Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 1, 2022

FinalTuesday, Mar 1, 2022· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	2	0	0	2		OTT	7	8	12	27
TBL	2	2	1	5		TBL	6	12	4	22

: OTT 38TBL 44
: OTT 2.51TBL 2.26
PP goals: OTT 0TBL 1
Hits: OTT 27TBL 28
Blocks: OTT 11TBL 5
PIM: OTT 26TBL 26
: OTT 47%TBL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–2 at home. Brayden Point (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 3A. New look for OTT: Sanford–White–Tkachuk skated 8:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brayden Point had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 4 shots in 16:17.Point
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:34.Kucherov
New line
New look for OTT: Sanford–White–Tkachuk skated 8:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sanford White Tkachuk
New line
New look for OTT: Ennis–Brown–Paul skated 7:58 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ennis Brown Paul
Luck
TBL scored 5 goals on 2.26 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 15:34, −4:31 down on his 20:05 season average over 46 games.Kucherov
Usage
Ondrej Palat (TBL) played 12:11, −4:22 down on his 16:33 season average over 76 games.Palat
Usage
Andrej Sustr (TBL) played 9:00, −5:53 down on his 14:53 season average over 37 games.Sustr

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 82 of 82 attempts · TBL 44 · OTT 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 27% of the game, TBL 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TBL
	30	36
	0.95	1.46
	0.93	1.41
	2	6
	2	0
	10	11
	−0.045	+0.045
	27%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Sanford – White – Tkachuk
8:1880% CF
L2Ennis – Brown – Paul
7:5854% CF
L3Gaudette – Formenton – Stützle
7:240% CF
L4Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
7:0150% CF
D1Holden – Zub
13:4926% CF
D2Chabot – Zaitsev
13:2667% CF
D3Brown – Brannstrom
9:4836% CF

PP1Brown – White – Chabot – Tkachuk – Stützle
5:12100% CF
PP2Ennis – Sanford – Gaudette – Formenton – Brannstrom
2:13
PK1FBrown – Formenton
2:37
PK2FWatson – Paul
2:24
PK1DHolden – Zaitsev
4:02
PK2DBrown – Zub
0:55

Current OTT line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Joseph
8:1340% CF
L2Palat – Kucherov – Point
7:4979% CF
L3Cirelli – Raddysh – Colton
7:4160% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
7:2740% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:2423% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
8:19100% CF
D3Sustr – Sergachev
8:0222% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
4:29100% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Palat – Sergachev – Colton
1:47100% CF
PK1FBellemare – Joseph
3:22
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
2:00
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:31
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:34

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zachary Sanford L	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.02	3	0	0	17:14	—	—	56	42
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.61	5	0	6	16:54	—	—	60	67
Colin White C	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.37	1	0	0	15:32	—	—	82	76
Connor Brown R	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.27	0	0	0	19:41	—	—	56	45
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.43	1	1	0	17:07	—	—	41	47
Tyler Ennis R	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	59	46
Tim Stützle C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.41	0	0	2	18:12	—	—	25	10
Alex Formenton L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	7	15:19	—	—	0	0
Adam Gaudette R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:34	—	—	20	17
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	12:34	—	—	50	50
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	1	2	10:52	—	—	42	47
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	1	0	9:46	—	—	36	13
Nick Holden D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	1	0	21:16	—	—	33	51
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	0	18:17	—	—	27	39
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.11	0	1	0	24:20	—	—	68	51
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	19:23	—	—	63	45
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	2	17:16	—	—	38	23
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	1	1	7	11:07	—	—	36	27

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	22	17	5	.773	2.26	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.41	3	0	2	18:39	—	—	38	61
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	4	17:57	—	—	33	31
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	1	0	15:40	—	—	39	46
Brayden Point C	L2	1	3	4	+1	4	0.36	4	0	0	16:17	—	—	60	70
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.43	1	0	0	15:34	—	—	75	75
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:11	—	—	74	81
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	7	15:31	—	—	58	49
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:11	—	—	70	82
Taylor Raddysh R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	60	75
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	1	1	2	14:29	—	—	43	48
Corey Perry R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	1	0	2	12:45	—	—	50	62
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	3	0	7	11:02	—	—	43	48
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	0	1	0	23:34	—	—	37	67
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	2	22:08	—	—	29	54
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	0	0	0	22:11	—	—	80	83
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:57	—	—	81	81
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.16	5	1	0	22:29	—	—	48	29
Andrej Sustr D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:00	—	—	30	20

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	2.51	59:44

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 1, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning