Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 21, 2017

Final / SOThursday, Dec 21, 2017· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
OTT	1	1	1	0	0	3		OTT	9	6	6	0	21
TBL	0	2	1	0	1	4		TBL	7	18	8	5	38

: OTT 28TBL 77
: OTT 1.34TBL 5.16
PP goals: OTT 1TBL 0
Hits: OTT 16TBL 21
Blocks: OTT 20TBL 3
PIM: OTT 11TBL 13
: OTT 47%TBL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Ottawa Senators 4–3 (SO)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 4–3 in a shootout at home. Derick Brassard (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT's first power-play unit (Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene and Stone) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:38 together.

Points
Alex Killorn had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:19.Killorn
Points
Derick Brassard had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:12.Brassard
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) on 7 shots in 21:44.Kucherov
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene and Stone) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:38 together.Brassard Karlsson Hoffman Duchene Stone
Usage
Cody Ceci (OTT) played 32:54, +9:41 up on his 23:13 season average over 81 games.Ceci
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 38 shots and stopped 35 (.921), +8 against a season average of 30.5; the overtime loss.Anderson
Usage
Bobby Ryan (OTT) played 10:35, −5:57 down on his 16:32 season average over 61 games.Ryan
Luck
TBL scored 3 goals on 5.16 expected goals (77 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · TBL 77 · OTT 28

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 8% of the game, TBL 53%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TBL
	25	65
	0.93	3.59
	0.91	3.43
	6	17
	1	6
	6	17
	−0.026	+0.025
	8%	53%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Brassard – Hoffman – Dzingel
10:3750% CF
L2Pyatt – Smith – Pageau
10:366% CF
L3Ryan – Duchene – Stone
7:4033% CF
L4Burrows – Thompson – Paul
5:2925% CF
D1Claesson – Ceci
9:2825% CF
D2Oduya – Karlsson
8:4558% CF
D3Harpur – Chabot
1:4025% CF

PP1Brassard – Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Stone
2:38100% CF
PP2Ryan – Smith – Karlsson – Dzingel – Ceci
0:59
PK1FThompson – Stone
1:23
PK2FPyatt – Pageau
0:38
PK1DOduya – Ceci
1:24
PK2DKarlsson – Claesson
0:38

Current OTT line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Palat – Point
14:3074% CF
L2Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
12:3775% CF
L3Kunitz – Brown – Paquette
7:4450% CF
L4Killorn – Conacher – Gourde
7:3391% CF
D1Hedman – Dotchin
15:5874% CF
D2Stralman – Sergachev
15:0172% CF
D3Coburn – Girardi
9:5754% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
2:01100% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
1:20100% CF
PK1FKunitz – Palat
1:13
PK2FKillorn – Johnson
0:56
PK1DGirardi – Hedman
2:01
PK2DCoburn – Dotchin
0:32

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: OTT 3 – 4 TBL.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Derick Brassard C	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	17:12	—	—	50	44
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	2	2	0	16:06	—	—	40	31
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	2	15:53	—	—	42	27
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	18:56	—	—	23	16
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	2	2	17:25	—	—	32	28
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:17	—	—	10	7
Mark Stone R	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	23:11	—	—	23	19
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.13	2	0	0	19:50	—	—	25	20
Bobby Ryan R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.13	0	0	0	10:35	—	—	31	31
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:03	—	—	21	2
Alexandre Burrows R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:22	—	—	42	38
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	7:19	—	—	20	0
Cody Ceci D	D1	1	0	1	0	3	0.21	4	4	0	32:54	—	—	22	12
Fredrik Claesson D	D1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.05	1	1	0	18:18	—	—	16	5
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.10	1	1	2	30:37	—	—	37	25
Johnny Oduya D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	5	0	18:56	—	—	31	29
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	5	12:13	—	—	24	24
Thomas Chabot D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	9:53	—	—	50	60

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	O	38	35	3	.921	5.16	65:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	0	1	0	22:35	—	—	74	82
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.18	1	0	0	20:52	—	—	71	74
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.77	1	0	0	19:51	—	—	65	73
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	2	2	+2	7	1.21	0	0	0	21:44	—	—	76	83
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	+2	6	1.00	1	0	0	21:31	—	—	73	83
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	19:09	—	—	71	75
Chris Kunitz L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	0	0	11:07	—	—	67	99
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:42	—	—	33	23
JT Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	5	7:54	—	—	50	98
Alex Killorn L	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	0.33	0	0	0	14:19	—	—	87	96
Yanni Gourde C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.22	1	0	2	12:52	—	—	77	81
Cory Conacher C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:46	—	—	83	83
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	+2	9	0.75	5	0	0	27:58	—	—	77	81
Jake Dotchin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	18:42	—	—	75	76
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	2	0	2	22:52	—	—	77	91
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	20:38	—	—	73	92
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:27	—	—	53	56
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	13:20	—	—	60	66

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	21	18	3	.857	1.34	64:36

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 21, 2017

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Ottawa Senators 4–3 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning