Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 16, 2021

FinalThursday, Dec 16, 2021· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	0	0	1		OTT	7	9	10	26
TBL	0	2	0	2		TBL	6	12	9	27

: OTT 46TBL 53
: OTT 2.68TBL 4.43
PP goals: OTT 0TBL 1
Hits: OTT 33TBL 27
Blocks: OTT 8TBL 9
PIM: OTT 8TBL 4
: OTT 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Ottawa Senators 2–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 2–1 at home. Victor Hedman (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Raddysh) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:53 together.

Points
Victor Hedman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:53.Hedman
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Raddysh) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:53 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Palat Raddysh
Usage
Nikita Zaitsev (OTT) played 4:26, −14:48 down on his 19:14 season average over 61 games.Zaitsev
New line
New look for TBL: Killorn–Cirelli–Colton skated 10:50 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Killorn Cirelli Colton
Luck
TBL scored 2 goals on 4.43 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Ross Colton (TBL) played 17:09, +4:25 up on his 12:44 season average over 78 games.Colton
Luck
OTT scored 1 goal on 2.68 expected goals (46 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Thomas Chabot (OTT) played 30:06, +3:59 up on his 26:07 season average over 58 games.Chabot

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · TBL 53 · OTT 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 22% of the game, TBL 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TBL
	47	50
	2.46	3.67
	2.20	3.52
	8	14
	6	2
	8	10
	−0.030	+0.030
	22%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk
13:4750% CF
L2Brown – Formenton – Stützle
10:1247% CF
L3Ennis – Tierney – Sanford
9:1450% CF
L4Watson – Paul – Gambrell
6:5230% CF
D1Chabot – Zub
12:0645% CF
D2Heatherington – Mete
6:0830% CF
D3Holden – Zaitsev
0:00

PP1Chabot – Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
1:22100% CF
PP2Ennis – Tierney – Brown – Sanford – Chabot
0:38100% CF
PK1FWatson – Paul
2:20
PK2FBrown – Formenton
1:35
PK1DHolden – Zub
4:48
PK2DHeatherington – Mete
2:16

Current OTT line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Joseph
11:5050% CF
L2Killorn – Cirelli – Colton
10:5050% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
10:3647% CF
L4Nash – Katchouk – Raddysh
5:1956% CF
D1McDonagh – Bogosian
14:3442% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
11:2858% CF
D3Sergachev – Foote
11:1740% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Raddysh
4:5386% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Cirelli – Sergachev – Colton
2:15100% CF
PK1FBellemare – Joseph
0:39
PK2FKillorn – Nash
0:28
PK1DSergachev – Rutta
1:07
PK2DMcDonagh – Hedman
0:30

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:43
OTTThomas Chabotwrist0.21 xG
OTT: Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, ZubTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Bogosian, Cirelli, Colton
OTT 1 – 0 TBL

2nd period

3:47
TBLAlex Killorn (Ross Colton, Victor Hedman)wrist0.15 xG
OTT: Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, ZubTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Colton, Rutta
OTT 1 – 1 TBL
15:05
TBLVictor HedmanPP (Taylor Raddysh, Steven Stamkos)slap0.09 xG
OTT: Holden, Brown, Gambrell, ZubTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Raddysh
OTT 1 – 2 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	P			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Drake Batherson R	L1	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	0	19:48	—	—	52	34
Josh Norris C	L1	0	0	2	0.18	2	1	0	18:46	—	—	57	34
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	3	0.23	4	1	2	18:39	—	—	50	27
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	2	0.28	0	1	0	16:55	—	—	50	59
Tim Stützle C	L2	0	0	1	0.23	1	1	0	16:25	—	—	52	59
Alex Formenton L	L2	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	2	14:10	—	—	38	51
Tyler Ennis R	L3	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:22	—	—	44	31
Zachary Sanford L	L3	0	0	2	0.14	2	1	0	12:04	—	—	47	38
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	0	2	0.12	1	1	0	10:58	—	—	53	41
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	2	0.10	1	1	0	13:01	—	—	50	41
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0	0.37	3	0	0	11:41	—	—	24	16
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	2	10:31	—	—	53	47
Thomas Chabot D	D1	1	1	4	0.56	2	1	2	30:06	—	—	45	39
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	25:28	—	—	55	39
Victor Mete D	D2	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	57	58
Dillon Heatherington D	D2	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:17	—	—	33	45
Nick Holden D	D3	0	0	2	0.17	4	0	0	24:38	—	—	48	27
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:26	—	—	43	32

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	3.83	58:45

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.30	3	0	2	21:31	—	—	63	66
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	5	0	0	20:54	—	—	54	55
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.41	3	0	0	13:59	—	—	55	51
Alex Killorn L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.19	2	0	0	19:33	—	—	45	51
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	1	0	2	18:08	—	—	46	54
Ross Colton C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.95	0	1	0	17:09	—	—	50	50
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.51	2	1	0	16:18	—	—	58	67
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	3	1	0	15:41	—	—	55	64
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	13:23	—	—	47	73
Taylor Raddysh R	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	11:26	—	—	42	54
Riley Nash C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	1	1	0	9:13	—	—	47	64
Boris Katchouk L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	3	1	0	6:41	—	—	54	76
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:15	—	—	52	58
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.33	1	1	0	16:40	—	—	41	51
Victor Hedman D	D2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.28	0	1	0	22:53	—	—	57	72
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	60	74
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	21:52	—	—	46	52
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	0	1	0	12:45	—	—	53	55

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.68	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.