Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 2, 2019

FinalSaturday, Mar 2, 2019· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	0	0	1		OTT	16	9	12	37
TBL	2	2	1	5		TBL	9	11	14	34

: OTT 57TBL 67
: OTT 4.07TBL 3.45
PP goals: OTT 0TBL 0
Hits: OTT 20TBL 32
Blocks: OTT 15TBL 15
PIM: OTT 6TBL 8
: OTT 49%TBL 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Ottawa Senators 5–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–1 at home. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for OTT: Ryan–Tierney–Balcers skated 9:24 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (40.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Erik Cernak had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:44.Cernak
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:02.Kucherov
Points
Victor Hedman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:54.Hedman
Points
Alex Killorn had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:27.Killorn
Points
Braydon Coburn had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:11.Coburn
New line
New look for OTT: Ryan–Tierney–Balcers skated 9:24 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (40.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ryan Tierney Balcers
New line
New look for OTT: Pageau–White–Tkachuk skated 7:36 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (47.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pageau White Tkachuk
New line
New look for TBL: Stamkos–Palat–Gourde skated 9:33 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (52.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stamkos Palat Gourde

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · TBL 67 · OTT 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 27% of the game, TBL 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TBL
	52	68
	3.32	3.41
	3.25	3.34
	13	11
	5	0
	16	14
	−0.008	+0.008
	27%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Tierney – Balcers
9:2441% CF
L2Pageau – White – Tkachuk
7:3648% CF
L3Boedker – Gibbons – Duclair
6:3131% CF
L4Smith – Paajarvi – Lindberg
5:3220% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
15:2552% CF
D2Ceci – Harpur
12:1541% CF
D3Borowiecki – Jaros
11:3830% CF

PP1Boedker – Ceci – Tierney – Jaros – Balcers
2:54100% CF
PP2Ryan – Duclair – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
1:59100% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
2:02
PK2FPageau – Tierney
1:55
PK1DCeci – Harpur
3:05
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
1:20

Current OTT line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Kucherov – Point
10:2757% CF
L2Stamkos – Palat – Gourde
9:3352% CF
L3Paquette – Erne – Joseph
8:5564% CF
L4Killorn – Miller – Cirelli
8:5074% CF
D1Girardi – Hedman
15:4249% CF
D2Coburn – Sergachev
14:1152% CF
D3McDonagh – Cernak
13:5876% CF

PP1Johnson – Hedman – Palat – Kucherov – Point
2:31100% CF
PP2Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
1:16
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:58
PK2FGourde – Paquette
1:30
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:40
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
2:01

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Chris Tierney C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	1	0	18:28	—	—	52	54
Rudolfs Balcers L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	15:08	—	—	46	32
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.96	1	1	2	12:09	—	—	46	52
Colin White C	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.00	0	0	0	17:09	—	—	53	75
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	-4	3	0.82	3	1	0	15:43	—	—	43	73
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	-4	7	0.54	0	1	0	15:05	—	—	50	75
Mikkel Boedker L	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.22	1	0	0	13:59	—	—	33	18
Brian Gibbons C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	3	0	0	13:37	—	—	48	45
Anthony Duclair L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	1	0	0	13:31	—	—	32	23
Zack Smith C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	1	1	2	14:14	—	—	44	63
Magnus Paajarvi L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	1	0	13:36	—	—	28	37
Oscar Lindberg L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	11:15	—	—	25	11
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	1	2	23:49	—	—	44	44
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.49	2	2	0	21:08	—	—	57	74
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	2	2	0	23:05	—	—	42	67
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:26	—	—	46	75
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	2	0	0	16:45	—	—	32	11
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	3	1	0	15:01	—	—	39	10

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	34	29	5	.853	3.45	59:52

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	+2	5	0.35	0	1	2	20:02	—	—	53	36
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.29	0	0	0	17:43	—	—	59	31
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:07	—	—	52	23
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	0	2	0	15:27	—	—	50	56
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	2	15:21	—	—	54	54
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.36	0	0	0	14:59	—	—	48	51
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.70	6	1	0	14:01	—	—	58	73
Adam Erne L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	4	0	0	13:00	—	—	60	77
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	2	12:57	—	—	57	88
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	2	2	+3	1	0.19	2	0	0	13:27	—	—	71	78
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	1	1	+3	1	0.10	1	0	0	13:13	—	—	65	54
J.T. Miller C	L4	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	1	0	2	12:06	—	—	64	51
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.14	1	1	0	24:54	—	—	48	37
Dan Girardi D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.09	3	2	0	18:42	—	—	49	36
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.13	3	1	0	17:51	—	—	50	43
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.05	2	2	0	14:11	—	—	52	46
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.30	1	4	0	19:52	—	—	77	81
Erik Cernak D	D3	1	1	2	+2	3	0.29	4	1	0	18:44	—	—	73	75

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	37	36	1	.973	4.07	59:23

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 2, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Ottawa Senators 5–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning