Ottawa Senators vs. Carolina HurricanesDec 2, 2021

FinalThursday, Dec 2, 2021· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	0	2	3		OTT	3	8	9	20
CAR	0	0	2	2		CAR	20	14	15	49

: OTT 45CAR 86
: OTT 3.57CAR 5.80
PP goals: OTT 0CAR 1
Hits: OTT 27CAR 32
Blocks: OTT 21CAR 9
PIM: OTT 8CAR 4
: OTT 39%CAR 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Carolina Hurricanes 3–2

Ottawa Senators beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 at CAR. Alex Formenton (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Anton Forsberg (OTT) faced 49 shots and stopped 47 (.959), +17 against a season average of 31.7; the win.

Points
Alex Formenton had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 9:41.Formenton
Points
Sebastian Aho had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:00.Aho
Points
Tyler Ennis had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 10:19.Ennis
Goalie
Anton Forsberg (OTT) faced 49 shots and stopped 47 (.959), +17 against a season average of 31.7; the win.Forsberg
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Trocheck, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho and Svechnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 22 attempts in 5:36 together.Trocheck Teravainen Slavin Aho Svechnikov
Luck
CAR scored 2 goals on 5.80 expected goals (86 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–Teravainen–Lorentz skated 8:24 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Teravainen Lorentz
Usage
Alex Formenton (OTT) played 9:41, −5:51 down on his 15:32 season average over 78 games.Formenton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 131 of 131 attempts · CAR 86 · OTT 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 17% of the game, CAR 56%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	CAR
	46	71
	3.73	4.33
	3.51	3.94
	14	22
	7	8
	23	20
	−0.089	+0.089
	17%	56%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk
12:2248% CF
L2Brown – Paul – Stützle
10:1153% CF
L3Watson – Sanford – Gambrell
8:426% CF
L4Ennis – Tierney – Formenton
7:3833% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
18:1039% CF
D2Holden – Zub
12:5748% CF
D3Mete – Thomson
6:4450% CF

PP1Chabot – Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
3:32100% CF
PP2Brown – Paul – Chabot – Gambrell – Zub
0:56100% CF
PK1FBrown – Gambrell
3:33
PK2FPaul – Formenton
0:44
PK1DHolden – Zaitsev
5:04
PK2DChabot – Zub
0:47

Current OTT line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
10:1958% CF
L2Staal – Teravainen – Lorentz
8:2450% CF
L3Fast – Trocheck – Jarvis
4:0575% CF
L4Niederreiter – Martinook – Kotkaniemi
3:2778% CF
D1Cole – Slavin
15:4654% CF
D2Chatfield – Lajoie
9:5577% CF
D3Smith – Skjei
9:1138% CF

PP1Trocheck – Teravainen – Slavin – Aho – Svechnikov
5:36100% CF
PP2Staal – Niederreiter – Lajoie – Necas – Jarvis
1:1850% CF
PK1FAho – Necas
1:28
PK2FFast – Lorentz
1:17
PK1DCole – Slavin
3:18
PK2DSmith – Skjei
1:35

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:43
OTTAlex Formenton (Tyler Ennis)wrist0.13 xG
OTT: Holden, Ennis, Tierney, Formenton, ZubCAR: Smith, Fast, Trocheck, Skjei, Jarvis
OTT 1 – 0 CAR

3rd period

9:05
OTTAlex Formenton (Tyler Ennis, Artem Zub)deflected0.81 xG
OTT: Holden, Ennis, Tierney, Formenton, ZubCAR: Slavin, Aho, Lajoie, Necas, Svechnikov
OTT 2 – 0 CAR
12:02
CARTeuvo TeravainenPP (Sebastian Aho, Jaccob Slavin)snap0.19 xG
OTT: Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, GambrellCAR: Trocheck, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov
OTT 2 – 1 CAR
13:47
CARAndrei Svechnikov (Seth Jarvis, Sebastian Aho)backhand0.41 xG
OTT: Holden, Ennis, Paul, Thomson, StützleCAR: Smith, Aho, Lajoie, Svechnikov, Jarvis
OTT 2 – 2 CAR
14:06
OTTJosh Norris (Drake Batherson, Brady Tkachuk)deflected0.06 xG
OTT: Sanford, Chabot, Zaitsev, Norris, BathersonCAR: Staal, Cole, Fast, Slavin, Lorentz
OTT 3 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Drake Batherson R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	1	0	0	19:22	—	—	55	57
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.30	4	1	2	18:33	—	—	52	48
Josh Norris C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.58	1	1	0	18:18	—	—	53	57
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.28	1	0	0	18:40	—	—	55	51
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	1	0	0	16:49	—	—	43	26
Tim Stützle C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	0	2	15:05	—	—	55	33
Dylan Gambrell C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	2	0	16:37	—	—	17	13
Zachary Sanford L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.19	3	0	0	12:44	—	—	23	41
Austin Watson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	2	10:37	—	—	6	0
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	2	2	+1	2	0.40	2	1	0	10:19	—	—	30	44
Alex Formenton L	L4	2	0	2	+2	2	1.01	0	0	0	9:41	—	—	35	56
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:31	—	—	30	51
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	3	0	29:03	—	—	36	33
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.13	0	4	0	26:38	—	—	39	39
Nick Holden D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	2	3	0	21:56	—	—	42	58
Artem Zub D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	2	19:54	—	—	41	59
Lassi Thomson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	0	0	9:58	—	—	33	24
Victor Mete D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:18	—	—	50	62

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	W	49	47	2	.959	5.80	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	2	2	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	23:00	—	—	63	49
Martin Necas C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.23	2	0	0	20:55	—	—	65	31
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	1	0	1	0	6	1.21	1	1	0	19:09	—	—	65	50
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	1	0	1	0	8	1.20	1	0	2	20:26	—	—	50	54
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.11	8	0	0	18:12	—	—	50	50
Steven Lorentz C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	3	1	0	16:27	—	—	46	49
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.49	1	0	2	15:52	—	—	61	61
Seth Jarvis R	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.29	5	2	0	12:33	—	—	65	67
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.37	0	1	0	12:18	—	—	65	62
Nino Niederreiter R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	1	0	0	10:50	—	—	71	63
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	1	0	0	9:13	—	—	68	63
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	4:23	—	—	78	82
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.14	0	1	0	29:30	—	—	55	39
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	1	0	20:35	—	—	59	55
Jalen Chatfield D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	2	0	0	15:07	—	—	81	70
Maxime Lajoie D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	1	0	14:54	—	—	69	43
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	1	0	18:52	—	—	53	62
Brendan Smith D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	0	0	12:45	—	—	52	70

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	L	20	17	3	.850	3.57	59:02

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.