	—	—	56	86
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	20:55	—	—	53	69
Bobby Ryan R	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.36	0	1	0	16:55	—	—	49	64
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.25	0	0	2	16:28	—	—	39	67
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	1	0	18:18	—	—	26	28
Zack Smith C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	1	2	0	16:03	—	—	37	42
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.18	0	1	0	12:31	—	—	30	32
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.31	0	4	0	24:25	—	—	56	79
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	22:34	—	—	51	70
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.02	3	7	0	19:41	—	—	41	59
Christian Wolanin D	D2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.17	0	1	0	12:07	—	—	40	60
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	17:01	—	—	33	53
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:43	—	—	25	34
Mikkel Boedker L	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	13:39	—	—	45	51
Rudolfs Balcers L	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	1	0	10:35	—	—	52	57
Mark Borowiecki D	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	2	7	7:02	—	—	25	15

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson(start)	W	34	33	1	.971	2.04	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	-1	4	0.28	1	0	0	16:57	—	—	68	52
Justin Williams R	L1	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	1	0	16:52	—	—	78	84
Greg McKegg C	L1	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:35	—	—	66	48
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	-1	3	0.23	1	1	0	17:39	—	—	56	30
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:40	—	—	54	29
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	0	-1	1	0.47	3	0	7	13:49	—	—	57	38
Warren Foegele L	L3	1	1	0	3	0.40	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	52	40
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:47	—	—	37	31
Saku Maenalanen R	L3	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	11:45	—	—	55	59
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.07	3	0	0	14:24	—	—	57	26
Andrei Svechnikov R	L4	0	0	-1	2	0.10	3	0	0	14:18	—	—	57	24
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:35	—	—	63	41
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	0	-2	6	0.13	3	2	0	22:00	—	—	49	31
Calvin de Haan D	D1	0	0	-2	2	0.02	2	1	0	19:07	—	—	56	23
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	0	22:56	—	—	67	64
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	-1	4	0.18	2	0	0	19:36	—	—	80	67
Dougie Hamilton D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	19:11	—	—	52	28
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	2	0	14:49	—	—	40	20

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	26	22	4	.846	2.46	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.